FOLLOW UP TO THE IRANIAN  ASSASSINATION PLOT

Yesterday, the million dollar question all the talking heads were scrambling to answer in order to get paid or promote their next book was, " Why"?

Why would Iran contemplate such an act?

With another full day of inputs from just about everyone who knows where Iran is on a map, I only read one logical train of thought, other than mine that is!

Iran wanted to create a crisis for the US and it's neighbor, Mexico.

What made this line of thought more plausible was the very well scripted response of the US government in conjunction with the Mexican government?  

If, like I theorized, the US government figured out this plot was, at least in part, designed to create a public outcry in the US over the Mexican Drug Trafficking Organizations / DTOs, then it was a good move by the US to quickly show the  Mexican government's  involvement in solving the case.

Iran's concept of creating an international incident that included our Southern neighbor would easily fall into the "distraction" category.

I am not convinced this was the primary goal behind this plan, but it could easily be a second order effect that may have paid huge dividends to Iran.

Now, I am sure Saudi and Israel could care less about the relationship between the US and Mexico and both of them have little public understanding of the emotions in the US when it comes to the Southern border.

Utilizing a DTO may have lead  this volatile conversation and even lead to a anti Illegal rise up in the US, but it would not impact how Saudi and Israel would react.

So, as of tonight, the absolute facts on this plot are still up in the air!

Here is what I do know and you can take this one to the bank!!!

Saudi will do everything in their power to create the downfall of Assad.

They have gone from quietly supporting his government to taking the lead in his demise.

Whatever the SNC needs ... guns... money.. .information... .Saudi is going to supply it!!!

Revenge on Iran will come in the form of the Syrian Muslim Brotherhood or a sectarian civil war and possibly the downfall of the Hezbollah backed government in Lebanon.

Yep... If you don't know Saudi, you can bank on them taking this to a whole new level all the time talking about how everyone in the region must learn to communicate and understand a peaceful path to the future.  Ya .. Right..

Saudi will be out for blood and Assad is going to be the target!

You just sit back and watch.. 

ARCHDUKE  FERDINAND ON US SOIL???? 

  A few weeks ago I talked about how events like the assassination  of Archduke Ferdinand are  simply catalyst for events that are going to happen.

The huge story that broke today begs us to consider why Iran wanted this event to take place, and to take place in the US?

Before we go down that hypothetical road, lets me go over a few sidebar points that will be overlooked in the sensational size of this event.

For years the theory has been Terrorist organizations would never make any headway with the Drug Dealers of South  and Central America.

The theory has always been the Drug Lords would never want their operations tied to something as emotional as a Terrorist act.

So, how is it that the Iranian Qod would believe a Drug Organization would be willing to help with something as international as assassinating an Ambassador in the US?

How is it when this "plan" was brought up to the Qod leadership, they saw it as a sound concept? 

My answer is, they were more focused on the end results and didn't  analyze  the plan the way they typically would.

Never the less, this is a question that will need some detailed review.

I'll get back to this very worrisome issue in a few minutes. 

Now, back to the issue not alienating Mexico.

It was wise for the US government to explain how " involved" the Mexican government was in solving this case.

Just think if the US would  have announced this operation and Mexico didn't know of it?

If the US government has to keep the Drug Lord ... Terrorist link theory to a minimum, then they have to show how Mexico was involved.

The US must maintain the " theory" Drug Lords will not deal with Terrorist!.

The fact the "go between" was a DEA paid informant will strengthen the US government's stance or at least they hope it will.

The storyline will be, " the paid informant turned the Iranian contact in because they Drug Lords don't want anything to do with them.

The fact of the matter is, he probably turned the Iranian operation in for the same reason all paid informants give  information...... MONEY and staying out of Prison.

Ok, lets get down to the HUGE issue of why???

Why would Iran take such a dangerous path?

First of all, it's not new news!!!

Iran has had their fingers in plots to kill political leadership in the past.

