Thursday, May 8, 2014



PUTIN’S HAS THE MEDIA “CONFUSED”? SIMPLE.. IT’S NAZISM!!!!

So, the Tsar paints a picture of “backing off” on the whole Ukrainian issue or so some of the  media “experts” have commented.

Now, granted, some of them are skeptical, as is the rest of the world, over the Tsar’s change of heart.

Look, we all know what is going on here.

Once again the well-organized phases of his master plan are being executed right on time.

Last week the official Russian stance was, they no longer have the ability to influence what is taking place in the Ukraine.

Logically, if you know how the mind of the Tsar works, the next statement would be one along the lines of, ‘ we are making every attempt to work peacefully towards a compromise’!

So, Russia states, ‘we can’t control but we are trying to help’!

Really?

We all know what a passionate man the Tsar can be!


So, if we have correctly anticipated these two moves by the Tsar, what is the next?

Are these stunts just another indication he is about to move on to the next phase of his Master Plan?

What is that “phase”?

I remain skeptical of an actual Russian movement into the Ukraine, but if I woke up tonight and it had moved into an open operation, I wouldn’t be that stunned.

Ok, as much as the Western media seem to be memorized by the Tsar’s so called change of heart, the attached story is far more of an indictor of where the Tsar is heading, big picture wise.

First off, look who attended this meeting.

Armenia, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and Belarus!

If you think Poland or some other Eastern European nation is on the Tsar’s target list, you might pay attention to why these three are more important to him than non fuel producing Eastern European speed bumps.

Next, look at the “theme”, a topic that is not new to the Tsar’s vocal opinion of where Western Europe has been heading for years now.

Stirring   the image of Nazism and it’s European roots is not a process brought about by the Tsar’s passion for European history.

Painting a picture, a very unpleasant, picture of his potential rivals and then proclaiming to his non-European business partners that this seems to be the growing trend in Europe, well…….. ask yourself…………why?

I’ve said it time and time again, but here we go.

What is taking place in the Ukraine is only one phase of the Tsar’s Master Plan.

Bringing up the image of the Nazis in Europe again allows the Tsar what?

The support and the excuse to prevent that from taking place in lands that are important to Mother Russia?

I just wonder what the German government thought when they once again heard the Tsar bring up this issue of  “Nazism” in Europe?

The Tsar continues to move ahead with “Plan Russia” and we all keep running around trying to figure out what he is doing and what he is going to do next.



Wednesday, May 7, 2014


HOMS AND THE UNITED STATE’S CONTINUED DYSFUNCTIONAL POLICY.


As I was reading through a stack of articles about the recent events in the city of Homs, I came across this one in al-monitor that simply made me change gears on what I wanted to talk about tonight.

Let me break down what I would like to comment on into two topics with the second one being far more important, big picture wise.

HOMS:

So, Assad has a “great victory” in Homs?

He has the “momentum”!

The “resistance” is demoralized!

The “tide has turned”!

Well, I don’t buy any of it.

Historically any conflict that last several years has the tendency to appear to have “run it’s course”.

It’s even logical that the entrenched government, if it has the support and the resolve, can wait until the flames of passion….passion for the romance of conflict… fighting.. telling war stories… basking in the “Warrior” limelight, begins to die out.

Is that what is taking place in Syria?

To some extent yes.

The reality is as much as some would like to predict the changing of the tide, the reality is the resistance is now the entrenched government and the entrenched government is now wearing down the war weary original resistance.

Yes.. We are talking, to some degree, about role reversal!

Homs has been ruled, for the most part, by the rebels for almost three years now and the city is nothing more than a pile of ruins with people wondering around from day to day.

What constructive “vision” did the Rebels have?

What jobs program did they have ready to implement?

What is the planned development for the city?

Exactly…. Young men caught up in the thrill of killing and taking pictures of each other!

Not a real formula for “Urban Development”!

“We need your food, your money and your young men”; a message that cannot last three years without giving the people a single thing in return.

Yes, the Civil War in Syria is entering a new phase.

Yes, the “tide” may be “turning”!

But,  what does this “turn” mean to those who are trying to live in what is left of Syria?

Does Assad wake up in the morning and say, “ok it’s over and we can all go back to work now”!

