Friday, April 18, 2014



THE SACKING OF PRINCE SULTAN…AGAIN!!!

Two good articles here that both address the same issue, but from different topics.

In the world of  international affairs and more importantly money, the rules never really apply or only do so as long as the public is paying attention.

It’s the reason most surviving governments refine the art of distraction; keep the public looking in the other direction.

Everyone should also understand the real relationship between the US and Saudi is inside the oil industry.

This process has the ability to survive individual “visions” and in the case of the US that is usually based on a eight year cycle.

So, does the apparent pending divorce between the US and Saudi mean the end of an alliance?

Have the political winds in the West changed so much that alliances will dissolve and or realign or will the cycle of relationships reestablish at the end of the eight year cycle?

 Here is the interesting point.

One of the answers doesn’t reside inside the Department of State or the Department of Commerce.

It rest with the oil industry…. The international oil industry!

Where are the profits to be made?

Who is willing to support the process and how much money could be made?

Profit decides who really talks to each other officially or unofficially.

Does the oil industry talk to Iran?

Next Question…. That’s my point…

The other answer as to the survival of alliances is conflict!

Conflict shapes the future and even then that is sometimes temporary.

The issue of the West reaching out to the Persians and the resistance to this process by the Saudis is the emotional sticking point and it’s also the most dangerous flashpoint for conflict.

None of this is new to anyone who lives in the world of international “relationships”!

But, like with any other profession, there are those who are good at what they do and there are those who are not!

The example I’ll give rest with the case of Prince Bandar Sultan.

Is Prince Bander a known “friend” of the Bush family?

Yes.

Are the Bush’s closer to the oil industry than the current administration?
Yes!

Is there the chance the feelings toward the Prince as based upon something as petty as resenting his relationship with a political and ideological foe?

Sadly the answer is most likely yes.

Are we making decision that will impact the entire region of the Middle East based upon personal beliefs and grudges?

Well, it will not be the first time something so unprofessional has taken place in world affairs.

Prince Sultan speaks for the King, but forcing the royal family of Saudi to remove him because of his personal “relationship” with the political enemy in another country, well, I won’t type what I would call that!

The Western “vision” of where the Middle East should be is more than confusing; it’s dangerous!

The oil industry will survive and profits will be secured.

Who gains those profits that is what the conflicts will determine.

But, letting personal grudges filter into the process; well…..like I said…. There are those who are good at what they do and there are those who are not!





Thursday, April 17, 2014



SNOWDEN DIALS IN TO THE TSAR SHOW……WHY?

So the Tsar’s annual telethon was scheduled for the same day all the Western Nations, the UN and Russia were going to talk about the Ukraine?

What a coincidence!

There are no coincidences in the Tsar’s world…. Not according to his way of thinking.

Was this a propaganda event for the Tsar?

Yes.

Was it for his people or for the rest of the world?

Yes.

Was the Snowden skit part of the act?

Next question!

Now, back to my point about there being no such thing as a coincidence in the Tsar’s world.

Ignoring for the moment what the message was to his people, let me take a shot at what his game plan was for the outside audience and why Mr Snowden was mixed into the show.

First off, do not overlook what he said.

He openly restated, restated because he has said it time and time again, that he retains the right to move into the Ukraine if needed.

That is the baseline message given just prior to the much anticipated and way over emphasized “talks” being held today.

So, first and foremost, the message was not just a message, but a warning!

Already this morning, the paid talking heads are trying to make this week’s paycheck by attempting to answer why Snowden was utilized.
Before I get into why the Tsar did it, let me assure you why Mr Snowden agreed.

He is a puppet and a very small one, of the Tsar and his ability to take his next breath depends on what the Tsar decides with each passing day.

“You will call in and you will ask the following question and you will say nothing else”; that is just about how this came about.

What is the Tsar’s message with the Snowden puppet?

“Don’t forget what I own”!!

What has Snowden not told the world yet  and there are many very damaging things or the Tsar would have little use for him now.

Again, remember, the purpose of this teleconference was to present the threat of interference with the Tsar’s Master Plan.

Just seeing his face show up on international TV with the Tsar gave Washington DC the cold chills!

Trust me, the “message” was understood, even by the dumbest of advisors in several Western nations.