This time around they may have just been real sloppy in their execution.

The fingerprints on the attack in Argentina were all over the place and nothing really came of it internationally.

Perhaps the Qod is trying to make a name for itself?

Perhaps some of the mid level leadership is simply trying to climb the latter?

Maybe that would explain the official Iranian statement full support if the accused are shown to actually involved in the event.

Perhaps this is a result of the power struggle in Iran?

Perhaps this... ....... perhaps that..... and so on.. and so on.....

Here is the cold hard fact!

Does anyone think for a single second that something as outrageous as assassinating two Ambassadors on US soil would not be blessed off on by the top of the leadership in Iran?

Some are going to speculate the Iranian President may have concocted this plot and not informed Khomeini.

Here is the problem with that theory; the Qod doesn't work for the President and as a matter of fact the Cod Commander is only loyal to Khomeini and would take out Ahmadinejad in a heartbeat if Khomeini said to do so.

So, lets, for the sake of argument, say the plot had the blessing of the highest levels.

Oh by the way, that is exactly what the Saudi and Israeli leadership  is going to believe anyway.

Back to the question of why?????

On page 15 of the FBI complaint, you will notice in one of the conversations between the accused the statement is made, "it's already late"; late being the assassination of the Ambassador.

This adds yet another twist to this event.

Was there a timeline and if so, why?

The FBI and other agencies will be hard at work to prove the case in court.

The  US Administration and DoS will need to make the case on why actions should be considered against Iran and what actions should be taken.

So, who is looking at " why" and perhaps why a timeline?

Let me take a stab at why?

It appears this plot has been underway for over a year if you take into consideration how long the Qod would have worked on the concept with senior leadership before ever talking to " middle men".

That means this event predates the Arab Spring.

Why is that important?

It means this act was probably not, at least initially, designed to save Syria or keep the Arab Spring form coming to Iran.

So, back to why?

Would killing the Saudi and Israeli Ambassadors to the US in the US lead to anything but the real possibility of war in the Middle East?

Some will say how could it not?

It's one thing to bomb a building, but killing another countries Ambassador not to mention two Ambassadors who both happen to represent the mortal enemy of only one other country.... Iran, would be interpreted by the whole world as an act of War.

Was Iran looking for war with not only Saudi and Israel, but the US as well????

How insane would that possibly appear?

How could Iran ever believe for a minute the whole world would not see their fingerprints on this event?

Again..... back to the million dollar question.... Why????

Here is the problem with answering this question... there is absolutely no logical answer!!!  

Right?????

Wrong!!!!!

Here goes my answer and it's the only one I can come up with for now and that may change soon!!!

Over a year ago the Iranian government was convinced it was facing an imminent attack over it's nuclear program.

It's military and it's religious leadership was fixated with the idea of being " Invaded"!

Iran knew and knows it has absolutely no chance of surviving such an attack.

Yes, they talk a good battle, but when the door are closed and the real analysis is conducted, they know they are finished and the dreams of their Empire are gone!

Perhaps.... just perhaps... they had come to the conclusion it was the only way out.

Why wait for your demize?

Why not terrorize an already war weary public such as the US and take you chance with the US staying out of a regional war?

I know it sound unrealistic, but desperate nations come up with desperate plans.

Thus... my lead in on the history of WW1 and the assassination of Archduke Ferdinand.

Now, remembering this plot started well over a year ago, the dramatic and demoralizing events of Syria and the Arab Spring could have only made this fear of a lost future all the more realistic.

Could the assassination of two arch enemies Ambassadors on US soil be the last desperate attempt to show how willing Iran was and is to survive?

For the sake of moving on with this mystery, lets assume the Iranian leadership was willing to accept the gamble of this " warning" leading to war.

" What do we have to lose"??? That could very well be the mindset.

Finally; lets look at the statement of " already being late".

Assume they say this as the last warning, why a timeline?

Assad!!!