Homs, one of the most historic cities in the world is a for the most part a smoldering pile of stones and concrete dust.

As a matter of fact, I would argue the definition of a “city” no longer applies to Homs.

As of today, some are running around trying to get paid for saying, “Homs is evidence of failed Western policy”.

Some are running around banging out the next chapter of their mindless books on the conflict in Syria, saying “Homs” is the turning point”!

Nobody in Homs cares what this “event” means.

What they want to know is if they can walk across the street in the morning without being shot by a sniper.

Can they pass a parked car without having to hold their breath?

Nothing has changed and the war will continue!

UNITED STATES’ DYSFUNCTIONAL LEADERSHIP!

Am I referring to the current administration or to the House and Senate?

Yes!

If you are to believe what is said in this article, and I do, then key members of Congress are learning more about what the US is doing, or should I say not doing, in Syria then they are from the White House?

Two parties, two doctrines so focused on destroying the credibility of the other that the world watches with complete disbelief!

Sad?

I’s more than sad, it’s damn downright dangerous!

Has it happened before in  American history?

Yes, but that was then and this is now; this is the 21st century and past mistakes are not examples for the future.

Does it matter the rest of the world may read this article and say, “what a fallen idol they have become”?

Does it matter the Tsar and the Dragon see this disgraceful relationship on a daily basses
And say to themselves, “ who cares what they think… they are in the death throes of Capitalism / Democracy”!

Does exposing this dysfunctional relationship between the two parties bring a greater degree of danger to the American people?

Yes.

The 21st century world live off of social media and social media is the King of perception.

I will tell you this; an old adage needs to be applied here and someone better realize it quickly.

“ A house divided cannot stand”.

Finally; please don’t give me that worn out line of, “ disagreement is a sign of healthy governance…. In a Democracy.

This is the 21st century and those who believe that better open their eyes soon.

There are times this slogan is true, but now is not that time! 

I'm fairly passionate about this one. Please pass it on. 



Tuesday, May 6, 2014



THE PERSIAN GENERAL AND HIS HUGE FOOT!

You can be an academic department chair or a veteran News Correspondent  or even a paid talking head babbling away over the issue of the Persians abusing the people of Lebanon or how Hezbollah cares less about the future of the Lebanese people and not have driven this message home any harder than this Iranian General.

Major General Safavi, did more than just blindly walk right into the hands of  those who see Iran as an abusive Master, he brought up the ghost of an event that still runs deep in the psyche of the Lebanese people.

The murders and atrocities of May 2008 created memories not just in the minds of men and women who are no so old that no one listens to them; it impacted the very voters who are contemplating the Presidential elections.

Rifi’s staff could not have scripted a more opportune time for such an iodic comment.

Yes, many, like me, understand the Persians do nothing more than exploit the people of Lebanon and hide this exploitation under the name of protecting them from the IDF.

What this Persian General did was add more accreditation to the concept of Lebanon being nothing more than a second front for any potential Iranian / Israeli war and you can bet his handlers in Tehran now understand what price they are going to pay for these words.

I can imagine the leadership of Hezbollah, a Hezbollah that is in a struggle to maintain it’s status in Lebanon, when this statement was shown to them.

Arrogance?

Yes.

True in disclosure?

Absolutely.

Someone else read about this disaster and is hard at work finding everyway possible to leverage what took place.

The Israeli government!

General Safavi is a pompous ass, but he is a more than that.

He is a ignorant fool who let his mouth take his Bosses where they do not want to go and for that, he will have to suffer the consequences.

Oh ya.. as for being a “ Senior military aid to Ali Khamenei.. there is truly only one of those and he is in charge of the operations in Syria.

Safavi’s time may have just run out.






Monday, May 5, 2014



RUSSIA THE WEST AND CONFLICT IN THE UKRAINE?

So, last night I mentioned what might take place that could push Russian Commanders over the edge and force them into “old style” conflict… an event that would bring world condemnation down all around them and the Tsar.

How would you like to be the military commander who promised a “new” way of waging conflict and then have to resort to the same old rut… and you made this promise to the Tsar?

Now, let’s not fool ourselves.

Is there anyone in the West ready to take the events in the Ukraine to such a level?

No!

Are there those who are capable?

