HEZBOLLAH'S STRUGGLE TO MAINTAIN ITS CORE. 

When I first wrote of Hezbollah's entry into the Syrian Civil War, I stated Hezbollah would not survive as the force they were at that point in time.

The thrill of being young and being involved in day to day conflict.... fighting door to door and watching those around you die changed the pillar of the Hezbollah movement....it's fighting youth.

When their Persian Masters ordered them into the Syria conflict, it seemed a glorious task and many ran to the sound of the guns.

Then came the first real test for the leadership of Hezbollah; explaining the deaths, many of them, to a families in Lebanon who wanted no part of the conflict in Syria.

Having to look into the eyes of the women of the families and explain to them how their Sons, Husbands died at the hands of fellow Arab Muslims in a land that didn't have any meaning to the families.... that was the fist task leadership was not prepared for.

Then came fighting an enemy who was without rules!

Yes, in the history of Hezbollah, the fighting or preparation for fighting was based on an enemy who would limit themselves with human rules!

Against the well trained and fanatical Sunni units, this advantage disappeared.

And still the stress of informing families of "why" usually without the "how" or "where"!

Then the next real change began to become appearent to Hezbollah's leadership; the same change that took place with the Rebels leading the fight against Assad.

Hezbollah leadership stayed in Lebanon, drinking tea and eating more in a day than the front line youth was getting in a week.

No sleep.... the loss of friends.... Iranian Masters dictating where and when to be and how to fight....

And so, the changes continued!

After the fist year, the fighters in the field began to look back into Lebanon and say, "easy for you to say... .you are sleeping 10 hrs a day in real bed"!

Oh yes.... the thrill was gone and Hezbollah leadership knew it and still knows it!

The reality that Hezbollah's leadership never wanted to realize has come true.

Factions!

Yes, Hezbollah has had hardcore elements in the past, but this is different.

Hezbollah is not what it was  before they entered Syria and the changes that will continue are nearly impossible for their leaders to predict.

And as all of this is taking place, the call for more Hezbollah members to give up their lives... for a rich Eye Doctor and the Persians...well... that demand just keeps coming.

Is Nasrallah right?

Are the Israelis content with Hezbollah members killing fellow Muslims on Arab land?

Yes!

Here is the bigger question.

What is Nasrallah will or able to do about it?

What changes to his fighting force are taking place as he sleeps and drinks tea in Lebanon?

Will he wake up soon and realize, part of his organization no longer believes in him or his vision?

Nasrallah pushed Hezbollah into Syria at the orders of his Persian Masters!

Nasrallah has shoved Lebanon into the violence of Syria at the orders of his Persian Master.

How much longer will Hezbollah's fighting core follow him?

Who will become their new Hero?

https://now.mmedia.me/lb/en/reportsfeatures/542407-notorious-hezbollah-checkpoint-removed-amid-internal-reshuffle

ERDOGAN.. WHAT DO TYRANTS  DO WHEN THREATENED?

Back for a moment to one of my favored topics.....Egodan / Erdogan and I say "for the moment" given it could be the Tsar is about to move into the next phase of the Russian Mater Plan.

Ok, Egodan's party won 44 percent of the popular vote!

Like any methodical Tyrant, his victory speech had no signs of compromise and in fact, it was laced with out right threat to his opponents... namely the Gulen movement.... a movement he see the West supporting every passing day .

Does 44 percent indicate Turkey is about to move into a move peaceful time?

Not a hard question to answer I know.

His opponents are and will be more resolved than every given his open threats shortly after his victory lap.

Are things going to get better for Turkey?

No.

To people like Erdogan, 44 percent is a "mandate"!

And that leads us to the real problem and it's a serious one.

Egodan knows he has no mandate!

He knows the opposition is not weakened at all.

He understands his fire and brimstone post election attitude will only make things worse.

So, ask yourself; why....why did he say what he did?

The author of the attacked article brings up a great point.

If the so called leaded tap, the one where his government is talking actions in Syria, is truly a prelude to actions to come, then would that explain his arrogant attitude?

I've said it before about this guy and I will continue to say it over and over again; he knows full well the art of distraction!

Yes, his party won the last round of elections, but Egodan knows that is more than a hollow victory.

