HAMAS AND ISRAEL AND THE BLIND DOG BONE STORY.  

For over a week now, the story-line has been the so called, War of Attrition, and who’s trying to win it.

Is it the Israeli concept to wear down the support of Hamas inside of Gaza?

Is the plan to drive a wedge between Fatah, Abbas and Hamas?

Does Hamas and its supporters believe two straight months of running for shelters is breaking the back of public support in Israel?

Does the execution, at the same time as the actions of the Islamic State, of so called “informers” damage Hamas’ support in Gaza?

Does someone think that Hamas will eventually run out of rockets?

So, what is really taking place here?

Is this a “War of Attrition” or is it more a matter of “Battle of Wills”?

Who will give in first?

In order to come close to a possible answer, we must look at the cost involved to each side.

Hamas:

Where do the young, frustrated fighters, who have no intention of reaching out to Israel, go if Hamas drops to Its knees?

Answer……… Islamic State?

Perhaps give it’s cult like draw in the region.

How does Hamas maintain control of the wealth it makes form Gaza, for you see, Gaza is nothing more than a business to the leaders of Hamas.

Simply put, what is left for Hamas if they “give in”?

Abbas and Fatah regain control of Gaza and Hama’s status in the region is gone.

Israel:

If you believe the media headlines, the past few days have been politically disastrous for Netanyahu!

Could he win the Battle and lose the Political War?

Are the people of Southern Israel tired of hiding in shelters?

Are they wondering why the IDF just doesn’t go into Gaza and stop the attacks?

Is Western support for resupply of advanced weapons impacting the ability of the IDF to continue such a War of Attrition?

Simply put, are the people of Israel wondering, “when is this going to end…..why doesn’t Netanyahu strike to end this?

Ok, it’s obvious that both sides are locked into this conflict and both sides have no desire to be seen as the loser!

Hamas truly has nothing to lose by fighting on, unless you count the support and blood of the people in Gaza.

Israel cannot be 0-3 over the past five years when dealing with Hamas and Hezbollah.

So, what is the outcome?

Where does all of this end?

Honestly, Netanyahu  is already well down the road of once again losing the perception battle.

Hamas may be killing their own people in the streets of Gaza, but in the region, they still wear the title of ‘underdog”!

They are still seen in many parts of the world as suffering at the hands of a far superior military backed by the “West”!

Here is the most important part and the easily the most dangerous part of the Hamas mindset.

Israel doesn’t have the resolve to occupy Gaza!

The price is too great compared to what the nation of Israel is currently enduring.

Hamas believes this to the point of fault and because of that, they simply will not stop lobbing small rockets into Israel.

No one understands this more than Netanyahu!

To completely invade Gaza would stress his support with the US beyond his control.

In his mind, his inability to crush Hamas is the fault of the US.

And yes; Hamas understands this.

So, you see, they are both helplessly locked in a conflict that neither can afford to stop.

What they both need is simplistically obvious.

They both need Sisi, or at least they thought they did.

Could it be that even the advantage of Sisi has passed?

So, in the long run, and old saying will come true.

“Even a Blind Dog finds a bone”!

After thousands of aimless rockets land in Israel, one will hit an emotional target.

One will get the headlines Netanyahu cannot ignore.

At that moment in time, the move into Gaza will take place!

Gaza will fall and so will any hope of peace for in will walk the Islamic State and the Cult that follows them.

Someone give Sisi whatever he wants.

He holds the cards, maybe!

UNITED STATES READY TO STRIKE IN SYRIA? DÉJÀ VU  ALL OVER AGAIN.

So, the US is ready to “strike” Islamic State forces in Syria now?

“If we see plotting against American, we see the threat to the US emanating from anywhere, we stand ready to take action against that threat”!!!!

Let me ask a simple question.

Who was that statement for?

As it all too often the case, media statements are little more than have baked “messages” to someone in a feeble attempt to convince them of something.

Let me get right to the barebones of this comment.

The US intelligence community sees “plotting” every day of the year.

If the world was to take Mr. Foley’s words true faith, the US would need a much larger Air Force!

Was the US administration taking a pounding in the eyes of the US “voting” populace?

You bet.

Did it launch a quick knee jerk reaction to this beating in the media?

Yep.

Has it now locked itself into a cycle of, “why not this time”?

Yep.

So, does yet another version of, “we really….really…mean it” have an bit to it?

No.

Does that almost force the US administration into taking further action?

Probably.

If anyone wakes up in the morning and see CNN and or MSNBC foaming at the mouth over “air strikes in Syria”, don’t be alarmed as I assure you the Islamic State forces won’t be.

But, just by chance, let’s play my favorite game;  “what if”.

What if:

The US decides to launch airstrikes inside of Syria?

How is this mission coordinated with the Genocidal leader is named Assad.

 The same Assad the US was prepared to bomb less than a year ago!

What if:

If this mission really is executed, how would  the air defense system of Assad’s forces be dealt with?

Would the US take them out prior to the missions?

Would the US “coordinate with Assad?

How would that look?