What the world witnessed today was the Tsar showing off his international, diplomatic swordsmanship.


Just prior, hours, before a proclaimed “very important” meeting of the minds on the topic of the crisis in the Ukraine, the Tsar  displays his Buccaneer style and sprinkles a dash of salt on the slash political skin of the West… a salt named Snowden.

Wednesday, April 16, 2014



UKRAINE’S “ANTI TERRORISM” DISASTER!

A few weeks ago, when it was announced the new government in the Ukraine  was going to form a “National Guard”, I commented on why this would be taking place and how the new government had no real idea who could be trusted inside the Ukrainian military.

For the past few days I’ve addressed the issue of “planning” and how this so called Anti Terrorism operation was most likely far more complicated  than the new government of Ukraine  was capable of pulling off.

So, what happened today?

How is it that the much announced “anti terrorism” operation in Eastern Ukraine turned into a photo op for the pro Russian side?

My hunch is a few things may have happened and none of them bold well for the new government in Kiev.

First off, if the Ukrainian government utilized members of this new “National Guard” force, one that has a little over a month of training, then the outcome the world witnessed was more than predictable.

If this response force had members from that region of Ukraine, then the reluctance to combat their fellow countrymen was again more than predictable.


So, let’s go back to my point of the past few days; poor planning by unqualified planners can only lead to disaster and today was a disaster for Kiev.

What we are witnessing in the Eastern region of Ukraine is the clash between detailed, professional planning and panic planning exited by unprofessional planners.

Here is an example of what I’m talking about.

Rumors were all over the place today over the fact that many of the “Little Green Men”, the pro Russian men in matching uniforms with no patches, were from Crimea and were actually Ukrainian and not just Russian Special Forces; although they are also part of this processes.

A brilliant move on the Russian’s part!

Side Note:

Is not the Crimea now part of Russia; hence …are these troops in reality Russian troops?

I will admit, taking the airfield back yesterday did hint at some level of tactical response on the part of the new Ukrainian  government.

Airfields are prime initial targets of any Russian movement into the region and unlike in the Crimea, the Ukrainian military, what is left of it, seemed to figure that out.

Here is the bad news.

If the Russians decide to come, the forces at the recaptured airfield won’t hold for an hour or so.


So, what did today show us?

My opinion doesn’t hold well for the Ukrainian government, but the bad news doesn’t stop at Kiev.


What today showed the world is  the complete breakdown of what was left of the Ukrainian military and to what level the leadership must have been dismissed.

The plan that began to execute yesterday was a complete failure and it’s an ideation that any follow on action will be even more reckless.

The real bad news is, the next round of reckless operations will most likely lead to open conflict and that is exactly what the Tsar is counting on.

The Ukrainian military is all but dysfunctional and its ability to defend the new government is truly nonexistent.

A week or two of armed thugs killing each other and the media showing panicked civilians running for their lives will lead to calls for some form of intervention.

That call may come from Moscow before it comes from anywhere else and that my friends was the Tsar’s plan from day one!

As a reminder… The Ukraine is not the only phase of the Tsar plan to rebuild the Russian Empire.





Tuesday, April 15, 2014



RUSSIAN MILITARY IN EASTERN UKRAINE?

Once again the age old adage of,  “ a picture is worth a thousand words”, in this case a short YOUTUBE clip, drives home a point many seem to be missing.

First off, the Western intelligence community is capable of “knowing” if Russian troops, even special units, are operating on Ukrainian land.

The warnings that have officially come from not only the US, but other Western leaders addressing Russian “interference” in Eastern Ukraine are not based on speculation.

These statements are developed after close consultation with the intelligence agencies of multiple nations.

So, when I watched this clip shown by BBC, my theory I stated yesterday seemed all but cemented in fact.

If Eastern Ukraine is leaning towards Russia and the Russian backed government was in control of the country only months ago, then why would the civilian police departments in that region be anything but pro-Russian?

It’s the reason we have not seen and will not see a “combined” civilian / Military / operation to “Free” those captured facilities.

The forces now forming on the outskirts of these towns are not from that region and if we do see civilian law enforcement, they will not be from that region as well.

As for this Russian Col?

Notice how the Police Officers are paying attention to him?

Notice how they are not acting as if he is just some civilian nutcase belching out support to a group of recently turned supporters?

