PUTIN AND TRUMP FINALLY HAVE THAT BEER!

The US media is running around in circles with their hair on fire. The Donald and Mr. Putin are going to meet! It’s happening……it’s finally happening! The left of left CNN is almost challenging The Donald. They are just about threatening him that he better take a hard stance with the Tsar or it will prove he was in bed with him, bad image I know, from the very beginning. It’s all been a grand plan to get The Donald in the White House and now the Tsar is going to press a button on his watch and The Donald turns into a mindless robot with a Moscow sticker on his forehead. If The Donald smiles, it’s on! He was a plant and the loony left in the US will believe it!

Where’s the Beef?

The first meeting? The first face to face meeting! Okay……………….so what? Does anyone think for a minute these two have not talk over issues dozens of times? Does anyone think they have not talk over critical issues time and time again? For all we know they are suto  Twitter pals. Really, that would not surprise me one bit.

So, what is this all about? What is all the hype over them meeting face to face for the “first time”? The public. That is what the hype is all about. The public gets to see them together and for some reason that is important. Whose public? The US? The Russian? The Iranians? The Chinese? The Turks? Europe? Yes. Yes to all. So, it’s a photo op? Yep. It’s a photo op! So, they are not really addressing important issues, just taking pictures? No. Symbolism is the issue for the photo shoot and then……………move on! Is it possible for the two of them to meet without anyone knowing it? Yes. Is that what took  place? Absolutely! If may have already taken place. A continuation of topics that the two of them have been talking for months, that is what is taking place or going to take place. Here is the fun part!

Play the Game!

So, The Donald has to show that he was, “hard” on Mr. Putin. He has to make CNN and the Democrats say, “It was all a show”! Yep, they still didn’t believe it not because the Bromance is true, but because they cannot afford to admit the two of them are not in some type of “relationship”. It was easy for The Donald to let a few words be recorded, make a few comments and then move on. It was easy for Mr. Putin to sit there and let The Donald make a few statements. Why? Because it really was all a show! Give the public what they want; the photo op. Give the Democrats and the Liberal Media something to talk about and then move on to important issues. Issues that have been on the table for months. Play the game and then get down to business. By the time I posted this, the hysterical, I mean historical meeting has taken place. The real issues that will impact the two nations continue to be batted around. The Russians continue to make decision about Syria without giving Iran a vote. The Iranians know the topic of Syria is and was on the table and they didn’t get the coordination phone call. The Chinese have to wonder what was said behind closed doors, but that’s only if they are not able to find out. The crazy little fat guy in North Korea may or may not wonder what The Donald and Mr. Putin talked about. In the end, the photo op was held. The private meeting took place and who knows; they may have even had a beer together, but don’t tell CNN. It would prove the conspiracy they are punch drunk with.  What really came of this event? Nothing. What changed? Nothing. What is the topic that both are pushing hard on? NATO and North Korea. Trading is in the future and the trading partners are limited to the two of them. Back to work boys! Send out a tweet or two Donald. Have Sputnik media publish something rational soon Mr. Putin. The anticipated event is now history. Back to work. 

PUTIN AND TRUMP SET TO MEET, BUT DID THE MAIN TOPIC JUST CHANGE?

A successful ICBM flight for North Korea as confirmed by the US.  Going into the meeting between the Putin and Trump, the major topic was most likely going to be Syria with a bargaining stance of future support events in Eastern Europe. Now, part of that conversation may have just changed and changed dramatically. North Korea. That will be The Donald’s lead talking point. I would be willing to bet some level of conversation has taken place in just the past 24 hours. Staffs resetting the discussion flow. That is what I bet has taken place. An ICBM capability in North Korea! A game changer? Yes, but for more reasons than you might think.

One Man’s Crisis is another man’s opportunity!

Do the North Koreans have a miniaturized warhead that can sit on top of the rocket they just launched yesterday? The Intelligence community will have made the best guess they possibly can. Are they correct? The Chinese and maybe even the Russians may know. The fact of the matter is this. The ability to deliver is now there and the US has admitted it. Delivery. The world that most “experts” said the North was not close to yet. These are the same experts that missed the nuclear weapons programs in South Africa, Pakistan, and India. Need I say more? When it comes to nuclear weapons, there is no such thing as, “whoops”! Trump comes to the meeting now with a topic that must have some level of resolution. The North Korean can has been kicked down the road for over 25 years, but the road has come to an end. By the way, it’s the same road the can is heading with the Iranians.