Oh yes!

For the past several days I’ve made repeated statements about the false impression scripted military exercise can create.

So, this time around, for the sake of argument, let me take a shot at how the Russian master plan for the Ukraine could be countered; admittedly with a large degree of risk!

Now, the topic of cyber warfare has been just about worn out by every so called “expert” over the past ten years.

Contracting firms have made millions terrorizing government agencies with “cyber tabletop exercise” over the past few years, but the fact of the matter is, most people simply don’t understand what could happen and in reality what will someday actually take place.

All right; let’s get down to it.

Time for the What If” game!!!!!

What if:

What if a Western Nation…let’s call them the Nation of “Blue”… for those of you who ever played the old Cold War Exercise game, you know the reason why the nations are named after colors and not actual nation names.

All right…. The Nation of Blue decides it’s going to attempt to foil the perception of peace loving Tsar, who is simply out to protect the poor Russian sympathizers in the Ukraine.

The limitations for the operation are these.

No kinetic weaponry support to the Kiev government.

No loss of civilian life in Ukraine can be a result of any Nation of Blue’s actions.

Absolutely trace can be linked back to the Nation of Blue?

Based upon these restrictions, the Nation of Blue planners, not just military planners, come up with the following actions.

  1.  Disruption of communications of Russian Special Units operating in Ukraine.
    1. Not just disruption, but the capture of information that proves beyond a shadow of a doubt as to Russian involvement.
                                                    i.     Think in terms of what President Kennedy authorized during the Cuban Missile Crisis when it came to showing the world classified information… yes the President / Commander in Chief / has the authority to do such a thing.
  1. Disruption of vital information required to execute operational support missions.
    1. Who insures the disruption units operating in Ukraine have what they need and keeps it functional?
    2. What happens when a supply movement shows up at the wrong location or doesn’t show up at all?
    3. What happens when emails providing, where to be.. Who to meet and what needs to take place are not from the person they are supposed to be from?
                                                    i.     Once burned, how do you regain trust in electronic communications?
    1. What happens when notification of KIA reach families back in Russia when no Russian troops are reported  to be in the Ukraine and by the way.. these troops were not KIA, but their families are told they are…. Ah yes… facial recognition software… ever wonder why everyone is wearing ski mask on the Russian side of the event?

  1. GPS data that is wrong?
    1. Does anyone remember certain events in the Serbian conflict?
                                                    i.     Ask the Chinese!
  1. YouTube clips that show Russian patches on unit members fighting in the streets of Eastern Ukraine and then a voice in the background of a cell phone call … to a number that has a history in the past few hours of being used in the same area, in a very non Ukraine accent, “check your members uniforms”…

Ok, I think you get my point by now.

The 21st century form of warfare can be deadly politically, economically without ever firing a kinetic shot!

The Russians played this game to a very simpleton degree in the Georgian conflict.

What the West can do is light-years ahead of what the Tsar showcased in Georgia and even then, his military leaders reverted to what the trust… guns…. Tanks… fighters.


Can a campaign be waged against the Tsar over Ukraine without firing a kinetic shot?

Yes.

Can it change the course of the event?

Yes.

Would this drive the Russian military senior leaders back into the only world they truly trust?

Yes!

Does the West have the resolve to take this measure?

No…and that is why. When it’s all said and done, the Tsar will have things more his way than not!


To lash out in anger over being made to look a fool is a real danger with an egomaniac like Putin, but that cannot happen when the West simply will not use the tools that no one else in the world has… not like the West does… not even the Dragon.. but the Dragon learns at a speed that dictates that soon the world will see such an event and the Dragon will arrive on the world stage as the new master of world leadership!

Sunday, May 4, 2014



RUSSIA… “UKRAINE: THE DANGER OF CONFIDENCE!   

I just have to wonder if Mr. Yatsenyuk did when he blamed the security forces in Odessa for the forty + deaths two days ago.

No doubt the loyalty of the local law enforcement agencies in nearly all the contested areas, that is what they really are now…contested, was and is a major issue for the government in Kiev.

Here is the problem with pushing this event directly into the laps of the security forces leadership, if any of their forces were still on the fence, they are not now!

If you wish to make an organization change sides, then just blame them for multiple murders…..tell them you will have an investigation and they will be held responsible.

