UKRAINE AND THE VACATIONING RUSSIAN MILITARY!

Once again, I have to admit my fascination with the Tsar…..Putin!!!!!

I have followed this man’s path for years and for just about the same amount of time, I’ve stated he is the most dangerous man alive and yes, in my book, the most interesting one as well.

But today, well let’s just say,  today it all came to a whole different level!

 Alexander Zakharchenko, a  Pro Russian Force’s Leader, statement was completely over the top!

He looked into the camera, never flinched and stated the Russian forces fighting alongside his forces were on “leave” from the Russian military!!!!!

Now, when I watched this segment on BBC today, I had to think for a minute.

Did he just say what I think he just said?

Leave?

Really?

That’s the best you can come up with?

Leave status?

With their Tanks and Armored Vehicles?

Now, it could be this guy was some local garrison idiot prior to the conflict and truly his professional military training was lacking; for now intelligent Officer of a modern day military could make such a mindboggling statement.

Then it struck me.

Why was this statement even made?

Of all the detailed planning the Russian forces must have developed for a complex campaign in the Ukraine, how in the world would this take place?

So, at the point of openly being unable to deny Russian forces and equipment on the ground in Ukraine, the answer is, “we are on leave”???????

I had to think for a few minutes and then the only possible conclusion one could come to popped into my head.

The Tsar doesn’t care!!!!!

The conversation must have been something like this; “ Sir, we need to think about our explanation for being seen in the area once we can no longer hide the fact”!

The Tsar; “who cares….. Whomever gets cornered by the media, just have them say something. By that time, it’s too late”!!!!

So, that’s it!

The Tsar doesn’t care what this Pro Russian Rebel leader states to the media.

He doesn’t care what media outlet covers the story or what the reaction is.

The fact is Russian Forces are now in the Ukraine and that is it!

Boldness?

This is beyond boldness!

This is a real indicator of just what the Tsar thinks of Western / European opinions and reactions.

Is this simply outrageous or is this more?

Does this lack of guidance to the Pro Russian forces indicate a far more important change?

Historically, when nations no longer “respect” their enemy’s capabilities and or resolve, a topic I spoke to yesterday, disaster soon follows!

So the Tsar wakes up to his morning briefing and in that briefing he is told of the “Leave” story from a Rebel Leader.

He laughs and then gets briefed on the progress of the event.

What if he woke up to his morning briefing and was told that the United States Army was on the ground in Syria or Lebanon or Iran.

Then, the Tsar then is shown a media story where a pro Rebel leader in Syria states, “the US forces that are here are volunteers or are on LEAVE”!!!

Insult!

Outrageous!

“Who the hell does he think he is… sending in his military and then telling the world they are on ‘leave’?

You see, this is exactly what the Tsar just did.

This was not just the next phase in Operation Ukraine.

This was a slap in the face to the West / US / NATO!

How it is the Tsar could be so bold as to allow such a stunning statement to be made?

Once again, it’s simple.

He doesn’t care.

He sees no “Resolve”!

The crisis that is Ukraine is much larger than Ukraine.

The worldwide crisis is the loss of resolve.

That simple word has been the glue that has held shut the gates of Hell for years!

Those gates are springing wide open, not just in the Ukraine, but in the Middle East, Africa and Asia.

Resolve!

Someone needs to find it and quick, but then again, someone may have already done so!

The Tsar!

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-28967526

ALAWITES… AND THE BOOGIEMAN .. IS IT TIME FOR A NEW SUPERHERO?

This story paints a very ominous picture for Syria,  but it cannot be fully understood without realizing the most important fact that will insure the outcome the Alawites fear.

Over the course of the past thirty years, the concept of warfare in Western Society has changed.

“kill the bad ‘guy’, but not the person next to him.

“Fight our enemies, but don’t lose any of our troops”.

“Destroy the second floor of the building, but don’t disrupt the power or water to the people on the first floor”.

Is my sarcasm over the top?

Perhaps, but my point cannot be disputed.

The West / US / has adopted an unrealistic vision of modern warfare.

Yes technology has made many things possible, but it has not destroyed the ability of our enemies to be ruthless, committed and simply more willing to fight than we are.

We chose, and it is our choice, to destroy 100 dollar trucks with three guys armed with rifles with a 300K dollar missile.

We do not chose to fight this truck with an armored vehicle or dismounted infantry or even Special Forces!

Our version of warfare is based on casualty aversion, public opinion and cost; unless that cost is associated with large companies making Billions from the conflict.