For over four months now, Iran has known Assad is not going to survive.

Looking for someone Iran can " work with" is less and less likely given the relationship Turkey is building with the Syrian Muslim Brotherhood.

Yes, the door is closing on Syria, or at least Iran believes so!

Wanting this WW1 type of event to take place soon could simply be a matter of knowing how much longer Assad has left.

Without Syria, there is no Iranian Regional power  future... There is not Persian Empire!!

I have talked for months about Iran desperately needing a distraction.

I must admit, even I could not imagine an Archduke Ferdinand plan!!

the next few days will be not only fascinating to watch.. they could be down right dangerous.

The attached document is complaint filed by the FBI.

It was posted on CNN this afternoon.

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2011/images/10/11/complaint.amended.pdf?hpt=hp_t1

BETRAYAL AND THE ASSUMPTIONS OF BETRAYAL

Two quick follow ups for today.

Yesterday I talked about the Assad warnings over the SNC and who the message may really be meant for.

Debka put another interesting twist to what this could be all about.

Russia.

Another concept of this warning that may need to be considered is the idea of Assad showing Iran Syria may be willing to jump ship.

If Assad knows Iran is looking to bail on him and Russia, who he has never really trusted, is plotting with Iran, then Assad may just make his own deals.

The problem is, this would have been a great tactic several months ago, before he was so toxic.

For Assad to try his own version of " Betrayal"  he has to have a dance partner and just about nobody wants that dance.

Ah, but then there is the idea of, " If I can't have it my way, then I will sell the house just to spite the bankers".

In other wards, Assad could let the SMB have the victory they are looking for.

Talk about an act that would upset Iran!!!

Not very probable I know, but when people and nations get desperate, anything is possible.

We will have to see what the next move is.

Does the GCC start to deal with the SNC.???

http://www.debka.com/article/21369/

Finally;

Turkey continues to play a very dangerous game with Israel.

I have not doubt Turkey and Israel have absolutely no intention of letting this oilfield issue get out of hand, but Israel's growing relationship with Greece  is a real thorn in the Ottoman Empires dreams.

No one expect "trouble" from these series of events, but as I have said before, history is filled with tragic wars and events that brought about wars.

I would not want to see this tit for tat game go much further just now.

The whole region is a little too edgy for any military mistakes.

 http://www.worldbulletin.net/?aType=haber&ArticleID=80047

Tuesday's topic..... Egypt and the Wonderful Arab Spring!!!! 

SNAP SHOT / OCT 9TH 2011

Here is a simplistic review of what is taking place this week in the Middle East and the spin off event in the US, "Occupy Wall Street".

Egypt:

For months now I have beat the drum on how the MB simply needs social disorder to continue right up to the elections in Egypt.

The more the people of Egypt worry their country may never return to any level of normalcy, the more likely they are to vote for a group, such as the MB groups, that promise social order equality.

The violence in the past two days is just anther example of what the MB needs to happen in Egypt.

What the MB doesn't want and will not stand for is the Egypt Military to continue to push the elections down the road.

The longer it takes, the less power the MB will gain and that is their fear.

http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2011/10/2011109155853144870.html

Saudi:

The violence of the past week with the Shii groups in the Northeast are not accident.

The problem for Saudi will continue to be the overreaction and the heavy-handedness of the Saudi Police and National Guard.

Both of these are exactly what Iran is counting on.

Don't look for the Saudis to do anything that will actually defuse these events anytime soon.

How far they go and where they lead to is really up to the Shii organizers and trust me, these are organized events.

Bahrain:

The events in Bahrain go hand in hand with the problem Saudi has with the Shiite population in Saudi.

The difference is, Bahrain managed to do exactly what I would count on the Saudis doing... killing someone that provides a rally cry for the Shii population.

The riots in Bahrain this week are nothing new, but the government is taking two steps backwards by killing the 16 year old boy.