What if:

Perhaps the US would not deal with Assad, but with his Master in Tehran?

How would that look?

How would that look through, let’s say, the eyes of the GCC members?

It’s easy to see the concept of striking in Syria sounds like Tough Guy talk, but when it comes from a country whose Tough Guy track record is just this side of laughable, then what has really been accomplished?

In reality, this rhetoric posturing is just one more step into the minefield called the Middle East; a minefield the US is walking in nearly blind.

Oh, one last parting comment for today.

In the not so distant past, great nations like the US made difficult decisions and executed without giving the enemy an idea of what was coming.

When you tell someone, “ we may come after you and me may come after your key leaders in Syria”, you are knowingly allowing them to alter the outcome of your actions.

The current US administration is more than capable of taking covert actions and it has a track record of doing so.

And that is why I have to wonder, why tell the world you are thinking of taking action in Syria?

Who is that message for?

https://now.mmedia.me/lb/en/nowsyrialatestnews/561189-us-ready-to-take-action-in-syria-if-americans-threatened

CONVOYS AND THE INFAMOUS  DOUBLE DOG DARE!!!!

Yesterday, the United States two senior military leaders painted a chilling picture of what they consider the most dangerous threat to the United States and the West in, “years”, with one of them warning, “get ready”!

So is that the truth?

Is the Islamic State the most dangerous thing out there?

A few days ago, a Chinese fighter intercepted a US intelligence aircraft.

Does everyone remember the last that happened?

Out of the ordinary?

Is anything “ordinary anymore?

Oh!

Side note:

I find it interesting the two most powerful military leaders in the world give a combined briefing on the “Most dangerous event in years” to the American people and while they are doing this, their Boss is playing golf… A dire message with the wrong backdrop.

As the media chatter was still swirling around about the announcement from the US Department of Defense, the Tsar made his next move on the chessboard he calls Europe.

When this convoy issue first popped up, I made it very clear what the Tsar was going to do.

With all the talk of arms and troops somehow hidden in this convoy, it was fairly obvious this was not what was taking place.

What we all witnessed was the Tsar executing the plan perfectly.

Form a Humanitarian aid convey in Moscow that all the Russian citizens could see.

Drive it slowly towards the border and then stop and let it be inspected.

Realize the paranoia in the Ukrainian capital and in Europe will slow the process.

Declare the people cannot wait any longer and cross the border.

Who looks “compassionate” here?

What is the opinion of the Russian people; the people who support the Tsar to the hilt?

But, what is the real message here?

I will tell you what the real message is;  “shoot at my people…… I dare you”!!!!!

Once again, the Tsar not only calls the bluff of the Ukrainian government, but that of the West in general.

Back to my point I’ve made time and time again.

What is the West going to do?

More sanctions?

More of, “we are really….really mad this time”!!!!

So, once again  I ask the question.

What is the most dangerous event taking place in the world today?

Oh, and one last question.

I wonder if the Tsar plays Golf!!!!

For my European readers.. pass this one around please... :) 

HEZBOLLAH’S…. PLAYING THE WEST LIKE A STRADIVARIUS.

It’s no secret what Iran is attempting to accomplish with West / US and it’s even more obvious the West is going along with this deception.

What deception am I referring to?

The deception that the battle for the destruction of the Islamic State forces is a common goal of both the Persians and the West / US.

Article upon article is being put to pen on a daily bases addressing the issue of the US doing the bidding of Iran and or Assad in Syria.

One month the US is demanding Assad’s forces be attacked and the next thing we know, the US military is fighting to destroy the force set to destroy Assad.

US aircraft attack targets in Iraq at the same time Iranian forces are attacking them with barrel bombs and Special Operation Forces.

Abadi receives the endorsement of the US as he is taking orders on the phone from the Commander of Iranian Special Forces, Suleimani, who some say handpicked Abadi for the job in Iraq!

So, now enters the story of Hezbollah “condemning” the beheading of Mr. Foley!

What we are witnessing here is a very skillfully designed and executed public information campaign.

A campaign that paints a picture of ‘we have a common enemy’ and “we” must stop them.

For those who are moving beyond being paranoid of where the West is going with Iran, insert the GCC here, this story only adds fuel to the fire.

Every day, the West / US / seems to do something else that gives our old, and unfortunately I think they are “old”, Allies the impression we have “moved away”.

Now, we have Hezbollah…yes I said Hezbollah….making statements like  the West and them are on the same team!

Amazing, and even more amazing that the West continues to go along with the game.

But not only does this masterfully written plan attempt to drive a wedge between the West and the GCC, it doesn’t miss the opportunity to leverage the deepening divide between the US and Israel.

Notice the flow of this story.

https://now.mmedia.me/lb/en/lebanonnews/561049-hezbollah-condemns-us-journalists-beheading

Pay attention to the linkage implied between the “Terrorist” known as the Islamic State and the “Terrorist” known as Israel.

Over that past year, I’ve addressed the issue of Hezbollah’s paranoia over the power of the Islamic State forces and the threat they represent to Hezbollah in Lebanon.