So, why is it the US administration and other Western Leaders, note… not all, are sounding the alarm bell on Islamic State Forces movements?

Why did the two most senior military leaders of the most powerful military in world warn the US public of the dangers of IS forces?

And why did the current Administration Officials quickly respond to the media that this “threat” may not be as bad as the impressions that were given?

Why is this message so confusing?

Resolve!

That is the reason.

The most powerful nation in the world doesn’t have the “resolve” to face a problem that might be the largest threat to society, or it may not be!

Should the West / US / put “boots on the ground” in the region to destroy the Islamic State movement?

It depends.

Is the movement capable of altering the entire region?

Is it capable of severely impacting the daily lives of the West?

What price is the West willing to pay to solve this issue?

What is the proper way to defeat this movement?

I’ve said this before and I will say it again.

The Islamic State movement has and continues to grow into “cult” status!

Young men flock to it for one basic reason; what alternative do they have?

For over ten years, the West truly believed the way to destroy AQ, remember them, was with precision munitions.

Even a precision strike by elite forces took out Osama.

Are we safer?

Is the Radical Islamic threat over?

Is it worse?

The Alawite people of Tartous people are facing the same issue I spoke of back in June of this year.

Like the Iraqi forces that abandoned their post, they see movement in the dark.

They hear sounds as paranoia grips their chest.

How many airstrikes will it take to save Tartous when the Boogeyman steps from the shadows?

The screams will be heard from Aleppo and Homs and those screams will empty the streets of Tartous.

The World War I disaster created in the Middle East has perhaps bread its ultimate villain.

Are there any Superheroes left?

Perhaps not in the West.

It may be time to look to the East!

http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/08/syria-jihadist-threat-homs.html

HAMAS AND ISRAEL AND THE BLIND DOG BONE STORY.  

For over a week now, the story-line has been the so called, War of Attrition, and who’s trying to win it.

Is it the Israeli concept to wear down the support of Hamas inside of Gaza?

Is the plan to drive a wedge between Fatah, Abbas and Hamas?

Does Hamas and its supporters believe two straight months of running for shelters is breaking the back of public support in Israel?

Does the execution, at the same time as the actions of the Islamic State, of so called “informers” damage Hamas’ support in Gaza?

Does someone think that Hamas will eventually run out of rockets?

So, what is really taking place here?

Is this a “War of Attrition” or is it more a matter of “Battle of Wills”?

Who will give in first?

In order to come close to a possible answer, we must look at the cost involved to each side.

Hamas:

Where do the young, frustrated fighters, who have no intention of reaching out to Israel, go if Hamas drops to Its knees?

Answer……… Islamic State?

Perhaps give it’s cult like draw in the region.

How does Hamas maintain control of the wealth it makes form Gaza, for you see, Gaza is nothing more than a business to the leaders of Hamas.

Simply put, what is left for Hamas if they “give in”?

Abbas and Fatah regain control of Gaza and Hama’s status in the region is gone.

Israel:

If you believe the media headlines, the past few days have been politically disastrous for Netanyahu!

Could he win the Battle and lose the Political War?

Are the people of Southern Israel tired of hiding in shelters?

Are they wondering why the IDF just doesn’t go into Gaza and stop the attacks?

Is Western support for resupply of advanced weapons impacting the ability of the IDF to continue such a War of Attrition?

Simply put, are the people of Israel wondering, “when is this going to end…..why doesn’t Netanyahu strike to end this?

Ok, it’s obvious that both sides are locked into this conflict and both sides have no desire to be seen as the loser!

Hamas truly has nothing to lose by fighting on, unless you count the support and blood of the people in Gaza.

Israel cannot be 0-3 over the past five years when dealing with Hamas and Hezbollah.

So, what is the outcome?

Where does all of this end?

Honestly, Netanyahu  is already well down the road of once again losing the perception battle.

Hamas may be killing their own people in the streets of Gaza, but in the region, they still wear the title of ‘underdog”!

They are still seen in many parts of the world as suffering at the hands of a far superior military backed by the “West”!

Here is the most important part and the easily the most dangerous part of the Hamas mindset.

Israel doesn’t have the resolve to occupy Gaza!

The price is too great compared to what the nation of Israel is currently enduring.

Hamas believes this to the point of fault and because of that, they simply will not stop lobbing small rockets into Israel.

No one understands this more than Netanyahu!

To completely invade Gaza would stress his support with the US beyond his control.