Trump comes to the meeting with Putin with a growing crisis on his hands. On his watch, the issue of North Korea will finally have to be dealt with. What does the mean to the Tsar? Leverage! That what it means, leverage! Putin had it coming into the meeting, but the counter effort was painful. Eastern Europe. Poland and a Missile Defense program on the horizon. All of these things with Putin willing to turn up the heat in areas like Serbia as the Chess Match continued. Now. Now, that has changed and Putin know it. What does The Donald need from Putin on the issue of North Korea? What is the new price of support from Moscow? How does Putin help convince the Chinese to accept the possible fate of North Korea? Can he make the crisis better or worse? Going into this meeting, it may appear the Tsar holds the Trump Card…. I know….cheap! But! Does he? Does Putin have the real advantage?  Does he truly understand the mind of Donald Trump? Here is where the “experts” in Moscow, the Tsar’s “Experts” may have been wrong………………………very wrong!

The Mind of Trump!

I’ve made this point before. Trump is not a man who has achieved where he is in the world today by being out maneuvered at the negotiation table. Can he take a crisis and turn it into an advantage? Yes! He has that skill most of the US politicians, on both sides, hate about him. He is better at their game then they are and they know it and they hate it! The media knows it and they hate it more than the Politicians. Just ask CNN. “Vlad. I want you to know I am going to deal with North Korea’s program with or without your support. I’m going to inform the Chinese and let them know they need to make a choice. I know what they want in the region and I know what I will offer them to allow this North Korean nightmare to end. I will tell the South Korean government that we have run out of time. I will tell Japan’s government I will need their help,, but I will do this with or without them as well. I can’t allow this to continue and I will accept loses in our forces and the lives of civilians in South Korea and North Korea before I will allow the loss of life on US land. China has one last chance to prevent this event. You and I both know they have the ability to overtake the North Korean government either with their military or with the help of the North Korean military, but they must act now”! Now, these are not the exact words Trump may use, but the tone is there. The perception of, “I’m not going to let this event dictate the future of my country”! This is the real Donald! This is the mindset of a man who drives hard and at some point in a negotiation, digs in and crosses his arms. If this is the Trump that shows up for the sit down this week, what does the Tsar do? How does he maneuver to up the stakes if he suddenly sees that there is no room for compromise?  Does he look The Donald in the eyes and say, “ I understand! You can no longer tolerate what is taking place in North Korea and I can no longer tolerate what is taking place with NATO in Eastern Europe. What are we to do”? You better believe Putin is capable of such a steely eyed conversation. Folks! This could be one of the most important meetings for the future of the world in a long…………long time. Who knew the first meeting between these two would have such weight on it! I know I’ll be watching.

TURKEY AND THE SAUDI. WHAT IS REALLY TAKING PLACE?

Just about the time the Arab Spring started, I posted that in the end, the real issue for the region was going to be about power. It’s always about power. You pick the spot in the world and it’s about power. Back then, my comments came along two lines. One, the struggle between the Ottomans with their new Sultan, the Arabs with Saudi leading the charge and the Persians with Iran to once again, own the Arabs. By the way, owning the Arabs was and is the goal of the Sultan as well. The second issue that was and is tearing the region apart was once again about power, but this time the struggle was and is inside of one religion. So why all the talk about the tension between the Turks and Saudi? Why does that surprise anyone? Does it really surprise them? If you read someone’s babble about the weakened relationship between the Turks and the Saudis, stop reading! Don’t waste your time on the words of an idiot looking to get paid for this week’s editorial. Ottomans and Arabs. Oil and water. Persians and Arabs. Oil and water. Ottomans and Persians. Oil and water. Does it really matter? Does this increasing departure of tolerance of each other really matter; for that is all there really is, tolerance. Does Turkey’s support for Qatar really amount to anything? Yes. At this point in history, yes it does and here is why.

Qatar: 

I’ve not spoken much about this ongoing issue with Qatar. I posted something a few weeks ago, but then I sad back to watch what the shakeup in Saudi was really all about and what it might lead to. That’s a topic I will address in the next few days, maybe!

