Monday, February 21, 2011



A DISASTROUS DAY!!
Libya provided one very crucial learning tool to some of the other Arab Nations today.
 Libya illustrated just how quickly bad decisions can lead to a complete disaster.
We need to understand just what really took place today in Libya.
The military split along lines of loyalty.
The elite Units even showed signs of defection.
This is critical because it could easily lead to intense fighting within the Libyan Military.
Something we have not seen in the past two months of the 'Tunisian Virus" event.
The next twelve to twenty-four hours cold lead to real 'unit on unit' action and I firmly believe this is why the Mad Dog's Son made the comment / warning / about Civil War coming to Libya.
Who owns the supply lines and who owns the ammo becomes the questions to look for answers.
The conscripted units are very poorly equipped and trained compared to the elite units.
The trick becomes what 'elite' units split and joint the revolt.
If key units do so, ground units; the Libyan Air force will most likely side with the dissidents, then the concept of a Civil War, all be it a short one, could come true.
No other Nation state nearby is going to risk getting involved given the turmoil of all of Northern Africa.
Bottom line; if Mommar, or however he spells his name this month, doesn't fall in the next twenty four hours, then things could get real ugly.

Oh ya; Saudi.... If they can't keep the lid on Bahrain, then the East coast of Saudi will get interesting.
We entering the next phase of the 'Tunisian Virus' and it's hard to tell where things are heading.
Can you say China??? Yep.