Wednesday, April 2, 2014



IRAN'S UN ENVOY??? IS THIS TOSSING THE BABY WITH THE BATHWATER?

First things first!

Is Hamid Aboutalebi and fanatical Muslim Fundamentalist?

Nope!

Is he most likely a practicing Muslim?

Yes!

Did he have a part in the American hostage crisis?

Yes; along with thousands of other young Iranian College Students!

Was Hamid Aboutalebi young and full of idealist College Student concepts?

Yep!

Side note.. Doesn't the US have a few folks in close to the current administration that fit the same mold?  I could name a few and so could most of you!

Now, I'm not traveling down the road of advocating lettting this guy into the US.

Yes, I am one of those who believes that actions early in one's life must have consequences, but I am also so one that believes we need to truly understand an event before we jump for the spot light called the new media.

If you ask the people who know President Rouhani, you would find he "trust" Aboutalebi and oh by the way... it's a truthful statement when someone says, " Ahmadienjad despised him".

So what is the real story here?

No one on the "don't let him in" side of the argument is saying he is a radical Muslim.

What they are upset about is his affiliation with those who stormed the US Embassy years ago.

Another side note: The initial movement to oust the Shaw was not a Radical / Fundamentalist act... The Fundamentalist kidnapped the revolution months after the storming of the Embassy took place.

Everyone accepts the fact the Iranian President doesn't do anything that could impact the relationship of the Iranian nation with the  rest of the world without permission!

So, a "moderate" President, picks a career politician, who he trust, to work with the UN.

It turns out that individual has some baggage that is still somewhat emotional with the US, although one could hardly tell given the media coverage of this story.

How quickly will the President be told by the real leadership of Iran to swap this individual out?

Well, that depends.... Does the real leadership in Iran really care?

As easy as this could be to fix, can it become a more important leverage point?

Can the US trade this guy for something weigh over his weight with the Iranian leadership?

Yep.

Simply put; I would not compromise on something larger than this one persons presences in the UN and find out after the fact the person never meant a thing to Iran's real leader.

Real short answer.... DON'T SCREW THIS UP!!!

My final, "side note".

Does anyone remember Jerry Adams?

I cold blooded Killer who was paraded around as a Irish Hero years latter.

Aboutalebi is no killer... but just another political moderate who use to be a youthful College Revolutionary dreamer.

http://backchannel.al-monitor.com/index.php/2014/04/8045/irans-un-envoy-pick-questioned-over-ties-to-hostage-crisis/




Tuesday, April 1, 2014



HAMAS, JORDAN AND BETTER "TIES"...YA ...RIGHT.   

When I read the attached article, I couldn't help but wonder what color the sky was in the Author's world?

The King of Jordan has about no intention what so ever of making any commitment that could strengthen The Muslim Brotherhood.

What is really going on here is more about Hamas getting ready to find a new home if Sisi and the Egyptian Army moves to neutralize Hamas' abilities in Gaza.

The concept of Jordan reaching out to Hamas is simply not plausible, even in a region of the world where double dealing and broken promises are an art form.

 Look, the facts are these!

Egypt has the Muslim Brotherhood on the ropes and Hamas is easily in Sis's gun sites.

Hamas has lost far more friends in the past two years than they care to admit, Syria.... Iran... Hezbollah.....if they ever really were "friends"..

Would a collapse of Hamas authority in Gaza cause concerns for the King of Jordan?

Yes.

Is the King willing to build a bridge to Hamas and risk any future dealings with Saudi and Sisi?

No!

Remember; Jordan is still in the conversation of becoming a member of the GCC and any "reaching out" to a group who supports the enemy of the Saudi government... the Muslim Brotherhood.....well... that is not smart politics.

Finally, it seems members of Hamas are the ones doing all the talking about working with Jordan.

When I see a story from the King's Staff on the subject, then I might begin to believe something is "up" and even then I would not submit it will end well for Hamas.

Hamas and Hezbollah are both set to have very bad years and lifelines to countries like Jordan may make great one day news stories, but I wouldn't place any bets.


           

http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/03/jordan-hamas-palestine-relations-amman.html





Monday, March 31, 2014



PRESIDENT SULEIMAN AND HEZBOLLAH.. THE THRILL IS GONE!

Well, it's been coming for a while now, but it does appear it's official.

What could have once been described as a uneasy alliance between Hezbollah and President Suleiman now appears to be officially over.

Giving support to the concept of Hezbollah turning it's weapons over, ones they don't want the world to know they even have, to the Lebanese Military, a military that has been cooperative with them yet involved in a "working relationship with the West.....well... that is a bridge too far for the Persian Puppets.

