Monday, October 10, 2011




















BETRAYAL AND THE ASSUMPTIONS OF BETRAYAL

Two quick follow ups for today.

Yesterday I talked about the Assad warnings over the SNC and who the message may really be meant for.

Debka put another interesting twist to what this could be all about.

Russia.

Another concept of this warning that may need to be considered is the idea of Assad showing Iran Syria may be willing to jump ship.

If Assad knows Iran is looking to bail on him and Russia, who he has never really trusted, is plotting with Iran, then Assad may just make his own deals.

The problem is, this would have been a great tactic several months ago, before he was so toxic.

For Assad to try his own version of " Betrayal"  he has to have a dance partner and just about nobody wants that dance.

Ah, but then there is the idea of, " If I can't have it my way, then I will sell the house just to spite the bankers".

In other wards, Assad could let the SMB have the victory they are looking for.

Talk about an act that would upset Iran!!!

Not very probable I know, but when people and nations get desperate, anything is possible.

We will have to see what the next move is.

Does the GCC start to deal with the SNC.???



Finally;

Turkey continues to play a very dangerous game with Israel.

I have not doubt Turkey and Israel have absolutely no intention of letting this oilfield issue get out of hand, but Israel's growing relationship with Greece  is a real thorn in the Ottoman Empires dreams.

No one expect "trouble" from these series of events, but as I have said before, history is filled with tragic wars and events that brought about wars.

I would not want to see this tit for tat game go much further just now.

The whole region is a little too edgy for any military mistakes.


Tuesday's topic..... Egypt and the Wonderful Arab Spring!!!!