Thursday, April 18, 2013




















IS HEZBOLLAH BECOMING A "HOUSE DIVIDED"???

I have addressed this issue in the past, but today article brings light back to the very important subject; is Hezbollah suffering from the events in Syria?

Last week we read of parents questioning Hezbollah leadership over the deaths of family members in Syria; a land they are not from.

I have long be of the opinion that Iran's pushing Hezbollah into  action in Syria was an action they knew might come with a price.

Lets revisit an issue that cannot be overlooked.

Hezbollah is less confident about their collective future in Lebanon than at anytime in their past.

The distraction of fighting, at the behest of Tehran / Persians / in Syria, although holding some value to them, is very possibly becoming a burden they question spending capital on.

If Assad wants to keep Hezbollah's support, it will take more than just Iran ordering Hezbollah to commit forces.

Assad will have to do two things:

1.  Sweeten the pot for Hezbollah... weapons... and ones they really want.

2.  Convince them that if he falls, they fall.... "we are all in this Sectarian war together"!!!

Now, could someone be "leveraging" the anxiety that seems to be building in the ranks of Hezbollah?

You bet and I can think of several suspects!!!

Can it work; can Hezbollah begin to resist the conflict in Syria?

I don't see how, for to do so would in all practicality make Assad's second point become a reality.

A fractionalized Hezbollah is a dream come true, unless you sit and think about a Sunni steamroller rolling over the GCC states.

Would the Muslim Brotherhood like to see Hezbollah marginalized and divided?

Yep..

Would Israel?

Yep...

Would the West.. well.... the US.... ???

Yep..

Oh what a complicated game the Middle East is!!!!

Everyone wants to be in charge and everyone is willing to betray the guy / nation / cause / next to them to get there...