Just when it looked like Bahrain was going to defuse the trial of the Doctors issue, they turn around and drop the hammer on the Shii again.

Foolish and I'm not sure how fast Saudi would coming running to their aid this time given the pending issue  in that region of Saudi Arabia.

http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2011/10/20111071362401501.html

Syria:

The on again... off again... Syrian National Council ( SNC) may finally be getting some traction.

I say based on Assad officially warning other nations not to recognize the SNC or have any dealings with them.

  What could be more than interesting is the issue of who Assad was really addressing with this announcement.

Lets imagine for a minute he was talking to Iran! Yes . Iran....

Lets assume Assad has fears of Iran abandoning him, as they should be.

Assad could make such a bold statement and if challenged by Iran, could simply respond, " I was addressing Turkey and the other GCC countries".

The other issue that would be more than ironic, but would fit the history of the Middle East, would be if Iran "assumed" the message was meant for them.

Paranoia is a daily fact of life in the Middle East and Iran leads the way on living off of paranoia.

So, what chances does the SNC really have?

Well, it's better than what they tried to come up with two months ago in Turkey, but it's a long ways from pushing Assad from power.

To do that, they must convince the Sunni Business class and the Kurds and finally key military leaders that Syria's future doesn't have to be a sectarian civil war.

If they can do this and do so without Assad taking action first, then maybe... just maybe they have a chance.

One thing is for sure... the EU and the US are going to maintain a real "hands off" attitude for the foreseeable future.

http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2011/10/2011109105926786426.html

Oh ya.... this was a huge mistake that I will be watching this week.

http://www.worldbulletin.net/?aType=haber&ArticleID=79965

Turkey:

It appears the Turkish blustering has calmed down in the past week.

As the Ottoman Empire was out telling the world how they were prepared to be the keepers of the whole Middle Eastern Region, they suddenly discovered how vulnerable their economy actually was becoming. 

Telling the people of Turkey they are the future of the region is one thing... letting them see the value of their savings start falling apart is quite  another.

As for the drumbeat of how Turkey feels about Israel, it could be the brash talk was beginning to worry people who rely on calm waters and trade and the word got back to the Ottoman Emperor!

Turkish navel vessels playing cat and mouse with the Israeli navy was not getting them anywhere, coupled with the Egyptian MB sticking a finger in the Ottoman's eyes.

All in all, Turkey decided to slide off the FrontPage for now..

How long that last is anyone's guess, but I would say we will hear from them real soon on some emotional topic.

It's hard to play world leader and stay off the news for too long.

Israel:

Midnight oil has to be burning every night in the leadership offices as the plans for the pending UNSC vote unfold.

Even if the US is successful in preventing 9 members from bring the Palestinian vote issue up to a vote, they will still get blamed for the lack of action.

This will be the classic, " Damned if you do and damned if you don't".

Abbas knows this and will not move from his position.

Right now, Abbas is ridding the popularity wave with most of the Palestinian people, but it is interesting to hear the discontent already growing.

It is becoming more and more evident many of the Palestinian people are wondering if Abbas vision of the Palestine is truly the vision they have.

The fact that many of them are questioning why the issue came up without consulting the general public has not been answered to their satisfaction.

If everything goes Abbas's way, will the people of Palestine simply fall in line and march to his drum?

Don't bet on it.

Hamas will be the last to settle for a sectarian government run by technocrats.

the fact of the matter is, Hamas is going to use the failure of the UNSC issue to try and deal a death blow to Abbas's government.

Abbas is a Hero in a lot of place  right now, but Gaza is not one of them

Everyone seems to have their "plan" for a post UNSC vote and the Hamas plan focal point is the downfall of Abbas.

So, what is Israel planning?

Survival.

I was not kidding two weeks ago when I posted it was ill advised for the UN to back Israel into a corner.

Voting for something that makes you " feel good" and then finding out you have set the stage for a regional catastrophe is a classic UN event.