It's been a classic example of Statesmanship, fence sitting that Mr. Suleiman has been executing, but as the old saying goes it became time to "fish or cut bait"!

Those who truly understand Lebanon, sense times are changing and the future of Lebanon cannot include an armed group of killers who have been actively engaged in a sectarian war.....a war that has seen Muslim's murdering Muslims... a war that has Arabs killing Arabs.

Hezbollah, like Hamas has not changed with the times and their leadership's desire to hold on to power and wealth has made them as transparent as any of the other ruthless leaders in the Middle East.

Suleiman knows all too well Hezbollah has no problem letting blood fill the streets of Lebanon's towns and cities if it means staying in control of what they desire more than anything else...power!

Does Suleiman and those around him who are beginning to see the light have future of holding hands with the opposition in Lebanon?

Probably not, but the difference is, the opposition  is not  willing to burn Lebanon to the ground to gain power!

Yes, the Sunni leaders in Lebanon are not without guilt, but the fact of the matter is they have far less blood on their hands than Hezbollah.

When Hezbollah first ventured into Syria, at the orders of the Persians, I said then it was the beginning of the end for them.

Hezbollah wakes up tomorrow morning, like every other morning in the past two years, realizing the people of Lebanon grow tired of their games and the will to support them is fleeing the country.

In the end, the only safe place for the leaders of Hezbollah may very well be Damascus and I have a feeling that is where they are already.

http://www.worldbulletin.net/headlines/132501/hezbollah-snubs-lebanons-national-dialogue


 side note: My old friend and fellow blogger is telling me he has over thirty countries following him now!

Well.. He writes Comic Books and I write what needs to be said!! 

But, push my post around if you can... I would love to show him who gets more hits!!!






Sunday, March 30, 2014



SNAPSHOT..... HEZBOLLAH....RUSSIA... SAUDI AND THE ARAB LEAGUE

I've not done one of these is months, but today is a good day to do one; SNAPSHOT.
(A quick look at several key topics that lead to a common "picture").

HEZBOLLAH:

It appears Nasrallah felt it was time to give one of his canned, "why are we here", speeches this week.

Why is Hezbollah in Syria?

Those that know the region, know the answer and it's an answer that really upsets those who support Hezbollah with their families blood..... by the way. Hezbollah doesn't need the money for the fighting in Syria, Assad and the Persians supply that part.. the cheap part of the process.

The young men of Hezbollah are in Syria because for two reasons.

1.  They fear the Sunni movement more than they fear an Israeli invasion of Lebanon.
2.  They given their orders by their Persian Masters and their Masters want them in Syria leading to Arabs killing Arabs!

Now, both of these points are more than hard sells for Mr. Nasrallah and a very evil government once lived by the premises of, " The greater the lie, the more often you have to tell it"!

The fact of the matter is, just as some of us predicted, Hezbollah ran to the glory of young men fighting in the streets of Syria only to realize there is no way out!!!!!

The other ugly fact that Mr. Nasrallah wants desperately to avoid is the reality that Lebanon is now in more danger than ever of becoming yet again a failed nation-state.

The chances of those who wish Lebanon to survive the event in Syria; those who wish to avoid shoving Lebanon into a sectarian war have been greatly diminished by the selfish actions of Mr. Nasrallah and his Persian Masters.

Finally, if there is one thing Hezbollah's leadership understands, it's the reality their Persian Masters also have a Master and that Grand Master's name is Putin!

What does the Tsar's complex game have planned for the Persians and how will the Puppets of Hezbollah be tasked?

Who knows...... they will just have to wait to see what the Persians are told to do.  

NEXT:


RUSSIA:

Well, that leads to the next interesting slice of the Snapshot!

In the past two days, a great deal has been made of the Tsar's 'reaching out" to the US.

Even this morning the Western Press is ripe with stories of "further diplomatic meetings"!

Well, as my Mother always said, "talk is cheap", and that is exactly how an X KGB Chief would see it!

"Talk", most likely a necessary round or phase of the Tsar's Master Plan; he can't let that public image get too far out of hand!

So, the obvious question remains, what's next?

What happens?

Is there another phase to the Tsar's Master plan?

Well, ask yourself this one simple question and I think you will begin to form your own answer.

Would Putin and Russia knowingly had their economic future jeopardized for the sake a physically taking control of a small slice of land....a slice of land the whole world knows they already control outright?