The movement against him grows and the more he threatens to stop it, the worse it will get.

Egodan can take all the victory laps he wants.

He can give all the "I'm coming to get you" speeches he desires.

The fact of the matter is the Kurds still want their slice of Turkey.

The Sunni Radicals want him dead.

The Gulen movement is gaining speed with each passing day.

As soon as the victory laps and the treating speeches end, that leaked youtube clip may become a very important part of Turkish history.

One last comment about the leaked clip and it's an interesting one.

Could it be this leaked clip gathered just enough exposure in the world press and social media that now Egodan is having second thoughts about executing the plan?

If so, what is the value of leaking information when the outcome is the prevention of conflict?

http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/04/erdogan-victory-turkey-warning-west-nato.html

NORTH KOREA.. THE BAD HAIRCUT KID ACTING UP AGAIN!

Now, I know when we all look at this kid running North Korea we can't help but think he needs a part in Hangover IV, but the fact of the matter is, he is more dangerous today than he has been in the past two years.

His actions in just the past year have many real experts on North Korea and the rest of the "get me on the air.. and I'll talk like I'm a Korean Expert"...."Experts.. more than puzzled.

Some say, " he is trying to break away from the restrictive history of his Grandfather and Father.

Some say, he is more delusional that his Grandfather or Father ever was.

He's trying to open North Korea up, but the old power elites won't let him, so he is having them killed off...to include family!

He is doing this and he is doing that... and it means this... or it might mean that...

Yep.....I'm with ya..... nobody seems to have a clue what this bad haircut kid is up to!

Military leaders who are, "close to him", removed... Denis Rodman???? No clue there....unless haircut boy has a secret fetish for real freaky folks....

So, lets stop trying to figure what makes him tick and let's look at what he can do if he wishes to.

Can he strike out on his own with little or no input from the Dragon?

Yes.

Can he work a deal with the Tsar to keep the pressure up  on the other side of the world as the West tries to calm the fears of Eastern Europe?

Yes.

Can he play Good Cop.....Bad Cop with the Dragon in a bid to derail the US's Pacific policy?

Yes.

What can he do tactically?

He can have one of the largest cities in the world in flames within minutes of ordering it to happen and he can accomplish this without using his nuclear weapons options.... a program everyone hopes they have some working understand of.

Of all the things we could talk about here, let me express the one issue that truly worries me about this kid.

Overreaction and a staff more scared of him than they are of telling him something he may not agree with.

A good friend of mine who is a retire FBI agent once told me, "When you are in the Mob and you walk into a room and there is plastic on the floor.....that's a bad sign"!

This is exactly how his "advisors" must feel right now.

Let's say Japan really does shoot down a test shot from North Korea; then what?

What does the mad little haircut boy do?

The good news is, even the new far more assertive Japanese government is too smart to tempt the kid this way; unless he pushes it too far.

Ok, look!

That fact of the matter is this.

At a time when most of the Western world is watching the new Russian Empire try to reemerge and at time when the Arab / Muslim / world seems to continue to slide into a sectarian war that could last for decades, it's important to remember the crazy little haircut boy who has the ability to send the Pacific into crisis.

Once again the lesson is there for all to see.

The world in the 21st Century moves faster, more violently and more uncontrollable than at any point in Human history.

Wars are not always the result of deep, complex planning processes developed by a major nation state.

The 21st century world could fall into crisis over  something as simple as an email!!!!

Think about it.

Don't believe it?

http://www.worldbulletin.net/headlines/132913/japan-orders-army-to-strike-n-korea-missile-launches

QATAR PART OF UAE?  WELL... THERE IS A LITTLE HISTORY THERE.

Most know by now my interest in following what takes place with the GCC and those who interact with the organization.

It is also not new news the GCC has  recently struggled with it's image, more than usual, and large "cracks" in it's structure are now very visible.

Qatar's support, as insincere as I think it might be, for the Muslim Brotherhood, MB, seems to be the major point of contention, but I am still not sure that is real issue at hand.

Is Qatar more sympathetic, friendly, with Iran than Saudi would like them to be?

Yes.

In regards to the statement by General Khalfan; who is he and why would he make such a inflammatory comment?

"A top Dubai security official"?