Violence in the West Bank and in other parts of the Middle East are probably going to be the results of the UNSC issue.

Who allows it to get out of hand is the issue that needs to be addressed.

If I was Hezbollah or Hamas, I would be very careful with painting a picture of how they are ready to "battle" Isreal...

The next battle the two of them witness with Israel is going to be unlike any they will remember.

Don't forget... Virtually none of the members of Hamas or Hezbollah were even alive for the 67 or 73 wars in the Middle East.

They simply have no idea what they could be facing if they back Israel into a corner.

 Occupy Wall Street:

I think I've read two dozen stories comparing " Occupy Wall Street" to the Arab Spring.

Most of this is wishful thinking on the parts of the Social Revolutionaries and Anarchist groups.  

I spent this week telling people around me the real issue to watch, as was with the Arab Spring, was not what was being said at the protest, but who was trying to take advantage of them.

You have the usual list of suspects such as Mr. Chavez.

As you would expect in a truly Democratic society, political parties began the process of taking responding to the event.

Having the unions show up is a simple attempt by one party in the US to get out in front of the movement and do their best to turn it's energy into a campaign issue.

I don't see how this event could not be a campaign issue going into 2012 for the US , but that depends on what else goes on in the world over the next eight months.

As I stated last week, the timing of a possible second recession world wide, will only make this " Occupy" movement more volatile.  

Another similarity it will have with the Arab Spring will be the idea of some organizations, perhaps several, trying to capture, Hijack, the movement for their goals.

Social disorder in the US on a scale the country has not seen since the 60s is the dream of a few of our enemies.... and they are hard at work trying to make this dream come true.

The Student's in Egypt had no clue they were being manipulated, just as the Students had no clue in Iran when the Shaw was overthrown.

Those that truly believe the " Occupy" movement is only about " social injustice" need to be very careful who comes to their support!!!

Wolves can hide in more than one costume. 



SAUDI’S TROUBLES…. LIKE I SAID.

On Monday, I talked about the troubles of the Middle East coming back to the forefront for the GCC nations.

Unfortunately for the Saudi’s the troubles are not just in Bahrain this time.

Shiite lead incidents bring about an instantaneous response from the Saudi Government…IRAN!!!!

The violence of the past three days could or could not be “supported” by Iran.

It all depends on the definition of “ support”.

At a minimum Iran give words of encouragement and rejoice in the idea of armed confrontations between Shii and Saudi government officials.

In the eyes of the Saudis I am sure they believe Iran has fully supported this event… right down to given direct orders on what to do and how to execute the acts.

One thing I should mention about that part of Saudi.

At the end of Desert Storm, I sat and watched Bedouins load their Toyota pickup trucks and their all White Caprice Classics, the preferred vehicle of that part of the world back then, with countless numbers of RPGs.. Automatic weapons, creates of grenades ect. Ect from the area we called “ The highway of Death” in Kuwait.

The Syrian Army checkpoints were more interested in US troops supplying  them with old worn out Playboy Magazines then they were checking Bedouin vehicles.

Besides that, the Bedouins would leave driving out over the desert sand not on the roads.

To this day we could never understand how they kept from getting those Caprice Classics and two wheel drive pickups from getting stuck.  The Saudis would tell us, “ The Bedouins can read the sand”.  Beats me!

My point is this, by the time we left that area, everyone of us knew the Bedouins would be the largest standing Army in that area.. Northeastern Saudi and Southern Kuwait.

Knowing  this, if these Shiites have access to virtually tons  of armament, the Saudi government could be facing a insurrection far beyond their wildest dreams.

One thing is for sure, Saudi and the nightmare of sectarian violence in Saudi is a real concern the Royal Family must deal with quickly.

The real problem will come when the Saudi government overreacts.

Yep… Iran has it going their way and Saudi knows it.

http://www.debka.com/article/21359/

A NIGHT OFF FROM THE " OCCUPY" EVENTS.