Hi mannerisms mimic a true military Commander and there is no doubt in my mind this clip is a legitimate event.

So what is about to happen?

Yesterday, I warned that a half-baked, unprofessional plan being launched is far more dangerous than doing nothing at all, but I am convinced that is exactly what is about to take place.

Remember, that is exactly what the Tsar is counting on!

A desperate act that is well covered and very poorly executed with unpredictable results plays right into his hands.

As for the much talked about phone call between the Tsar and the US President, what really matters is who called who?

Did the Tsar call the President?

Was it part of the Master Plan and simply fit the timeline of execution once the Russians saw the Ukrainian forces moving towards the Eastern Cities?

If that is true, then what was said or agreed to is most likely irrelevant.
I would be willing to bet the staging of forces just outside the towns is a last ditch effort to let politicians talk.

As soon as those forces make contact…. The time for talking will come to an end and the time of complete unpredictability will be upon us.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-27022548



Monday, April 14, 2014



 KIEV’S EMPTY THREATS…..AND THE LACK OF "PLANS"

Well, back to the story that is the Ukraine and a quick comment about the threats of action by the new government in Kiev.

As most deadlines go the one that was all the talk yesterday passed.

The only question worth asking today is “why”; why did the deadline pass?

When this phase of the Tsar’s Master Plan to reestablish the Russian Empire began, I stated the real problem for the new Ukrainian leadership was actually being able to defend the country.

What percentage of the senior leaders really supported what took place in Kiev?

Yep; we talked about this once before, so let’s push passed this information loop!

Can the new government of Kiev, notice I don’t say the Ukraine given I’m not convinced they control mush outside of Kiev, actually coordinate a unified action between the civilian police, the slice they can trust, and the military and the slice they can trust?

Have they done their homework to the level required?

Do they really have the ability to execute a detailed operation that is absolutely packed with dangers for not only their leadership, but the leadership of Europe?

“ I give you until…..???... to stop what you are doing or else…..”

Was that commitment to action thought out and were professional planners involved in preparing a detailed plan for such an event?

My bet is that didn’t even come close to taking place.

Detailed operations require detailed, professional planning.

Someone who was, just a few months ago, a regional economic advisor to the deputy assistant of something or another, is completely incapable of overseeing a detailed civilian / military / coordinated event.

A retired “Friend” of the revolution of someone who was once in the military or a mid level civilian law enforcement member still doesn’t have the tools required to “plan” at this detail.

So, why did it not take place?

I’ll answer that by stating, thank God it didn’t take place!

What the Tsar is planning on is an unmitigated disaster with the media showing, worldwide, how out of control the event is becoming…. By the way… the first ones to use the term, “civil war” was whom…..Yep… Moscow.

So, what would it take for Kiev to actually execute what they warned would happen?

First off, the civilian / military planning process  would have to take place and that would take time, perhaps days…

Did the new government have this process underway knowing the troubles in that region of the country were bound to happen?

One would think, but with the processes of forming a new government and trying to determine who was pro-Russian and who was not,  makes this  a highly unlikely scenario.

If the new government placed this ultimatum without a plan, then the ability to integrate the forces / civilian / military / is nearly impossible.

This could explain why the civilian law enforcement agencies in the East have been virtually unseen for over a day now.

The even more ominous sign would be the fact the departments dissolved or worse, changed sides to the pro Russian movement.

If you ask me, I think this is exactly what took place and is still taking place.


That would mean the leadership in Kiev is now having to contemplate something far more difficult that retaking a few buildings.

How do you “invade” a whole region of your own country?

That is truly what I believe Kiev is up against.

That planning process takes time and it also takes people who know how to plan.

Who does Kiev have left that can accomplish such a task and can they be trusted.

As a reminder, senior leaders do not do detailed planning.

They give guidance and you better trust the working level staffs that have to put such a huge plan together.

As it’s been written, it’s probably being reviewed in Moscow!




Saturday, April 12, 2014



ASSAD…. PERSIANS, TSARS AND “DRAGONS”:

Way back when, at the beginning of the conflict in Syria, I gave my opinion of just how this all might end, given the West desire to no longer be seen as a world leaders!