Ok.... I don't know if I've ever met a Gulf State General who didn't present himself as a "top official...just about everyone over there that gets to wear "General", who is related to someone, is a "top official"!

Lets get past who he is and why he may be trying to have is fifteen minutes in the Sun,  but let's explore what he said and then more importantly, who had him say it?

Yes, it is true Qatar, at one point in time..... a very...very...short period of time...like days.... was part of a larger "territory"... a territory designed by Westerners and we all know how that ends up in the Middle East.

Yes, the story is General Khalfan is very anti MB... what Gulf State General is not?

Timing!

As is always the case in political event, timing is everything and if timing is everything, then who picked this point in time to have him make this statement?

Was it his idea?

If he is truly attempting to climb the status latter, an event that no Gulf State General overlooks or stops dreaming about, then it could have been his idea.

That's not my hunch here.

The relationship between the UAE and Saudi is a strong one and my bet is, this statement was well scripted by the General's leadership.

I'm not ruling out a "toot my own horn" here, but I would bet against it for one simple reason!

When someone over there does try to climb the latter too quickly, the rungs in the latter are cut even faster.

Nobody jumped up and said, " The General was way out of line and doesn't speak for the UAE"... at least not in public.....yet!

My theory is this statement was made to let Qatar know the threat of being abandon by the GCC is growing.

Who are Qatar's "real friends"?

The US with it's forward military footprint there?

Ask the Egyptian government if that really matters when it comes to your "friends" sticking with you!

It could be that Saudi, the Master of the GCC, learned a valuable lesson from the events in the Ukraine / Crimea.

Threaten to take back something that has some historical backing and then see how the rest of the region reacts!

The warning shot fired here was not at anyone but Qatar, but the history of "friends leaving with little notice is also part of the formulary!

Qatar's window to rejoin the fold of the GCC is closing and in reality, the relationship may never be the same.

What General Khalfan did was deliver a message and it's a message heard not only in Qatar, but in Iranian capital as well. 

You see; the real danger here is not a rouge Qatar, it's the Iranian's believing the GCC is ripe for the picking.

Saudi can ill afford to feel any more desperate over their standing in the region.

Qatar is hearing the famous, "ether you are with us or you are against us"!!!!

http://www.arabnews.com/news/549521

IRAN'S UN ENVOY??? IS THIS TOSSING THE BABY WITH THE BATHWATER?

First things first!

Is Hamid Aboutalebi and fanatical Muslim Fundamentalist?

Nope!

Is he most likely a practicing Muslim?

Yes!

Did he have a part in the American hostage crisis?

Yes; along with thousands of other young Iranian College Students!

Was Hamid Aboutalebi young and full of idealist College Student concepts?

Yep!

Side note.. Doesn't the US have a few folks in close to the current administration that fit the same mold?  I could name a few and so could most of you!

Now, I'm not traveling down the road of advocating lettting this guy into the US.

Yes, I am one of those who believes that actions early in one's life must have consequences, but I am also so one that believes we need to truly understand an event before we jump for the spot light called the new media.

If you ask the people who know President Rouhani, you would find he "trust" Aboutalebi and oh by the way... it's a truthful statement when someone says, " Ahmadienjad despised him".

So what is the real story here?

No one on the "don't let him in" side of the argument is saying he is a radical Muslim.

What they are upset about is his affiliation with those who stormed the US Embassy years ago.

Another side note: The initial movement to oust the Shaw was not a Radical / Fundamentalist act... The Fundamentalist kidnapped the revolution months after the storming of the Embassy took place.

Everyone accepts the fact the Iranian President doesn't do anything that could impact the relationship of the Iranian nation with the  rest of the world without permission!

So, a "moderate" President, picks a career politician, who he trust, to work with the UN.

It turns out that individual has some baggage that is still somewhat emotional with the US, although one could hardly tell given the media coverage of this story.

How quickly will the President be told by the real leadership of Iran to swap this individual out?

Well, that depends.... Does the real leadership in Iran really care?

As easy as this could be to fix, can it become a more important leverage point?

Can the US trade this guy for something weigh over his weight with the Iranian leadership?

Yep.

Simply put; I would not compromise on something larger than this one persons presences in the UN and find out after the fact the person never meant a thing to Iran's real leader.