Why? Why is Turkey supporting Qatar? Is it the gas? Is the banking system? Is it Qatar’s funding in support of Turkey? Yes on all three counts, but it’s more than that. It’s part of the “vision” of the New Sultan. Divide and conquer? Is that the Sultan’s plan? Help split the Arabs. Help pull apart the regional coalition called the GCC? Even if this was not the real plot behind the support of Qatar, how could the pending King of Saudi see it any other way? What does the young Prince think of the Sultan? What does the think of the Ottomans? Yes, they are Sunni together by history, but that is not the baseline of loyalty in that part of the world. Blood! Blood is the cornerstone of alliances and there is no Ottoman blood in the Prince’s vanes! Taking sides is a dangerous game in the Middle East. Perception rules the world of international affairs and the perception of the young Prince may very well be the time for working with the Turks is almost over. Enter. Egypt. Well not really enter, but increased support that is the step that is taking place now. So how does the Sultan answer the increased Saudi / Egyptian alliance? Well, in a way that won’t make the situation any less dangerous.

Persians and Ottomans:

Over the past few years, I can’t remember how many times I’ve addressed the relationship between the Ottomans and the Persians and I’m too lazy to search my own blogsite! So, let’s look at this section of the post as a refresher. Is there anything the Sultan sees as appealing when he looks to the Persians? Trade? Well, somewhat, but nothing that makes his mouth water. The Kurds? Yes, they both have a common goal in keeping Kurdistan from taking place. Shia vs Sunni? Yes that bothers him, but not from a religious standpoint. He’s not exactly a Sunni zealot. He most likely only prays, when he needs to have someone seeing him do so. Pressure? Does the perception that the Ottomans are talking the Persians impact the Arabs, the Saudis? Yep, you bet! How about the West / US? What is the perception of the Turks talking with the Iranians? Frankly, Turkey has been the Brother in Law you can’t stand, but have to put up with for over ten years now. Tolerance. That is the common trail the West / US seems to be walking on the topic of Turkey.  It does help to poke the Sultan in the side every once in a while with his arch nemesis living in the US.  If things keep going the way they are with Turkey, I wouldn’t put it passed the Donald to even have Gulan swing by the White House for a chat. The Sultan would storm around in his Castle; oh yes, he has a Castle………….a huge one, built just for him. Okay, back on track!

In typical times, a Ottoman, Persian photo op would not stir too much anger in the Arab world, but the Arab world is in crisis right now and it shows no sign of calming down anytime soon. Qatar is being played as a Pawn by both the Ottomans and the Persians. That Pawn has a history of not doing as they are told when orders come from the Arab Headquarters, Saudi. Enter the pending, and actually current King of Saudi and you have yet another dangerous flashpoint. Qatar is not behaving and they are not behaving because they believe they have other larger bodies to hide behind, to include the US. Is everyone out to end the Arab’s dominance in the region? Is the West / US / part of the plot? What is the best way to strike back at this anti-Arab agenda? Who is the one that needs the poke in the eye to show the rest of the plotters just how serious you are? I wonder when an Iranian naval vessel is going to be fired on. Guess how my book about the next world war starts? I just hope it doesn’t happen before I’m finished writing. I hate when I predict something and then it happens before I can show how smart I amJ

JULY 1^ST AND “THE OTHER IRAN”.

Three interesting articles that were well timed by the Al-Arabia media site.

https://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2017/06/28/Iran-accuses-US-of-brazen-plan-to-change-its-government.html

https://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2017/06/28/Iranian-protesters-show-support-for-upcoming-opposition-Paris-rally.html

https://english.alarabiya.net/en/views/news/middle-east/2017/06/28/Growing-understanding-of-the-viability-of-regime-change-in-Iran.html

One common theme here. Are the Iranian people growing so tired of the Khamenei government that something may be “in the works”? Would there be those who would love to see this happen? Yes and you can name the big players, the US and Saudi and toss in there Israel. Has this happened before? Is this something new, if so what? Yes, this happens every year and yes, there has been opposition to the Iranian government from day one of the so called Revolution. By the way, I never saw what took place in 1979 as a “Revolution”. It started out as kids from College Compasses, but it was hijacked by the power hungry Fanatics as soon as they saw the Shaw was vulnerable. So, why these three stories just a day or two before the Rally in Europe. How ironic. The very place Khomeini hid just prior to his trip to Tehran. Is something different? Has something changed? Yes!

