Tuesday, April 19, 2011















 LEBANON  BEGINS TO LEAD THE WAY FOR THE ARABS.
Notice the reoccurring theme in this article.


 For the past two weeks Lebanese, March 14th followers,    have been
beating the drum of 'Iranian Persian' goals vs Arabic goals.

 I look for this tone to become more common from not only Lebanon, but Saudi
and the GCC as well.

 Painting a picture of 'outside' influence is the path already taken by
Saudi, but they have not begun the campaign of Persian Vs Arab.

 Persian Vs Arab logic allows the Saudis and the GCC ,as well as others such
as Jordan, to avoid the potential for Arab on Arab condoned violence.

 A sectarian war in the Middle East, and that is where many believe we are
heading, is not the ideal way to motivate the public to support the existing
governments. 

 Saudi and the other GCC members can avoid internal strife if they can sell
their populations on the idea of Iran pushing a Persian agenda that looks to enslave all the Arabs, Shi and Sunni alike.

 The classic example of  creating an outside threat to divert the public's
attention and rally them around the government is within the grasp of Saudi
and the GCC, but they need to begin this campaign quickly.

 Bahrain's expulsion of Lebanese members based upon possible ties to
Hezbollah was a quick attempt at creating the 'outsider'  campaign, but it
was poorly designed.

 The good news was a fast meeting between Lebanon, Hariri, and Bahrain
stopped this movement before Iran could turn it into a " Sunni picking on
the Shi" concept; although Iran did give this argument a shot.

 Iran is not going to sit back and let this happen without a fight.

 The Persians will look for a distraction and a HUGE one if needed.

 Don't forget my theory about the strategic reserves of Hamas and Hezbollah
if a War with Israel becomes the only way out for Iran.

As for Syria; Assad will need to pick his friends quickly.
To give up on Iran or to stick with Iran; that is the question for Syria.
Pulling control of Hezbollah from Iran could be a HUGE prize that Syria could bring with it; thus making a alliance with Saudi or Lebanon all the more appealing.
The danger will come if Iran thinks Syria may give this 'double cross' a try.

Lebanon is on to something and you can bet the other Arab Monarchies are
taking notes and talking all night long.

 http://www.yalibnan.com/2011/04/18/opinion-iranian-agenda-syria%e2%80%99s-bu
rden/