Real short answer.... DON'T SCREW THIS UP!!!

My final, "side note".

Does anyone remember Jerry Adams?

I cold blooded Killer who was paraded around as a Irish Hero years latter.

Aboutalebi is no killer... but just another political moderate who use to be a youthful College Revolutionary dreamer.

http://backchannel.al-monitor.com/index.php/2014/04/8045/irans-un-envoy-pick-questioned-over-ties-to-hostage-crisis/

HAMAS, JORDAN AND BETTER "TIES"...YA ...RIGHT.   

When I read the attached article, I couldn't help but wonder what color the sky was in the Author's world?

The King of Jordan has about no intention what so ever of making any commitment that could strengthen The Muslim Brotherhood.

What is really going on here is more about Hamas getting ready to find a new home if Sisi and the Egyptian Army moves to neutralize Hamas' abilities in Gaza.

The concept of Jordan reaching out to Hamas is simply not plausible, even in a region of the world where double dealing and broken promises are an art form.

 Look, the facts are these!

Egypt has the Muslim Brotherhood on the ropes and Hamas is easily in Sis's gun sites.

Hamas has lost far more friends in the past two years than they care to admit, Syria.... Iran... Hezbollah.....if they ever really were "friends"..

Would a collapse of Hamas authority in Gaza cause concerns for the King of Jordan?

Yes.

Is the King willing to build a bridge to Hamas and risk any future dealings with Saudi and Sisi?

No!

Remember; Jordan is still in the conversation of becoming a member of the GCC and any "reaching out" to a group who supports the enemy of the Saudi government... the Muslim Brotherhood.....well... that is not smart politics.

Finally, it seems members of Hamas are the ones doing all the talking about working with Jordan.

When I see a story from the King's Staff on the subject, then I might begin to believe something is "up" and even then I would not submit it will end well for Hamas.

Hamas and Hezbollah are both set to have very bad years and lifelines to countries like Jordan may make great one day news stories, but I wouldn't place any bets.

           

http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/03/jordan-hamas-palestine-relations-amman.html

PRESIDENT SULEIMAN AND HEZBOLLAH.. THE THRILL IS GONE!

Well, it's been coming for a while now, but it does appear it's official.

What could have once been described as a uneasy alliance between Hezbollah and President Suleiman now appears to be officially over.

Giving support to the concept of Hezbollah turning it's weapons over, ones they don't want the world to know they even have, to the Lebanese Military, a military that has been cooperative with them yet involved in a "working relationship with the West.....well... that is a bridge too far for the Persian Puppets.

It's been a classic example of Statesmanship, fence sitting that Mr. Suleiman has been executing, but as the old saying goes it became time to "fish or cut bait"!

Those who truly understand Lebanon, sense times are changing and the future of Lebanon cannot include an armed group of killers who have been actively engaged in a sectarian war.....a war that has seen Muslim's murdering Muslims... a war that has Arabs killing Arabs.

Hezbollah, like Hamas has not changed with the times and their leadership's desire to hold on to power and wealth has made them as transparent as any of the other ruthless leaders in the Middle East.

Suleiman knows all too well Hezbollah has no problem letting blood fill the streets of Lebanon's towns and cities if it means staying in control of what they desire more than anything else...power!

Does Suleiman and those around him who are beginning to see the light have future of holding hands with the opposition in Lebanon?

Probably not, but the difference is, the opposition  is not  willing to burn Lebanon to the ground to gain power!

Yes, the Sunni leaders in Lebanon are not without guilt, but the fact of the matter is they have far less blood on their hands than Hezbollah.

When Hezbollah first ventured into Syria, at the orders of the Persians, I said then it was the beginning of the end for them.

Hezbollah wakes up tomorrow morning, like every other morning in the past two years, realizing the people of Lebanon grow tired of their games and the will to support them is fleeing the country.

In the end, the only safe place for the leaders of Hezbollah may very well be Damascus and I have a feeling that is where they are already.

http://www.worldbulletin.net/headlines/132501/hezbollah-snubs-lebanons-national-dialogue

 side note: My old friend and fellow blogger is telling me he has over thirty countries following him now!

Well.. He writes Comic Books and I write what needs to be said!! 

But, push my post around if you can... I would love to show him who gets more hits!!!