WHO SHOT WHO IN SYRIA TODAY?

All the buzz today was about the two Police Officers being shot at the protest just outside Damascus Syria today.  

Some reported 'unknown gunmen' fired on the crowd striking two Police Officers.

That's a great storyline if you need to Government to look like the 'good guys'.

Some reported 'unknown gunmen' who were part of the protest fired upon the Police.

Another great storyline if you need the Government to look like the good guys.

Let's look at another possibility and who would benefit from it.

Now when the shots rang out in Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Bahrain, Oman, Yemen, Saudi, Algeria ect... ect..

everyone was ready to accept the fact it was the 'Government' that did the shooting.

In Egypt even when it appeared the shooting was coming from in the crowd towards the protestors, it was still widely reported it had to have been Government agents planted into the crowd to make it appear the innocent rebels were turning violent!

So where did this 'concept/ theory' disappear to today?

Is it possible that one of the most oppressive regimes in the world, Syria, could devise such a clever act after watching the same thing happen for the past three months all over the Middle East and North Africa?

I am going to go out on a limb here and say, 'yep', I think they could!!!

So; why didn't this 'twist' show up in the media today?

I will tell you why I am worried it didn't show up.

I believe, as DEBKA stated this week, some countries may be adopting a policy of, "better the Devil you know then the Devil you don't know".

How much 'revolution' is too much 'revolution'?

I've asked this question before, but Syria may be adding validity to the argument.

I have talked about how dangerous this Syrian event can become.

Syria means more to Iran than all the others put together.

Perhaps other countries are starting to realize this.

Perhaps the concept of 'Democracy' in Syria is a Bridge too far... yet?

Perhaps, but the Sunni have a vote and the Kurds as well.

It's not over yet.

CHANGE... THE  2011  VERSION!!!!!

 The article attached is not a bad attempt at depicting the aftermath of the Egyptian event.

Notice the slant towards the MB and how they are trying to reform, disguise
as I would put it, so they can come to the forefront. 

Wolves in Sheep's Clothing!!

 The subliminal message is not missed when you see the line about the Youth
Movement of the MB and the 'old guard' having  the same end-state in mind. 

The Young and the Old of the MB may simply want the same thing. '

'Sharia Law'!

One thing that came to mind, after reading this article was the issue of some people, especially young people, believing Social Media's are conducive  to executing the construction of a government.

I 'm not nearly sold on that idea as much as I am on social medias being real tools for bringing down governments.

Bottom line; its much easier to stand out in the streets and scream for 'change' than it is to sit down and build a complex, governmental process!!

http://www.yalibnan.com/2011/03/24/analysis-egypt%e2%80%99s-facebook-revolut



WOLVES IN SHEEP'S CLOTHING

It's easy right now to get stuck on watching the day to day grind of the 'Tunisian Virus'.

Libya is sexy for the media to talk about, but it no longer leads off the news.

Bahrain and Yemen are honorable  mentions right now.

Just not enough blood and violence to keep the media's attention.

Like the song said, "  Get the Widow on the set".

What the media is not doing, at least the Western media, is conducting the follow up work on Tunisia and Egypt.

What have been the results so far of the miracle transformation called the Democratic Revolution?

Most media giants covered the Constitutional referendum that took place in Egypt, or at least they want their viewers to believe the covered the story.

The truth is they looked into this issue about as deep as the Mafia looks into their complaint department; oh ya.. they don't have one!

I would challenge anyone to find a story on any of the Western media sites about what Constitutional Amendments were passed in Egypt?

            How many?

            What did they say?

            Who supported them and who did not?

            What impact will they have to the future of Egypt?

Half-Ass simi professional journalism is the rule of the day in the US.

Let me give you a hint; if the Muslim Brotherhood had a 'Master Plan', and I believe they do, they would be right on track.

Change your groups name; toss some 'moderates' up in front of the left leaning Western media and most of the US population thinks  things are going swell in Egypt.

WRONG!!

OK; now Tunisia!

Let's see, just last week we had three riots between four different groups over about ten different issues.

Ah yes, fledgling Democracy in action; or perhaps social quagmire?

Again, the 'bad guys' and the numbers of groups continues to grow, have all figured out phase one of getting pass the simple minded Western media.

Simply change your name and toss a 'moderate', preferable with a PHD because Lord knows and we all know how smart people with PHDs are in the eyes of the media.

 Academia is the land the Journalist grew up in.

So; as time goes on and the media continues to focus on the next go HD shot of blood and bullet holes, the transformation to 'Democracy'  continues to take place outside the visibility of the world public.

Like any Virus, Tunisia and Egypt can give us a glimpse of where the next mutation phase may take the countries that fall ill; that is if anyone is watching.

I am and this little bitty place call Israel is as well.

We shall see.



ISRAEL ON THE EDGE.

Lots of things to be worried about in the Middle Eastern Region, but one flash point needs to be addressed.

Israel and Hamas are closer now to open conflict then they have been in several years.

I'm not sure I agree with the argument Hamas is looking to distract the dissatisfaction of the people of Gaza with Hamas.

For Hamas to actually take the critical step of forcing open hostilities with Israel, they would have to have the backing of Iran.

I don't accept the concept Egypt is already playing a factor in supporting Hamas's actions.

Egypt is too busy trying to hold itself together and that is another serious issue in itself.

I am going to stick to my theory that Iran is looking for a redirection of the world media away from the ever increasing violence in Syria.