In his mind, his inability to crush Hamas is the fault of the US.

And yes; Hamas understands this.

So, you see, they are both helplessly locked in a conflict that neither can afford to stop.

What they both need is simplistically obvious.

They both need Sisi, or at least they thought they did.

Could it be that even the advantage of Sisi has passed?

So, in the long run, and old saying will come true.

“Even a Blind Dog finds a bone”!

After thousands of aimless rockets land in Israel, one will hit an emotional target.

One will get the headlines Netanyahu cannot ignore.

At that moment in time, the move into Gaza will take place!

Gaza will fall and so will any hope of peace for in will walk the Islamic State and the Cult that follows them.

Someone give Sisi whatever he wants.

He holds the cards, maybe!

UNITED STATES READY TO STRIKE IN SYRIA? DÉJÀ VU  ALL OVER AGAIN.

So, the US is ready to “strike” Islamic State forces in Syria now?

“If we see plotting against American, we see the threat to the US emanating from anywhere, we stand ready to take action against that threat”!!!!

Let me ask a simple question.

Who was that statement for?

As it all too often the case, media statements are little more than have baked “messages” to someone in a feeble attempt to convince them of something.

Let me get right to the barebones of this comment.

The US intelligence community sees “plotting” every day of the year.

If the world was to take Mr. Foley’s words true faith, the US would need a much larger Air Force!

Was the US administration taking a pounding in the eyes of the US “voting” populace?

You bet.

Did it launch a quick knee jerk reaction to this beating in the media?

Yep.

Has it now locked itself into a cycle of, “why not this time”?

Yep.

So, does yet another version of, “we really….really…mean it” have an bit to it?

No.

Does that almost force the US administration into taking further action?

Probably.

If anyone wakes up in the morning and see CNN and or MSNBC foaming at the mouth over “air strikes in Syria”, don’t be alarmed as I assure you the Islamic State forces won’t be.

But, just by chance, let’s play my favorite game;  “what if”.

What if:

The US decides to launch airstrikes inside of Syria?

How is this mission coordinated with the Genocidal leader is named Assad.

 The same Assad the US was prepared to bomb less than a year ago!

What if:

If this mission really is executed, how would  the air defense system of Assad’s forces be dealt with?

Would the US take them out prior to the missions?

Would the US “coordinate with Assad?

How would that look?

What if:

Perhaps the US would not deal with Assad, but with his Master in Tehran?

How would that look?

How would that look through, let’s say, the eyes of the GCC members?

It’s easy to see the concept of striking in Syria sounds like Tough Guy talk, but when it comes from a country whose Tough Guy track record is just this side of laughable, then what has really been accomplished?

In reality, this rhetoric posturing is just one more step into the minefield called the Middle East; a minefield the US is walking in nearly blind.

Oh, one last parting comment for today.

In the not so distant past, great nations like the US made difficult decisions and executed without giving the enemy an idea of what was coming.

When you tell someone, “ we may come after you and me may come after your key leaders in Syria”, you are knowingly allowing them to alter the outcome of your actions.

The current US administration is more than capable of taking covert actions and it has a track record of doing so.

And that is why I have to wonder, why tell the world you are thinking of taking action in Syria?

Who is that message for?

https://now.mmedia.me/lb/en/nowsyrialatestnews/561189-us-ready-to-take-action-in-syria-if-americans-threatened

CONVOYS AND THE INFAMOUS  DOUBLE DOG DARE!!!!

Yesterday, the United States two senior military leaders painted a chilling picture of what they consider the most dangerous threat to the United States and the West in, “years”, with one of them warning, “get ready”!

So is that the truth?

Is the Islamic State the most dangerous thing out there?

A few days ago, a Chinese fighter intercepted a US intelligence aircraft.

Does everyone remember the last that happened?

Out of the ordinary?

Is anything “ordinary anymore?

Oh!

Side note:

I find it interesting the two most powerful military leaders in the world give a combined briefing on the “Most dangerous event in years” to the American people and while they are doing this, their Boss is playing golf… A dire message with the wrong backdrop.

As the media chatter was still swirling around about the announcement from the US Department of Defense, the Tsar made his next move on the chessboard he calls Europe.

When this convoy issue first popped up, I made it very clear what the Tsar was going to do.

With all the talk of arms and troops somehow hidden in this convoy, it was fairly obvious this was not what was taking place.

What we all witnessed was the Tsar executing the plan perfectly.

