CONVOYS AND THE INFAMOUS  DOUBLE DOG DARE!!!!

Yesterday, the United States two senior military leaders painted a chilling picture of what they consider the most dangerous threat to the United States and the West in, “years”, with one of them warning, “get ready”!

So is that the truth?

Is the Islamic State the most dangerous thing out there?

A few days ago, a Chinese fighter intercepted a US intelligence aircraft.

Does everyone remember the last that happened?

Out of the ordinary?

Is anything “ordinary anymore?

Oh!

Side note:

I find it interesting the two most powerful military leaders in the world give a combined briefing on the “Most dangerous event in years” to the American people and while they are doing this, their Boss is playing golf… A dire message with the wrong backdrop.

As the media chatter was still swirling around about the announcement from the US Department of Defense, the Tsar made his next move on the chessboard he calls Europe.

When this convoy issue first popped up, I made it very clear what the Tsar was going to do.

With all the talk of arms and troops somehow hidden in this convoy, it was fairly obvious this was not what was taking place.

What we all witnessed was the Tsar executing the plan perfectly.

Form a Humanitarian aid convey in Moscow that all the Russian citizens could see.

Drive it slowly towards the border and then stop and let it be inspected.

Realize the paranoia in the Ukrainian capital and in Europe will slow the process.

Declare the people cannot wait any longer and cross the border.

Who looks “compassionate” here?

What is the opinion of the Russian people; the people who support the Tsar to the hilt?

But, what is the real message here?

I will tell you what the real message is;  “shoot at my people…… I dare you”!!!!!

Once again, the Tsar not only calls the bluff of the Ukrainian government, but that of the West in general.

Back to my point I’ve made time and time again.

What is the West going to do?

More sanctions?

More of, “we are really….really mad this time”!!!!

So, once again  I ask the question.

What is the most dangerous event taking place in the world today?

Oh, and one last question.

I wonder if the Tsar plays Golf!!!!

For my European readers.. pass this one around please... :) 

HEZBOLLAH’S…. PLAYING THE WEST LIKE A STRADIVARIUS.

It’s no secret what Iran is attempting to accomplish with West / US and it’s even more obvious the West is going along with this deception.

What deception am I referring to?

The deception that the battle for the destruction of the Islamic State forces is a common goal of both the Persians and the West / US.

Article upon article is being put to pen on a daily bases addressing the issue of the US doing the bidding of Iran and or Assad in Syria.

One month the US is demanding Assad’s forces be attacked and the next thing we know, the US military is fighting to destroy the force set to destroy Assad.

US aircraft attack targets in Iraq at the same time Iranian forces are attacking them with barrel bombs and Special Operation Forces.

Abadi receives the endorsement of the US as he is taking orders on the phone from the Commander of Iranian Special Forces, Suleimani, who some say handpicked Abadi for the job in Iraq!

So, now enters the story of Hezbollah “condemning” the beheading of Mr. Foley!

What we are witnessing here is a very skillfully designed and executed public information campaign.

A campaign that paints a picture of ‘we have a common enemy’ and “we” must stop them.

For those who are moving beyond being paranoid of where the West is going with Iran, insert the GCC here, this story only adds fuel to the fire.

Every day, the West / US / seems to do something else that gives our old, and unfortunately I think they are “old”, Allies the impression we have “moved away”.

Now, we have Hezbollah…yes I said Hezbollah….making statements like  the West and them are on the same team!

Amazing, and even more amazing that the West continues to go along with the game.

But not only does this masterfully written plan attempt to drive a wedge between the West and the GCC, it doesn’t miss the opportunity to leverage the deepening divide between the US and Israel.

Notice the flow of this story.

https://now.mmedia.me/lb/en/lebanonnews/561049-hezbollah-condemns-us-journalists-beheading

Pay attention to the linkage implied between the “Terrorist” known as the Islamic State and the “Terrorist” known as Israel.

Over that past year, I’ve addressed the issue of Hezbollah’s paranoia over the power of the Islamic State forces and the threat they represent to Hezbollah in Lebanon.

It should come as no surprise the above mentioned storyline fits that same pattern.

Hezbollah would love nothing more than to witness US forces attacking IS groups in Syria, especially along the Lebanese border.

