Saturday, March 10, 2012

















  
WHAT AIR OPTIONS DOES THE REST OF THE WORLD REALLY HAVE?

I promised a friend I would readdress the issue of Air Operations against the killing machine taking place in Syria.

I will keep this as simplistic as I can so those that read it can see what the options are compared to the risk, and to be honest, the risk are far greater than the options.

When I am finished, I will give one glimmer of hope, but it just may be that one glimmer that allows the rest of the world to act.

Ok, here is the down and dirty.

If you want to send the right message to Russia, Iran and the Eye Doctor and his Brother, the one really calling the shots, then you strike targets that are supporting the killing machine that is surrounding the cities.

Strike the supply routes, strike the main roadways the Syrian Army is using to move support to the North.  Cover them in cluster bombs.

Be ready for the Syrian news showing innocent people being killed by these attacks.

Have the briefing ready to go that shows what was used and where it was used and do so before the Syrian press get the false stories out.

Get this information out to the UN as soon as possible or even tell them it's going to take place just prior to the attack, like maybe 20 min prior.

Make the troops manning the artillery and the tanks realize the retreat will cost them their lives, thus putting the pressure on them to surrenders or just walk away from the equipment, much like the Iraqi soldiers did in Desert Storm!.

Conduct these strikes with weapons platforms that can penetrate the Syrian Air Defense Systems such as cruse missiles and such.

Avoid manned aircraft platforms with the exception of standoff options such as B52s and B2s.

Avoid destroying the Syrian Air Defense system for that would simply drive up their fear of being unable to defend the nation.

What I am talking about here is a large, fast, quick, one time strike.

A message would be sent...

"Shock and Awe" without six months of planning... simply not needed now days..

Strike the ability to continue the assault on Homs or another city.... not all at once.

Saving every city is simply too complicated and a step too far.

Now, the point of this type of attack is not to show Al Assad what can happen to him.

The point is to show his military leaders what awaits them.

After a few days of nothing but words from the Russians and the Iranians.. the Syrian Military Commanders will have to make a choice; Stay with Al Asssad and destroy Syrians' ability to defend the country or turn on him and negotiate.

Our trick will be to not do something as asinine as we did in Iraq; don't toss out the whole military leadership and leave the country to idiots like we did we with Debathificatoin in Iraq.

Tell the FSA and the SNC that some of the leadership must stay or the support is off.

How bad to they want the killing to stop?

Nobody in this world gets everything their way every time they want it.

Compromise is a word they must understand or they will continue to be slaughtered.

Here comes the dangerous part!!!

If Iran chose to fight it's coming battle with Israel and the US in Syria and not in Iran and not over their nuclear program, then they will not stand by why the rest of the Worlds far more advanced military machine devastates the front line units of Syria.

Russia is not going to fight a 'proxy" war with the rest of the world, but the Iranian event would give Putin exactly what he desires... 150.. 200 per barrel oil and the chance to be the " peace maker"..

Can the world strike the Syrian killing machine without the risk of immediate losses?

yes..

Can the word do so without driving the Middle East into a Regional war?

Maybe?

Ok. in closing... here is the one hint of optimism I alluded to in the beginning!!

Iranian military commanders are loyal followers of the regime, but the rank and file are young... and they have dreams of a world as they see it, not as the "old men" see it.

If Iran is pushed to the brink of a war and the youth of the military truly are lead to believe they are never going to see a normal life after that war, will they follow?

Are they devout nationalist??

Are they all fanatical Fundamentalist?

Or, are they mostly young and full of life!!

I honestly don't know,  but it may be the only saving grace we can count on.

The whole area is simply boiling!!!!