One day Yatsenyuk states, the rebels will be crushed, and the next day, he is shocked by the actions of those he is responsible for…oh yes… he is responsible for their actions….he did assume the title of “leader” did he not…he speaks for the new government correct?

And what does Mr. Yatsenyuk believe is going to happen with the remaining security forces in the contested areas?

What level of confidence do they have in Kiev, “having their backs”?

Weak, uncoordinated and reactionary governance are not the tools needed to be successful.

Once again, the Kiev government has played right into the hands of the Tsar.

“Ukraine is beyond our control”:

What other statement could Moscow put out to the word after the events in Odessa?

By the way; has anyone stopped to think how important a city Odessa is tot the Russian?

Look into it if you don’t understand that question.

As many of us have been saying for weeks now; the Tsar / Russia / needs to build his case for action in Ukraine and Odessa came right on schedule... like a train pulling into the station.

Are we closer to the main event everyone is looking for?

Are we about to see Russian tank units crossing into Ukraine?

Again, as I said two days ago, does it need to happen that way?

Is that the actual plan the Tsar has in place?

Close order, combined arms combat is impossible in suburban areas without large civilian casualties.

Why would the Tsar risk this image with the rest of the word?

Remember, this is a well scripted plan on the Tsar’s part and large civilian casualties based on Russian military actions is not part of that plan.

I’ve been playing around with a theory, one that is based on  one of the main goals of the Tsar’s master plan for reinstating the Russian Empire.

Showing the world a “new, modern, state of the art fighting force that is capable of confronting the West in the 21st Century; that is a primary issue with this Ukrainian event.

Tanks rolling over buildings with artillery firing in support and bombs going off everywhere you look….that is the “old look” of war.. unless you are out to take over the world and you don’t care about opinion.

The Tsar’s military leaders having been building what they believe is the next generation of warfare, both technology wise and tactical execution; or so they think they have!

Every politician and General loves a great Senior Leader’s review of a glorious exercise depicting the decisive and innovative ways it’s military is prepared to defend the nation.

Scripted and always with victorious outcomes is the blanket that convinces political leaders to “move ahead with the plan”!

So, what does this have to do with the Ukraine?

Ok, what did the Tsar’s military leaders tell him should be the plan for actions in the Ukraine?

Now, realize these military leaders were given the responsibility of executing military operations in a manner that doesn’t degrade the real master plan; the reemergence of the Russian Empire!

Thus; the Russian military planners had to script the conflict side of the master plan to fit the overall plot and killing thousands of civilians in the Ukraine is not acceptable.

Getting the new government blamed for the deaths of civilians, that is part of the master plan for both the military leaders in Moscow and the Tsar.

Now, here is where the real danger comes back into play.

As I said last week, many of the current Russian military leaders may “talk the talk” of modern warfare, most are not sold on the concept.

A well scripted plan that looked great on paper and worked like a charm in the exercise mode, can fall apart at light speed once it’s underway.

So, my point is this; confidence is a deadly trait when planning an event.

Conversely, confidence is critical once execution is underway.

If he Russian military has made the Tsar “confident” during the planning phase of this operation, then the dangers are more than real.

Old military leaders fall back on what they know in times of trouble…..tanks.. .artillery…. mass on mass... and soon the most horrific event, in the Tsar’s eyes, comes to life… international media showing the Russian military crushing Ukrainian towns.

If you think, “well, if that starts to happen, the Tsar will just stop the event before it does even more damage to his international image”!

Wrong!

Stopping is the equivalent of defeat; just ask the Israeli / IDF / to talk about the 2006 conflict.


If the Russians have a plan that is too complex for a military that is truly not modernized and that is controlled by “old school” leaders, then that plan could quickly dissolve into a disaster both militarily and politically.

Just how confident is the Tsar?

Is the confidence based on what he has been shown on paper?

Remember what confidence on paper brings.

Last, but not least!

Side Note:

It’ L -6…. 6 hrs prior to launch of operations into the Ukraine, and suddenly the Russian communications HQ forward report that all movement control networks have been loaded inaccurate data and support operations will not be able to execute for perhaps days.

How did this happen?

Who did it?

Who do you blame?