Sadly, it is also no surprise if the West / US / continues to be manipulated by Iran all for the sake of a nuclear “deal”.

PAKISTAN.... SAME OLD GAME. NEW ARENA.

Does the region need any more bad news?

No.

Could the “news” get much worse?

Believe it or not, the answer is yes and here is how.

Imran Khan is far from a Radial Islamic Fundamentalist.

So, why is it dangerous for a movement like his to march on the government of Pakistan?

How did the events in the early days of the “Arab Spring….Tunisian Virus”.. yes I still use that name……start?

Peaceful protest in the streets of Cairo by moderate, youthful men and women.

What has been the history of prolonged protest in the region?

Over reaction by paranoid governments…..street violence and massive media coverage.

And who is cleric Tahir-ul-Qadri?

Well, I will tell you what he is; he is wildly popular with the youth of Pakistan.

Now, does he have ties to the real power in Pakistan, the military?

Probably, but I’m willing to bet he is not under the total control of the military.

So, is this protest bad news, if so, why?

Back to what I stated earlier.

What does the collapse of the current government result in?

It’s not like it has not happened before in Pakistan, but times are different now.

The region is far more fragile and social media is a weapon that is uncontrollable.

Marching and protesting and chanting seems to be the new world social pastime.

Is Pakistan the latest arena for this new game?  

 A DAM IN IRAQ AND EERILY FAMILIAR  TUNE 

Wow. A great victory for the forces of “good”….right?

Kurdish forces and Iraqi troops fighting side by side supported by US air power?

Does this sound like a song we have heard time and time again over the past ten years…you know.. the Iraqi… “Victory” song! 

Now, could the US President use any level of good news right about now?

You bet, even if he has to make it up.

Ok, about this dam.

Let’s take a look at what was achieved here.

Did the Islamic State forces really need the dam?

When they took the dam from the Kurds, did they intend to utilize it for economic growth in their newly won land?

No.

Did they intend to blow it and bring the government of Iraq to it’s knees?

Well, if they did, they would have accomplished just that.

The fact of the matter is, they didn’t blow the dam and we need to ask why?

So, let me ask one simple question.

Did the simple act of taking the dam and routing the fearless Kurd fighters give them credibility?

Absolutely.

So, did holding the dam give them any level of a victory?

What was more important in this event; the taking of the dam or the shock of being able to soundly defeat the Kurd fighters?

I know the answer.

So, is this it?

Are the Islamic State Forces on the run now?

Is the US President right?

Even he knows the answer.

“ A major step forward”????

Really???

Ask the FSA forces in Aleppo that question.

And what about Mr. al-Abadi?

Well, he would comment, but he is on the phone right now…taking orders from his Persian Bosses.

One last note.

What say the Ottomans?

Arms for the Kurds?

Kurdistan with US support?

Let’s see how that plays out.

NASRALLAH’S MOST RECENT SPEECH… FASCINATING!

Now, I've read just about every speech Nasrallah has given in open forum, but I must admit this one is far…far different that anything he has produced to date!

For over a year now, I've addressed the issue that truly worries Hezbollah’s leadership; Islamic State’s juggernaut throughout the region!

Has Nasrallah been concerned with the perception battle he’s been involved in with his own base?

Yes.

Has it been hard for him to convince the families of his fighters that their men must die in Syria and they are not going to their grave for the sake of the Persians?

Yes.

Has he battled the statements of not staying home to protect their “own” land from the IS forces?

Yes.

Is he worried the Islamic Forces are reaching the point of moving into Lebanon?

Oh yes…. And that is the core issue of today’s speech.

Just imagine the Islamic State leaders listening to this speech; this plea for that is exactly what it was!

Nasrallah is known for his fire and brimstone threats always pointed towards the never ending enemy of Israel.

Israel?

The speech today was in “celebration” of the 2006 battle with whom?

Israel?

Where was the mention of Israel, the Great Enemy of Hezbollah?

Two themes today.

1.  ‘People of Lebanon….pull together, before it’s too late’.
2. ‘ If we leave Syria, the enemy, IS, will be at our front door…on our streets”!

Staggering!

Simply staggering!