It should come as no surprise the above mentioned storyline fits that same pattern.

Hezbollah would love nothing more than to witness US forces attacking IS groups in Syria, especially along the Lebanese border.

Sadly, it is also no surprise if the West / US / continues to be manipulated by Iran all for the sake of a nuclear “deal”.

PAKISTAN.... SAME OLD GAME. NEW ARENA.

Does the region need any more bad news?

No.

Could the “news” get much worse?

Believe it or not, the answer is yes and here is how.

Imran Khan is far from a Radial Islamic Fundamentalist.

So, why is it dangerous for a movement like his to march on the government of Pakistan?

How did the events in the early days of the “Arab Spring….Tunisian Virus”.. yes I still use that name……start?

Peaceful protest in the streets of Cairo by moderate, youthful men and women.

What has been the history of prolonged protest in the region?

Over reaction by paranoid governments…..street violence and massive media coverage.

And who is cleric Tahir-ul-Qadri?

Well, I will tell you what he is; he is wildly popular with the youth of Pakistan.

Now, does he have ties to the real power in Pakistan, the military?

Probably, but I’m willing to bet he is not under the total control of the military.

So, is this protest bad news, if so, why?

Back to what I stated earlier.

What does the collapse of the current government result in?

It’s not like it has not happened before in Pakistan, but times are different now.

The region is far more fragile and social media is a weapon that is uncontrollable.

Marching and protesting and chanting seems to be the new world social pastime.

Is Pakistan the latest arena for this new game?  

 A DAM IN IRAQ AND EERILY FAMILIAR  TUNE 

Wow. A great victory for the forces of “good”….right?

Kurdish forces and Iraqi troops fighting side by side supported by US air power?

Does this sound like a song we have heard time and time again over the past ten years…you know.. the Iraqi… “Victory” song! 

Now, could the US President use any level of good news right about now?

You bet, even if he has to make it up.

Ok, about this dam.

Let’s take a look at what was achieved here.

Did the Islamic State forces really need the dam?

When they took the dam from the Kurds, did they intend to utilize it for economic growth in their newly won land?

No.

Did they intend to blow it and bring the government of Iraq to it’s knees?

Well, if they did, they would have accomplished just that.

The fact of the matter is, they didn’t blow the dam and we need to ask why?

So, let me ask one simple question.

Did the simple act of taking the dam and routing the fearless Kurd fighters give them credibility?

Absolutely.

So, did holding the dam give them any level of a victory?

What was more important in this event; the taking of the dam or the shock of being able to soundly defeat the Kurd fighters?

I know the answer.

So, is this it?

Are the Islamic State Forces on the run now?

Is the US President right?

Even he knows the answer.

“ A major step forward”????

Really???

Ask the FSA forces in Aleppo that question.

And what about Mr. al-Abadi?

Well, he would comment, but he is on the phone right now…taking orders from his Persian Bosses.

One last note.

What say the Ottomans?

Arms for the Kurds?

Kurdistan with US support?

Let’s see how that plays out.

NASRALLAH’S MOST RECENT SPEECH… FASCINATING!

Now, I've read just about every speech Nasrallah has given in open forum, but I must admit this one is far…far different that anything he has produced to date!

For over a year now, I've addressed the issue that truly worries Hezbollah’s leadership; Islamic State’s juggernaut throughout the region!

Has Nasrallah been concerned with the perception battle he’s been involved in with his own base?

Yes.

Has it been hard for him to convince the families of his fighters that their men must die in Syria and they are not going to their grave for the sake of the Persians?

Yes.

Has he battled the statements of not staying home to protect their “own” land from the IS forces?

Yes.

Is he worried the Islamic Forces are reaching the point of moving into Lebanon?

Oh yes…. And that is the core issue of today’s speech.

Just imagine the Islamic State leaders listening to this speech; this plea for that is exactly what it was!

Nasrallah is known for his fire and brimstone threats always pointed towards the never ending enemy of Israel.

Israel?

The speech today was in “celebration” of the 2006 battle with whom?

Israel?

Where was the mention of Israel, the Great Enemy of Hezbollah?

Two themes today.

1.  ‘People of Lebanon….pull together, before it’s too late’.
2. ‘ If we leave Syria, the enemy, IS, will be at our front door…on our streets”!

Staggering!

Simply staggering!

Does it worry Nasrallah Hariri has come home to Lebanon?

Yes.

Did he mention that fact today?

No.

What was the one strategic message the US never truly convinced the American people of?

If you fight your enemy on foreign soil, they less likely to fight you on yours!

The US leadership may have missed the opportunity to drive this message home, but I think Nasrallah is going to give it a much better shot.

So, just how worried is Hezbollah?

Who knows what dangers Lebanon faces better than Hezbollah?

No talk of Israel.

No talk of Hariri.

If we witness Nasrallah reaching out to Hariri, it will be time to take the battle to the forces of the Islamic State and I mean everyone!

Nobody understands this better than Sisi and the IDF.

Strange, mindboggling “alliances” are being made and still the Islamic State forces move forward!

Fascinating!