Saturday, August 31, 2013

SYRIAN OPTIONS... IT JUST GETS HARDER AND HARDER!!



By now, just about everyone has heard the news of the US President deciding to consult the US Congress prior to possibly taking action in Syria.

The immediate questions from the media types were as expected.

" How does this make the US look to our Allies and our Enemies"?


" Does the US President appear to fumbling the international arena football"?

I have no interest in talking to the internal politics of the US government and so I will stick to issue of  how this might impact those it really maters to; the people and governments of the Middle East.

Let's assume the Rebels in Syria had a plan for taking counter actions soon after the Western strikes took place, regardless of what level of intensity.

If you have been following my post, you will remember a few months ago with Assad's great counter strike initiatives began and how I stated his plan was to secure his slice of Syria he would fall back to after the collapse of his government.

I had predicted the battle for Aleppo would be the failure point for Assad and his Masters in Tehran and with that failure the Assad government would crumble.

I can assure you, I am not the only one who held and still holds this theory.

The Rebels, all factions of them, have known from the beginning of the Assad push, they simply had to hold on and wait for the right moment in time to counterstrike.

I can also assure you that soon after the events of 21 Aug, the Rebels anticipated Western intervention at some level and at that moment in time, their counterstrike events would begin to take place.

For the past week, the rumors of pending attacks by the US and it's Allies fueled the Rebels, both the almost good ones and the real bad ones, plans for Assad's fall.

It was going to start this weekend and most likely Saturday night!!!!

Well........ Now what????

From a tactical standpoint, if you have moved forces into positions for a pending operation and it now appears that pending operation is delayed for weeks or may not happen at all, then what do you do?

How embolden are your enemies when all they have been doing for over a week is panicking as they try to hide vital instruments of their government, and suddenly they discover their doom has been delayed or better yet............called off?

Those who oppose Assad, and not all of them were in favor of US involvement, have once again been, "betrayed" by the West.

Is "betrayed" a accurate definition of what took place today?

It depends on who you are asking.

So, the long anticipated and probably coordinated "counterstrike" may or may not have the opportunity to take place.

Can Assad and his Master's proxy fighters, Hezbollah, go back to the task of figuring out a plausible siege plan for Aleppo?

Has this week long paranoia of, "The US is coming... The US is coming" depleated the plans for the assault on Aleppo?

You bet they did.

Did this anticipated strike by the West change the Rebel's plans for defending Aleppo?

You bet they did!

As you sit and ponder what today's announcement means to the people on both sides of the Syrian Civil War, add this question to your list?

What did today's decision by the US President mean to the GCC?

You know.. the same GCC that wants Assad and the Muslim Brotherhood and anyone else who would threaten their Monarchies gone!

Perhaps Saudi F15s and Destroyers will take on the mission?

Insert laughter here!!!!    

Last but I can guarantee you not least... what did today's events mean to the Tsar?


 For three years now, I have preached the power of perception in a world ruled by Social Media.

Today's events will shape and change perceptions on all sides.

What will it lead to?

Good question.