Does the Tsar fear the Russian version of a Arab Spring so much, that he has decided to launch his reinstatement of the Russian Empire with full force?

Most of us know, he has long dreamed of regaining Russian glory, but have the events of the past three years... have the growing protest in Moscow and the expanding Social Media concept driven his worries to the point of complete panic?

My guess is, unfortunately....yes!!!

Well, that should give everyone their answer!

This Crimea / Ukranian / event was not about the Crimean people longing to be part of Mother Russia.

This was not a single "blip" on the world's radar.

In my opinion, this was round one of a very paranoid, egomaniac's reaction to a threat he cannot live with.

NEXT!

SAUDI ARABIA:
Where is Saudi after this week of "talking" with the US?

Are the fears of abandonment gone?

Insert laughter here.

Will the central figure of the Gulf Region begin to calm down over it's future with the US?

No!

Like the Tsar, the Saudi leadership fears change.... change they cannot control and change that leads to future that may or may not involve them.

Who can help them prevent this change?

China.... India.... Russia... Israel......yes I said Israel!!!

Never...ever...forget...."The Enemy of my Enemy is my Friend"!

If the West is no longer perceived as part of the process and the Gulf States have what others desperately need.. fuel..... then what new strategic alliances are in the making?

History has always shown us Alliances have three parts... beginnings.... Test...Breakup!

Here is another historical fact of Alliances; after they fall apart, the old members have very little say so on what the other member / members / do or who they form new Alliances with!

Here is my hint.... we nee to produce every ounce of energy in this country that we can and we need to reach out to Mexico like we never have before.

NEXT:

THE ARAB LEAGUE:

 Let's face the reality of the world as it stands today.

The Arab League is a complete waste of time!

No one pays attention to it, not even it's members.

It's like a dying country club in an area that at one time was the place to live, but is now rundown.
My prediction is that after new alliances are forged in the Arab world, a process that is taking place right now, the Arab League will be renamed and maybe even reenergized!

Until then, the organization is not even with mentioning or tracking.

The events surrounding the rifts in the GCC are going to change the course of the Arab world.

Simply put.. as the GCC moves, the rest will follow...

It's the same old story....follow the money!



Friday, March 28, 2014



SO THE TSAR CALLS THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES?

So, the Tsar called the President of the United States while the President was in Saudi Arabia?

Did anyone catch that point?

Why make that call now?

Why call him while he is discussing regional visions and alliances with an allie that is more than skeptical now?

Does anyone think the point was lost on the King or his staff?

I bet it was not lost at all!

In the eyes of an Arab leader, who would look like the person truly in charge?

The person visiting another country, a country the person is struggling with?

The person who made the call, knowing the location and topics the other side was involved in?

Am making something out of nothing?

I would like my friends in the Middle East to answer that question.


Gamesmanship..... an art form the Tsar has come to master....that is what I believe is taking place here!

Next question; did the Tsar simply make the phone call to make the President look weak in front of the Saudi King or did he make this stunt a "twofer"?

I would love to hear what the Tsar had to say and even more, I would love to know who got to listen in on both sides.

On one side is most likely  Ms Rice.... Please!!!!

On the other side.... well...who knows.... ask the Western intelligence agencies who is part of the Tsar's inner circle and see if they have a real clue!

Ok, on to what was said.

Does anyone really think the Tsar "reached out" to the President of the United States?

Really????

If the Tsar's perception of the President of the US is let's say, less than favorable, then what message was given?

"Here is what I'm going to do and here is why and I want to warn you about taking this too far... I want you to understand why I am doing what I am and that I will not change my mind"!

What if that was the message....more or less?


Early today a lot was said about the US President's comments about understanding what worries the Russian President!

Let me ask a simple question.

How does everyone think that somewhat sympathetic stance played in Eastern Europe?

What was the fly on the wall version from the leadership of Poland... Bulgaria ect...ect?


Is it possible the Tsar read and heard this stance and figured it was the right time to make the next move? 

Here is what I believe.

Whatever the purpose was behind the Tsar's phone call, we will see the results soon.


I am sure the Tsar was not feeling desperate or pressured to "reach out" to the US President.

If anyone thinks that could be the case, and most liberal media will, than they are simply hiding their heads in the sand...once again...


Thursday, March 27, 2014



SOCIAL MEDIA AND THE FEARS OF ERDAGAN:

It was hard to decide to stay on the topic of Egodan and his struggle to suppress Social Media in Turkey, given all the events that were worthy of discussion today.

None the less, what he is attempting to do is more than important enough to justify at least one more review before I move on to what is taking place with the rest of the region and Europe.