Although I’ve not addressed the issue of the new Future King in Saudi, I will soon, that factor cannot be overlooked. The man that supposedly gave Saudi and the GCC the Yemen conflict would be in full support of not just change in Iran, but pandemonium. The Donald! Does anyone think his team could be in the middle of briefing him on what is taking place with the “resistance” in Iran and his answer would be, “Naw….let’s not get involved”! Truth be known, the groups meeting in Europe this weekend have funding from several sources.

Fanatic’s Fear:

Does Tehran fear this Rally? Yes. Does Tehran believe their enemies are supporting this movement? With all their Heart. Are they right? Absolutely! The international game of meddling swings both ways, but most governments never seen to figure that out. Does Tehran worry this time may be different? Most likely? Is it important they feel this way? It’s critical! The change in Saudi, the change in the US and now a Rally that is being attended by just about every Western government there is, how does that not set off alarm bells? Just how dangerous could this be? Can Tehran afford to turn up the heat somewhere else to counter those that support the Rally? If Tehran really does believe this event is different this time around, how do they react? What options do they have? Anticipation and predictive analysis! These two are the water and oil combination for Western Politics and Western Intelligence. Has anyone even thought of how Tehran may react to this European based conspiracy rally? Just think how many sets of eyeballs will be in and around this rally.

What If?

Those that know me, know the, “What if” game is my favorite approach to any topic. Let’s play!

What if?

What if the rally really did lead to something taking place? What if Tehran overreacts, like they did in 2009 when Obama turned his back on the Iranian Green Party? How would the supporters of the movement react, this time around, to Tehran conducting a roundup? If nothing happens, then all those people who were just told this time was different suddenly realize it’s not! The Bluff game!

What if?

What if, the rally sets into motion real civil unrest in Iran, more specifically, Tehran? What happens when the Iranians who support the movement realize their supporters have pushed and are willing to push the game much further than they realized? Are elements in place to leverage the peaceful side of the movement? Look to the Arab Spring for your answer. Look to the Iranian so called “Revolution” for your clue. Those that have their own agenda are most likely not showing their true hand to the Iranians who support the movement. Their goals most likely don’t line up with the youth of Iran.

What If?

What if it all comes to pass? The fear Tehran had from day one of the Arab Spring was the idea that it was all a well plotted plan to destabilize Iran. Ironic given that was the same theory Saudi and Egypt had as well. But, if the movement breaks into the open and Iran’s government really does become destabilized, then what? Are those who have formed these resistance groups prepared to run the nation? Are those who supported the movement prepared to let them? Who has capability and the support to make the transition actually work? Does Iran wake up only to find themselves as the new version of Syria? What would fall of the current Iranian government really mean to the rest of the region?

Change! Resistance. One man’s Revolution is another man’s Coup. Is everyone really ready for what this movement could mean to them? Just how planned out is this concept? Who’s looking to gain what? What is the unified vision of Iran if the current government was to fall? So far, change in the Middle East has resulted in disaster. Who are the players and what is the unified goal?  I’ve said this time and time again, but I will say it now. Be careful what you ask for! 

VENEZUELA! WHY THIS TIME MAY BE DIFFERENT:

 Last week, I made the statement I really wanted to address the events in Venezuela, but I was stuck on the Stone, Putin Bromance. After the event yesterday, I just couldn’t wait any longer. So, here we go!

Same Old…..Same Old?

Often, when I talk about Mexico, the typical reaction I get is, “Don’t worry…its Mexico…..It’s always that way”! At first look, that is most likely the reaction most “experts” would give when it comes to Venezuela. Here is the problem and for the US it’s a real problem that better not go overlooked. Yes, Venezuela has a history of social unrest. Yes the region has been heavily impacted by the US’s failed policies for the entire region. Yes, the Enemies of the US have long seen that same region as a prime target for countering the US’s influence in other parts of the word. Overlooked and underestimated! That has been the US’s overall stance towards Central and South America. As I have said time and time again, here is the problem. It’s the 21^st Century, not the 20^th and absolutely not the 19^th. Add to that statement, we are talking about Americas and the issue becomes far more complicated. Social Media, new world alliances. New Enemies with a new forms of warfare. Fact. Time changes all things. Times are changing in Central and South America. Social unrest is a global event, not a regional one. The Arab Spring’s energy was based upon the ability to get information out across the globe within minutes not hours or days. The US needs to understand. Venezuela now is not the Venezuela of 1992 or 2002. It’s 2017 and times have changed dramatically.  