Assad ineptness combined with his arrogance has Syria falling into an ever deepening crisis.

The fact the Kurds are now joining the 'protesters' is a near panic level event for Assad.

His actions are monitored by Iran 24/7/ 365; you see, Iran really doesn't trust Assad!

Anyway, the Iranian option of forcing  events in Bahrain or Gaza is becoming more and more likely to happen.

The question becomes not if, buy when and what option do they take?

Israel understands this and the actions the media is picking up on in the past few days reflects their movement towards dangerous times.

Hamas can see the preparation as well and has two choices .

                1. Begin to prepare themselves for hostile actions on a large scale.

                2.  Decide not to take orders from Iran and waste everything they have gained in the past three              years.

Don't fool yourself.... Hamas will not walk into the jaws of the Israeli War Machine just because Iran tells it to.

The danger is Iran thinks they will or is scared they won't.

loyalty is a much different relationship than convenience.

What relationship the two have at this moment is very suspect.

http://www.debka.com/article/20813/



KUWAIT  MAKES  IT'S  MOVE!

Kuwait has taken some  interesting steps here.

 A two part move:

1.   punish the 'moderates' who convinced Kuwait's leadership not to take part in Peninsula Shield.

 A dramatic step given the plan was mostly designed to support Kuwait  years ago.

I remember this plan well.

 They have been embarrassed by deciding to not  be a larger  part of the
reaction to Bahrain.

It may make them believe their allies might hesitate to come to their  aid
and thus allow Iran to target them more aggressively. 

That would explain The second part of the Kuwaiti steps taken

2.  Rounding up Iranian agents, or alleged agents; my bet is Kuwait has the right bunch, at least part of them.

Trials can happen  quickly in Kuwait  when needed, even when the Kuwaitis
tell you they have been working something for months, so don't panic these two got the death penalty so fast.

Sectarian violence?

Last week I said I believed I knew where all of this was heading, but I never got around to talking about it.

I will this weekend, but in a nutshell the question above is the issue.

As this  'Tunisian Virus' event continues, a very  dangerous variant could
come to the forefront .

 Watch for the Gulf States, desperate Monarchies, to begin to shape this as a
" Sunni Vs Shi" event. 

 This article hints to that concept taking shape.


http://www.yalibnan.com/2011/04/01/kuwait-trial-reveals-irans-hidden-hand/#


TUNISIA TRIES TO JUMP THE 'POND'

Remember what I  said back when Egypt was starting to have problems?

 The ability of the 'Tunisian Virus'  to get to the states is going to happen at some
point in time.

When you read this article, you can see what Al Jazerra is trying to imply.

http://english.aljazeera.net/indepth/features/2011/03/2011328111314767851.ht

The common thread, or at least the one our enemies will try and weave, will be based on some fashion of 'injustice'.  

Now I know New York is known for protest and getting 5k people into the
streets of New York is as easy as announcing free tickets to a Yankees / Red
Sox's game, but again,  notice how Al Jazerra  shaped this event!

If you look at the 'Tunisian Virus' most if not all of the revolts / protest
/ have started with 'failed' rallies that get people to meet each other,
exchange Twitter accounts, FB accounts  and basically  lay the groundwork
for the next demonstration.

Professional organizers are going to get involved in this movement and I  would bet
they already have.

It is not too difficult to imagine that  Iran or others, UBL, would be more than ecstatic  to see some version of social discord in the US and the sooner the better.

The event in Wisconsin a few weeks ago was the target of foreign media information operations, I.O.

The problem was, the issue was not broad based at the beginning and by the time it became a 'Union Busting' shaped discussion, supported by some of or own, Western / Left leaning media, events in Libya had overtaken the American public; that and the tragedy of Japan.

Wisconsin and New York may very well be ' miss fires' but it has given our enemies a grand opportunity to focus on once again 'weaponizing' the 'Tunisian Virus'.


THE DANGER OF HEROES

It appears Kadafi's forces have temporarily adapted to the Air Cover.



Small teams that move out looking like the rebel forces.



The teams converge on a point do a quick salvo fire of mortars and then move
out again.



It  sound as if they are spreading out along the sides of the highways to
keep any aircraft from being able to take out more than one or two vehicles at a time.

Untrained Rebels don't know the difference between mortar fire and tank /
artillery fire.. hence panic sets in and they give up ground.



The NATO forces have a great deal of Desert to cover with a limited number of aircraft.

That makes it very difficult to spot, properly identify and engage known targets.


 What the Mad Dog is doing is creating a Rebel Stampede!!!

Kadafi's forces are making a lot of noise and the Rebels panic!


The Rebels are going to need someone or some group, WARNING!!!, to help them understand what is happening  to them.

As long as they believe columns of tanks are coming at them, they will
continue to run.

 This tactic will become ineffective if the Rebels take a defensive line and
wait till they actually  can see what the enemy is doing.

 Here is the problem.

 
Who are the 'Tactical Advisors' for the Rebels right now????



If not our troops, then you can bet the 'Radicals' will fill this void. 

 That will make them 'heroes' in the eyes of the young Rebels.

Heroes are followed when the fighting is done.

Six months from now the conversation can go something like this. (Radical / Hero) " I would like you to meet a friend of mine who can help you with all these issues of rebuilding Libya's Government. He is a good man and I think  he can help you".

When someone questions why the young Rebels are listening to this new person, the answer will be,

" I owe him my life".