How do you prove it?

What does it change?

Do you go or not go?

The Tsar is furious!

What do you do…..what do you do?

Forward this to your friends. It’s going to lead to a great “what if” for the next post.



Friday, May 2, 2014



DEATHS IN UKRAINE….  DID THE TSAR JUST GET WHAT HE NEEDED?

Everyone has been saying for over two months just how they all thought the next level of events in the Ukraine might take place and today fit’s their vision.

So, is this it?

Does the Tsar now send his forces in in order to “save the lives of the innocent”?

My gut tells me, it’s too early yet.

The Tsar Launch order may be based on a more widespread sequence of events than this.

It is troubling he quickly asked for a UN Emergency meeting knowing he would get nothing accomplished, other than saying, “I tried, but now we must move to save lives”.

Odessa:

The news from Odessa is far more fitting to the Tsar’s plan than some of the other smaller towns in Eastern Ukraine.

Small towns often have a common theme of, “leave us out of it”.

Country life is simple and small and that means it’s very difficult to bring passion to a event that started in a big city.

Some may care, but not to the level of killing each other over it.

That’s why the “outsiders” had to be brought in.

Odessa is another story and will lead to a more dramatic outcome.

Odessa could be spark the Tsar is really looking for, if he is looking for a “spark”!

Ask yourself this question from the view of the  Tsar’s glasses?

What is the rush?

Is the Russian economy going to fail?

Does it hurt the Tsar’s vision of the new Mother Russia if this goes on for the next several years?

Do we really know the answer?

If getting to the point that Ukrainians are actively and violently killing each other is what the Tsar’s plan is, the next question becomes, does that mean Russian forces will move in?

What better way to destroy the reputation of the new government than to let them spend three weeks prior to their election, killing their own people?

Is this why the President of the US warned the Russians to stay out of the pending elections?

Why be on the ground in a massive fight just prior to the elections?

Why validate the threat from Kiev’s perspective?

On the other hand, if you cannot allow the elections to take place, then you may be forced into action prior to the event.

I’ve said from the beginning this is not just about the Ukraine and in fact the Ukraine is only one phase of the Tsar’s master plan to reestablish the Russian Empire.

I’ve also stood by my theory that the Tsar was over confident on how events in the Ukraine would take placed.

Was the pending election something the Tsar anticipated?

If not, then we have our answer on his movement into the Ukraine.

If he did anticipate such an event, then he may be content with letting the Kiev leaders take the blame for killing fellow Ukrainians.

Three weeks is a long time, particularly when you are trying to stay alive.

Either way, the future of what takes place does not rest on what the West says or does.

The Tsar is calling the shots and we will have to wait to see what he has planned next.





Thursday, May 1, 2014



THE TSAR AND THE REEMERGENCE OF MAY DAY!

Two days ago, I kept reminding myself to make sure I mentioned the May Day issue the day before it takes place.

Well,  I forgot and so….here ya go…. the May Day slant on the actual day.

First off, It seems a bit odd a man who sees himself as the new Tsar of Mother Russia would support a holiday that was blatantly a mark of the communist past in his country.

Then, I figured it out.

Like so many other events in his life, Putin has designed a way to turn what was once proclaimed as the greatest single celebration day in the communist word, into a celebration of “ Mother Russia”!

If something works, just steal the idea and proclaim it as your own….yep.. the KGB just keeps coming out in the new Tsar.

Two parts issues grabbed my attention as I was reading the attached article.

  1.  The statement about the popularity of Mr. Putin.
    1. It was not that long ago, many were writing about his reelection but with diminished popularity that would lead to “limited” abilities to achieve his goals for Russia.
    2. My how things changed and not by accident.
  2. The photos:

    1. Look at the faces in the crowd…Young and full of energy!
    2.  Youth that believes in the Tsar and youth that is proud of what Russia is doing.
Nationalism is alive and well in Russia as it is in the land of the Dragon.

Young people who believe the time has come for their respective countries to show the world the influence they will have.

Where is this youthful vigor in the West / US ?

Does it not exist?

No.

It’s there but in dwindling numbers and that is far more dangerous than witnessing a parade in Moscow.

Visions of pending “greatness” in the land of the Bear and the land of the Dragon.

In the West?