What has changed?

I’ve been posting about Venezuela for over six years and the history of Hugo was more than interesting to me. So, here is the core issue and it’s the issue just about every nation who has had a dynamic Dictator has encountered. When Hugo died, there was nobody who could fill his shoes. His dynamic style was the only thing that was holding the dysfunctional country together. His vision of what he could accomplish for the common citizen set into a motion events, fiscal programs that have place his beloved nation where it is today. What changed? Hugo died and his flawed policies have brought those who are owed money to the doorstep of Venezuela’s capital. The “Dream” is over and now the fiscal nightmare is in full swing.

Bolivarian Revolution:

The beloved Bolivarian Revolution! Really? That is the cause Maduro is going to hide behind? It worked for Hugo, but I have bad news for Mr. Maduro, The Venezuelan people knew Hugo and he is no Hugo! Hugo Chavez believed in the Bolivarian Revolution. He believed you could take the wealth of one group and give it to others and everything would be just fine. Yep, that is the pipe dream of Socialism and Communisms and Hugo was a believer. Maduro is not attempting to move the Revolution forward. He’s simply using the emotions attached to the topic as a shield against the people who no longer believe in him or his government.  The Bolivarian Revolution is not the battle cry that will save the government of Venezuela. When people are eating their pets, they don’t want to hear, “We must protect the Revolution” and they don’t want to hear if from a guy who is fifty pounds overweight. I bet his Dog is still running around the royal palace!

The Real Danger!

What’s the danger of all of this? In the US, what is the “so what” factor? Well, first off, the most obvious danger is the collective group that says, “So what? It’s Venezuela”! A nation faces a great danger when their so called “experts” are idiots on important topics! No, Venezuela cannot attack the US or its Allies. No, the Venezuela people are not going to accept what is happing to their country because a guy who doesn’t have to eat his pets claims everything wrong there is the United States fault. Could the US be capable of pushing the insurrection,  as of yesterday that is what it is, along with an end state of a pro US government being placed in power? If you have to think for more than five seconds on that answer, you really need to study the history of the region a little harder. Read a little history on the US and Chile!

Soon, the government of Venezuela will have to realize, the Bolivarian Revolution angle will not work. The US excuse will not save them as well. What then? What action can this failed government possibly take? “The military has been placed on full alert”! Good luck Mr. Maduro. A few years ago, Mr. Hugo created the National Guard for a reason. He didn’t trust the loyalty of the Venezuelan military. If Maduro thinks he can unleash his military on their own people, he will realize just how many of them are not on his FB Friend’s list. A house divided in the military? Yes. A recipe for a Civil War? Yes and the US military knows this. Just how dangerous would another civil war in that region be? Again, some of the DC “experts” would harp back to the days of the Contras and Nicaragua. A distraction then, but nothing the US got truly worried about. It’s the reason the region is still a mess. A vision from the US that was based on idiot “experts” whose visions were hallucinations!

Mr. Maduro doesn’t have the tools to make real trouble for the US. What he does have is the strong ability to create an environment that the enemies of the US can exploit. Is there a history of Venezuelan partnering with Iran and Hezbollah? Oh…yes!  Would Iran love to see real trouble, trouble large enough to occupy the US’s time and drain US energy? You bet. How about the Tsar? What mischief could he and his team exploit if they wanted to? Oil. Oil drives the Mother Land and Venezuela is of keen interest to Moscow for that reason.  The Dragon? What long-term, well thought out plan does the Dragon have for the region? Again, oil and gas is a smell the Dragon has a nose for. Making the Americas unstable enough to force the US to concentrate on its own backyard rather than the Pacific? Does that sound logical?