Does it worry Nasrallah Hariri has come home to Lebanon?

Yes.

Did he mention that fact today?

No.

What was the one strategic message the US never truly convinced the American people of?

If you fight your enemy on foreign soil, they less likely to fight you on yours!

The US leadership may have missed the opportunity to drive this message home, but I think Nasrallah is going to give it a much better shot.

So, just how worried is Hezbollah?

Who knows what dangers Lebanon faces better than Hezbollah?

No talk of Israel.

No talk of Hariri.

If we witness Nasrallah reaching out to Hariri, it will be time to take the battle to the forces of the Islamic State and I mean everyone!

Nobody understands this better than Sisi and the IDF.

Strange, mindboggling “alliances” are being made and still the Islamic State forces move forward!

Fascinating!

MALIKI QUITS AND A QUICK, WORTHLESS, VICTORY LAP FOR THE WEST!

Question.

Who did Maliki report to?

Answer.

The Persians.

Question.

Who informed him it was time to “go”?

Answer.

The Persians.

Question.

Who does al-Abadi truly report to?

Answer.

Yep….. The Persians.

Question.

Will the West / US / spend the next year or more saying, “we can work with him”?

Answer.

Yes…. The same answer the West gave for Maliki for the past several years.

Question.

Will Maliki’s stepping down really  solve anything?

Answer.

Only if you are looking to convince someone progress is being made.

Question.

What does this announcement mean to the Eye Doctor; Assad?

Answer.

He is probably changing his paints as I type this.

Question.

Will the West / US / try to take this event for a quick “victory lap”?

Answer.

Of course and that will make them look all the more amateurish in the months to come.

And finally;

Question.

Will this stunt change anything about the advancement of the Islamic State Forces?

Answer.

Good grief….do I need to answer that one?

THE ISLAMIC STATE AND THE DIVISION OF BERLIN.

With all the attention be given to the US actions in Northern Iraq, it’s easy to once again overlook the area everyone seems very accustom to “overlooking”.

Syria.

Let me make this simple.

The Islamic State forces are set to do what Assad forces have been incapable of accomplishing.

The capture of Aleppo!

FSA forces know what they are facing and they also know the odds of anyone coming to their aid.

It’s very possible we are about to see history repeat itself.

At the end of WWII, the greatest challenge was to see who would grab what was left of Germany; the Russians or the Western forces.

It was a race that nearly lead to the clash of forces who had fought the same enemy for nearly five years.

Were the two sides “friends”?

Not really.

Did they have a common goal?

Yes. The destruction of Nazi Germany.

Was there concern over who would own what part of the country?

Yes.

Is the same thing taking place in Syria?

Yes.

How did it end for the West and Russia?

How will it end for the forces supporting Assad and the forces opposed to the IS forces?

Having said all of that, here is the even more confusing point.

At the end of WWII, who was on who’s side was a clear cut story.

Does that hold true for Syria?

Who is on Assad’s side?

Who is fighting IS forces?

Both excellent questions with muddy answers at best.

So, what happens if Aleppo falls to the IS forces?

Does the US airpower strike IS forces in Syria?

No.

Does the supporters of Assad commit more troops to save Assad?

No.

Does Assad lose Aleppo for good?

Yes.

Does Aleppo become just another city in the grasp of the IS movement?

Yes.

Do the young fighters of FSA jump ship and fight with the IS forces and bring all the arms they have with them; arms the “West” and “others” have provided them?

Yes.

So, why did I know this was going to happen?

Don’t think for a minute I’m the only one that figured this out.

The IS forces captured a great deal of conventional military equipment from the Iraq military that ran away.

This lead to the IS forces thinking they could utilize this equipment in a conventional combatant style, thus abandoning what has worked for them for several years; unconventional conflict.

They wondered if and where the line would be drawn and they got their answer.

Risk to US members in Iraq.

How long do anyone think it will take to return to what has worked for them and move the conventional equipment to a place the US forces will not strike it?

Hint.

They already have.

Remember…. The events of last week were a test of limits and the test is over.

So, where does that conventional equipment move to?

The fall of Aleppo may provide us our answer.

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/middleeast/2014/08/fighters-capture-towns-syria-north-2014813134018291760.html