Ok, in my reoccurring desire to keep it simple.... let me just reiterate why Egodan is doing or attempting to do... stifle social media events by the people who he perceives to be his enemies... and that list seems to be growing by the day.

As if his attempts to close the door on Twitter were not enough to get people to turn their heads in disbelief, now he has his lapdogs make a move on Youtube?

I will give you the fact Google made "deals" with China, but Google saw a BILLION...FIVE HUNDRED MILLION potential customers in China and what company would not sell their collective soul for such a goal?

And besides, in the end, not even China's governmental machine will achieve the goal of limiting the people's ability to communicate with the outside world.

Here is the next part of this Egodan story that caught my eye.

What was it that Youtube did that upset him so much?

Oh ya.. showed a clip of his lapdogs laying out the plans for actions inside of Syria; and event many like me think is coming if needed to take the heat of Egodan.

Did Youtube fabricate the clip?

No!

Did someone in the opposition "doctor" the clip?

Who knows.

The one thing I didn't hear today was the lapdogs of Egodan stating the whole story was a fabrication; as a matter of fact they said, "parts had been doctored"?

What does that mean?

Do government's and their militaries draft "contingency plans"?

Of course they do!

So, why not simply say, someone hung a clip that showed a typical planning process.... like any planning process that has most likely taken place dozens of times since the crisis in Syria began?

I will tell you why; Because the leaked clip is not the issue at all.

The issue is the fury over social media not being controllable in Egodan's Land... Remember.... he owns the whole country...just ask him or listen to his speeches.

Look, there are many issues taking place right now both in the region of the Middle East and the areas around it and most of them are capable of sparking very dangerous events.

The whole region has been an accident waiting to happen for years, but Turkey is not just a trivial matter.

Yes, Egodan is just another egomaniac who is terrified of losing power...power he wants to hold on to for years to come, but Turkey is a gateway nation and this gateway nation sits at the doorstep of a region already reeling from the actions of the new Tsar.

Squeezing social media is going to and actually already has, backfire on him and his government.

As some try desperately to "keep it all together: in the region and even in Europe, it is critical that someone else doesn't set the wheels in motion for larger problems.

Now is not the time for Turkey to decide to move on Syria for the sake of saving Egodan's rule.

Social media usage in Turkey is not the issue here, but the actions of his government are a real indication just how dangerous his actions... thoughts are becoming.

We don't need anymore "bad news" in the region, but I don't know that Egodan knows that or even cares.


Wednesday, March 26, 2014




ERDOGAN'S LOSING CONTROL ... WHAT DOES IT MEAN?

In a flash of the obvious, I will state once again just how idiotic the attempt by Egodan to kill TWITTER in Turkey, or as he would put it, "in my country"!  I keep forgetting he owns the whole country... Side note.. When a national leader speaks in first person, that is a very...very dangerous sign!!!! Always has been.... always will be!

As if the assign attempt on TWITTER wasn't outrageous enough, today's comments about the CHP, the opposition party in Turkey, being "hand in hand with  Assad and the "Terrorist" working inside Syria is sadly anther example of just how irrational Egodan truly is!  Another side note:  how is it you can accuse your political rival of being sympathetic to both sides of a civil conflict...... I'm not the only one who was "lost" on this comment!

And if this still not enough, Egodan then went on to compare the Gulen movement to yet another Terrorist organization!

So, according to Egodan's vision of the world, if you are not in support of him.... then you are a member of or support a Terrorist organization!

Are you lost yet?

It also appears Egodan is possibly getting ready to take a page from the Tsar's new book, "how to capture territory you really didn't need to"!

All the talk over the status surrounding the Tomb of Suleiman Shah in Syria sounds eerily familiar.

I do find it interesting the ISIL would be confident in goating Turkey into sending troops into Syria only days after Egodan launched his anti Twitter distraction action against the Syrian Fighter aircraft.

If the ISIL was really cunning enough to derive a plan that would lead to Turkish interdiction in Syria, even if only limited,  then they may truly have a working understanding of just how fragile Egodan's government is.

The facts remain the same.

Egodan's Iron Fist rule of Turkey is under attack and his list of enemies is growing by the day.

Trying to keep social media from the people in Turkey he fears the most, the youth, well only an out of touch fool could possibly believe such a stunt is even achievable.

The danger is, yet another key leader in the region, a leader who is linked to NATO, is becoming more and more irrational and he is a leader the West has supported... well... up until now!

Ask Mubarak how fast Western "support" can fade!