It’s 2017. Hugo is still dead. Maduro is a fool and no Hugo. Key players in this new world are more than willing to see the US occupied somewhere else. If you think the troubles in Venezuela are “Typical”, then you qualify for a job as an “expert” in DC. 

A LATE NIGHT MESSAGE TO SYRIA…..NO….RUSSIA…NO IRAN!

Yesterday evening, the White House released a statement that was, as the media called it, “unusual”! Unusual in what way? A statement that gave an open warning to Assad and a possible chemical attack? Unusual that it came after business hours? Unusual in that there was no announced “leaks” of what was going to be sent out? Any way you look at it, the US media was in a frenzy. MSNBC was quick to paint the picture of The Donald trying to change the subject from all the grave news over Russia and Trump. You know, the same news the CNN employees were fired over two days ago for making it up! One thing is certain, CNN and MSNBC were fully prepared to label whatever was taking place as another failure of the Trump Administration. They weren’t even sure what was going on, but it had to be a failure; they need it to be a failure.

What is going on?

What time did the big announcement take place? Not in the US, but in Moscow and the Middle East? Was it the only message sent? Does anyone think that a White House Press Statement is the only way the US is going to communicate a possible military event? What was taking place that would prompt this announcement? Movement at a military facility? A facility that is known to still store chemical weapons? You know, the chemical weapons the Russians claim Assad turned over. Has Assad been told to use them again? If so, by whom? The Russians? The Iranians? If it’s the Iranians, do the Russians know? Can Assad’s Air force load such weapons without the Russians knowing? If Iran is once again convincing Assad to do things the Russians don’t support, does that speak to the known tensions between the Russians and the Iranians over the issue of Syria?

What might happen?

If the US does strike Syria, will it be along the same lines as last time? Will it only target the same facility again? Are the Russians still operating at that facility? What will Assad do if the US strikes again? What can he do? What will the Russians do? Ah………that is the BINGO Question this time around! What has changed since the last attack? The Russian statements about not doing it again, that is what has changed! The political gauntlet has been placed on the “redline”. The Russian “Redline”! Last time and every time the airspace over Syria has been entered by the US and Israel, the magnificent Russian anti air systems have not been used! Just think about that from Assad’s foxhole. The Russians are here to help, but they let him get bombed over and over again. Yes, Moscow’s support has its limits and actions against the US or Israel has been a bridge too far. Will that hold true this time? Why did the Russians commit the Obama blunder of a “redline”? Is the Tsar the kind of guy who lets his Commander’s and Administrative Leaders make such a statement and then not back them up? Just what is the level of communications between Moscow and DC right now? Who is really behind this alleged chemical prep? The Persians? Anyway, quoting a once famous American Wrestler, “Whatchoo Gona Do when the Hulkster Runs Wild Over You”? The Donald as Hulk Hogan??? Not that is a mental image!!! 

NIETO AND MEXICO’S TRUE FEAR

From time to time, I break my rhythm of topics and go back to one some of you know I have followed for years. Mexico. Why? Because Mexico matters. Mexico is the anchor of keeping order in Central and South America. Mexico is a key component that holds the fate of the US’s internal security. Like it or not, that statement is true. So, here we go. Here is a post about something that is important to those who rely on the US and those who would like to see the US fall.

Nieto. He’s been a disaster for the Mexican people. His College, Rich Boy looks and his inept ability to understand what dangers face Mexico have proven to be a cocktail blended for failure. Did I mention he is corrupt? Sorry! I forgot that part. Those that have followed my post for the past few years know I’ve been speaking to the issue of social stress in Mexico for some time now. Yes, most political systems are corrupt, but the process in Mexico is far above the norm and has been for over a hundred years. So, what caught my eye? What made me give this Mexico update today? Well, let’s talk about it.