Form a Humanitarian aid convey in Moscow that all the Russian citizens could see.

Drive it slowly towards the border and then stop and let it be inspected.

Realize the paranoia in the Ukrainian capital and in Europe will slow the process.

Declare the people cannot wait any longer and cross the border.

Who looks “compassionate” here?

What is the opinion of the Russian people; the people who support the Tsar to the hilt?

But, what is the real message here?

I will tell you what the real message is;  “shoot at my people…… I dare you”!!!!!

Once again, the Tsar not only calls the bluff of the Ukrainian government, but that of the West in general.

Back to my point I’ve made time and time again.

What is the West going to do?

More sanctions?

More of, “we are really….really mad this time”!!!!

So, once again  I ask the question.

What is the most dangerous event taking place in the world today?

Oh, and one last question.

I wonder if the Tsar plays Golf!!!!

For my European readers.. pass this one around please... :) 

HEZBOLLAH’S…. PLAYING THE WEST LIKE A STRADIVARIUS.

It’s no secret what Iran is attempting to accomplish with West / US and it’s even more obvious the West is going along with this deception.

What deception am I referring to?

The deception that the battle for the destruction of the Islamic State forces is a common goal of both the Persians and the West / US.

Article upon article is being put to pen on a daily bases addressing the issue of the US doing the bidding of Iran and or Assad in Syria.

One month the US is demanding Assad’s forces be attacked and the next thing we know, the US military is fighting to destroy the force set to destroy Assad.

US aircraft attack targets in Iraq at the same time Iranian forces are attacking them with barrel bombs and Special Operation Forces.

Abadi receives the endorsement of the US as he is taking orders on the phone from the Commander of Iranian Special Forces, Suleimani, who some say handpicked Abadi for the job in Iraq!

So, now enters the story of Hezbollah “condemning” the beheading of Mr. Foley!

What we are witnessing here is a very skillfully designed and executed public information campaign.

A campaign that paints a picture of ‘we have a common enemy’ and “we” must stop them.

For those who are moving beyond being paranoid of where the West is going with Iran, insert the GCC here, this story only adds fuel to the fire.

Every day, the West / US / seems to do something else that gives our old, and unfortunately I think they are “old”, Allies the impression we have “moved away”.

Now, we have Hezbollah…yes I said Hezbollah….making statements like  the West and them are on the same team!

Amazing, and even more amazing that the West continues to go along with the game.

But not only does this masterfully written plan attempt to drive a wedge between the West and the GCC, it doesn’t miss the opportunity to leverage the deepening divide between the US and Israel.

Notice the flow of this story.

https://now.mmedia.me/lb/en/lebanonnews/561049-hezbollah-condemns-us-journalists-beheading

Pay attention to the linkage implied between the “Terrorist” known as the Islamic State and the “Terrorist” known as Israel.

Over that past year, I’ve addressed the issue of Hezbollah’s paranoia over the power of the Islamic State forces and the threat they represent to Hezbollah in Lebanon.

It should come as no surprise the above mentioned storyline fits that same pattern.

Hezbollah would love nothing more than to witness US forces attacking IS groups in Syria, especially along the Lebanese border.

Sadly, it is also no surprise if the West / US / continues to be manipulated by Iran all for the sake of a nuclear “deal”.

PAKISTAN.... SAME OLD GAME. NEW ARENA.

Does the region need any more bad news?

No.

Could the “news” get much worse?

Believe it or not, the answer is yes and here is how.

Imran Khan is far from a Radial Islamic Fundamentalist.

So, why is it dangerous for a movement like his to march on the government of Pakistan?

How did the events in the early days of the “Arab Spring….Tunisian Virus”.. yes I still use that name……start?

Peaceful protest in the streets of Cairo by moderate, youthful men and women.

What has been the history of prolonged protest in the region?

Over reaction by paranoid governments…..street violence and massive media coverage.

And who is cleric Tahir-ul-Qadri?

Well, I will tell you what he is; he is wildly popular with the youth of Pakistan.

Now, does he have ties to the real power in Pakistan, the military?

Probably, but I’m willing to bet he is not under the total control of the military.

So, is this protest bad news, if so, why?

Back to what I stated earlier.

What does the collapse of the current government result in?

It’s not like it has not happened before in Pakistan, but times are different now.

The region is far more fragile and social media is a weapon that is uncontrollable.

Marching and protesting and chanting seems to be the new world social pastime.

Is Pakistan the latest arena for this new game?