If you search this site, you will see my comments on how the day would come that the Tsar and his Persian Allies, if the Tsar really has such a thing, would decide if Assad stays or goes and if he goes, who would replace him.

So, when I came across these two very well written articles, I was compelled to go back and read what I posted over three years ago.

Yep… I was right!!!

Now, one of these stories brings up an excellent and important point about Mr Assad.

He, like me, has always known he serves at the pleasure of the Persians and the Persians decision to keep him in power is influenced by the Tsar!

Does that mean he is willing to go upon request?

No!

Do the Persians and the Tsar understand that dilemma?

Yes!

As I said three years ago, when the time comes for Assad to “leave”, he will not be asked to “go”!

He will wake up “dead!

He will most likely hear kind words being said over his body, most likely at the barrel of a gun, and he will see whoever it was his Masters chose to replace him standing next to his most loyal military leaders…who actually work for the Persians!

The facts are these:

  1.  Assad’s departure will be determined by his Masters, even if his Masters decide to let the rebels succeed in killing him thereby providing his government the rally cry to avenge his death in a most merciless event…. One the West will only sit back and watch.

  1.  The future of the region no longer is controlled by the West and in fact the influence factor is decreasing by the day.

  1. Finally; the plans of the Masters are flawed, as plans almost always are, by the fact they didn’t take into account other potential “Masters” and the actions they are quietly making.

Yes the region is changing and there is no doubt Assad will not be part of that change, but as I said two days ago, relationships are being forged and the most important ones are being made in closed rooms without the Persians and the Tsar.

They may worry they are being made and they may even try to anticipate what deals are struck, but in the end, they will have to wait to see just how well their plan executed.

In ancient history…. Those who dreamed of sailing the world and finding untold wealth were overcome by stories of Dragons and Sea Monsters… so much so thee very maps they made depicted areas one dare not go!!!!!

Those days may soon be a reality once again!








Thursday, April 10, 2014



UKRAINE AND THE GHOST OF BLACKWATER!!!

As we ponder the next steps in the Tsar's detailed plans for the reemerging Mother Russia, we need to be careful not to overlook the critical function the media certainaly was tasked to play in the Master Plan.

The argument that the  media in Russia is openly controlled by the Tsar is not worth debating.

Yes, many say, "well... CNN is nothing more than a mouthpiece for the administration', or, " Fox is just a Right Wing Support Group"!

The fact of the matter is, both are still independently owned stations that compete for advertising dollars and when push comes to shove, a good story that goes against what their ownership stands for will still be covered if it means ratings!

This is not the case in Russia and the world knows it.

Now, why is this fact important?

I have heard rumors for weeks now about Western manipulation in Kiev, so when this  story of Greystone was aired in Moscow, I had to wonder......why?

Do the Russian know "someone" may be in the tasked to help the new government in Kiev and is that the most important part of this comment about Greystone?

If the Tsar knows groups like Greystone are in Kiev, does he realize some of these groups really do march to the sound of profit and not orders from the White House?

Does the White House know what is really going on in Kiev?

Here is the more important question.

Does that matter?

I would suggest what really matters is what does the Tsar believe.

Time and time again, I have commented on how "perception" is reality in the connected world of the 21st century and time and time again I have warned about the paranoia of a man like the Tsar.

If Greystone or any group like them is truly operating in the Ukraine, and my bet is they are if there is money to be made and young men who still seek the thrill of danger, then the Western governments / US / needs to be prepared for how the Tsar will leverage this point.

How will it look if the West continues to "warn" the Russians to stay out of Ukrainian "business" and then have the Russian expose a Western cooperation direct involvement in the Ukraine?

The government controlled media in Moscow put this comment in the news over the past two days for a reason and someone in the West better get ready for what that might mean.

Oh...by the way... I truly hope someone doesn't try and use the same old pathetic statements the West / US / made about Blackwater in Iraq.

I will tell you without a shadow of a doubt Blackwater was an unmitigated disaster for the West / US / in Iraq!

No one in Moscow is going to believe private / military / contractors are in the Ukraine without the blessing of the Western / US / governments.

This shot across the bow of the West on Russian news channels is more than just a story.

It's a warning.. and it's a warning that someone better understand and "fix" quickly!

http://www.phantomreport.com/greystone-limited-mercenaries-operating-in-ukraine