The Real Threat:

Again, for those that know me or have followed these post, you know where I am going with this section. What is the real threat to the current political system in Mexico? Drugs? Nope! Frustration of the working class? Yep! The continued decay of the very social fiber that holds 90% of the geographical landmass of Mexico together? Yep! What really worries the Mexican political system? Change. That is what worries them. Once again, we need to face the reality of the current Mexico. The primary source of income is the illegal drug industry. Yes, Mexico has oil and yes Mexico has their tourism, for now, but the money that makes the political system in Mexico work comes from the drug world and anyone who has every worked with the issue of Mexico knows this to be true. The rich of Mexico City, who are not tied to the drug world, are just as dependent on the actions that take place in Mexico because of those who conduct the drug business. It’s ok for “Elites” of Mexico City to watch the violence 400 miles away as long as it’s not taking place in their gated, guarded, neighborhood. As the rest of the nation continues to fall apart, those who live inside the walls of armed guards simply have plans to move their money and move their families. Harsh words I know, but the true is often the most painful words spoken. The threat to Nieto, and those like him, does not rest with drug violence. The treat resides with a civilian population that no longer trust or believes in their government. The real threat comes from civilians who are encouraged to seek the truth. Those that push this message of seeking the truth, they are the real threat to Mexico’s Political System.

131:

From the very beginning of Nieto’s climb to power, he had no idea what was going on in Mexico. His ties to the Sinaloa Cartel did not translate into his understand of the real Mexico. When he made his blunder over the “131” issue, it was clear to me he was simply a figurehead that was going to be placed in the chair. The Mass murder of the students was yet another example of Nieto’s disastrous impact on the Mexican People. Those that pulled the strings tied to his arms and mouth gave him a very clear message. “We cannot afford to have these events looked into”. Convincing the people that something was being done, someone was going to be found responsible, that was the game; not solving the problems that were tearing the nation apart. Make it look like they cared and then move on. I remember the day I heard the United Nation’s Human Rights Group may be coming to Mexico. Some of us knew what alarm bells that was going to set off in Mexico City! With that statement came international reporters and freelance journalist. The stories some of the Mexican Journalist had been reporting on for years would be brought back to life. All of this meant one thing for Mexico’s Political System, danger! By the way, the Pri and the Pan…..two feathers off of the same bird…..a bird that lives in the cage of the Drug Master. It was clear then and its clear now, truth is the danger. Reporters trying to make a name for themselves and advocates who believed Mexico needed to change. Those were and are the real enemies. Those are the ones that posed and pose the real danger.

The Greatest Danger:

What keeps the current Mexican Political System up at night? What is the end state of this hysterical fear of reporters and Rights Groups? Could someone be using these groups to destabilize Mexico? Yes. Could the enemies of the US formulate a plan to leverage what is taking place in Mexico? Yes. Could this lead to a more destabilized US? Yes. Would the US be willing to support the any action that might keep Mexico “stable”, as “stable” as Mexico can be? Yes.  Is there a tipping point? Is there a scenario that might drive Mexico over the edge, turn Mexico into a real, unavoidable crisis; a crisis for the US? Yes! What is that “tipping point”? Synergy! Yes, Synergy! Again, those that know me, know my theory behind the Autodefensas movement. You know my opinion of Doctor Mireles, no Saint himself, and what he might bring to the outlands of Mexico. A few years ago, when I was knee deep in following the Good Doctor, I made a statement. Let the Autodefensas movement somehow link with the Student movements in Mexico and the real makings of a revolution would be underway. The ingredients for the Mexican version of the Arab Spring were there and they were close to each other. Someone just need to make the meeting take place. No one understood this more than the leadership of Mexico. No one was tracking what was taking place with both movements more than Mexico City.  How close was this synergy from taking place? When the massacre of the Students took place, Mireles spoke of the event. He had to go! Synergy was becoming more and more probable. The next thing you know, the good Doctor was in prison. Who knew who was talking to whom? Who was planning what? What was going on with these movements? What outside groups were medaling in Mexico’s affairs? Does anyone really think that Nieto would not have approved the use of software to get answers? The whole world was and is doing it. What the heck. Why not Mexico?

Mexico remains in real trouble. Mexico can undermine the security of Central and North America. Those that desire to see the US and the West come under further pressure know this. The weak link in fortress America is the best place to formulate an attack.  How could the US possibly worry about the Pacific or the Middle East or even Eastern Europe if its own Southern Border was touching a failed Nation State? Can the current Mexican government prevent the collapse of the Mexican People’s trust? Is there any really left? Can the US afford to have a corrupt, incompetent government in Mexico? Just how important is Mexico to the US? Ask the Iranians. Ask the Russians. Ask the Chinese! This story matters. Mexico matters to the Western World.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-40376891