A quick look tonight back at the Middle East and an example of just what the Iranians are praying for.

Assad's comments about attacking Israel if NATO takes action on Syria may seem little more than a bluster from a desperate Dictator, but don't be fooled.

Arab's are the masters of " A message in a message" and that is exactly what Assad was implying with the harsh threat of missiles towards Israel.

At face value, his statement was directed towards NATO; hint... Turkey is a member of NATO!!!

So, who do you think the message really was for?

Yep.... Turkey!

Assad has heard the rumors of "Safe Zones" for months now and the possibility of Turkey even contemplating such an event has Assad worried sick.

On top of that, don't forget that Assad has to be well aware Iran is quietly looking for the option of an " Alternative" relationship with a Syrian government....yep.. Assad is worried Iran may sell him out!

In my opinion, his statement may have had Turkey as the primary target, but the " message in a message" could have also been for Iran.

" If you leave me on my own, I will bring down the whole region"!

Think about it.

What does he have to lose?

If he even began to transfer more missiles systems into Lebanon, Israel would not only destroy Hezbollah and Hamas, but very possibly the Iranian nuclear program as well.

I have said time and time again, Israel has it's back against the wall every bit as much as Iran and I simply don't believe they will fight a third "limited" conflict with Hamas or Hezbollah again.

The next time around for Israel, it's going to be all or nothing!

Assad knows this and has probably even been told so.

His statement was bold and dangerous.

Bold and dangerous is his message; "abandon me... attack me.. and the whole region goes up in flames" !

Now, for my point about Iranian distractions.

The Russian and Chinese veto in the UNSC over sanctions on Syria hardly played in the US today.

Why?????

Simple.... " Occupy America" is underway.

Distraction?

You bet... at least for the US...

For Israel????

 Not so much!!

NOSTRADAMUS?  I HOPE NOT!? ( Tunisian Virus)

Back in February of this year I posted this viewpoint wishing I was going to be wrong.

I still have the same wish, but I fear I may have hit the nail on the head.

A major difference between February and now that makes this event potentially far more realistic is the drastic downturn in the US economy.

I think I have addressed this fear one other time since February, but I didn't search for the post, but I believe the issue I addressed is the impact Social Medias and Social networking could have on this event in the US.

Ok, so lets get right down to it.

I will address three basic questions in an attempt to paint a picture of what might be going on in the US.

HOW DID IT GET HERE?

Some, to include me, would say it was bound to happen and some will say they are surprised it took this long.

Some will say it even tried to get started back in Wisconsin months ago, but I'm not sold on that one.

The media, Al Jazeera and a few others may have given a weak attempt to " make the link", but they simply didn't put a lot of energy into it.

In a free society with truly free press, coupled a with completely  networked  population, it was simply bound to happen.

What is interesting is how fast it has become organized.

I'm sure the paranoia is already out there about, "who is behind this"?

I remember when I was a kid, every time something bad happened in this country, half of my hometown would say, "it's those damn Commie"!  Funny... Now that I am older.. I know a few times they were right.....

I'm not sold anyone is  'behind' this Social Revolution / Social Injustice movement, at least not from the standpoint of a central point of origin.

As mush as this event will please our enemies such as Iran, they simply are not capable of organizing such an event on our land.

Just about all the other Nation States are simply too tied to the day to day economic cycle to attempt such a movement.

Most are worried more about the " Virus" coming to their shores than they are spreading it to some other land.

I know I talked for weeks about the " Weaponization" of the movement, months ago, but in the case of the event showing up in the US, I simply don't think that is the issue.

Now, having said that, we must anticipate our enemies taking full advantage of any event they can antagonize now the demonstrations have taken hold here.

That leads me to the next question I will try to answer!

WHO MIGHT TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THIS EVENT?

At the risk of sounding like a broken record... AGAIN... I think you know my first answer.

Who needs the eyes of the world taken off their problems right now?

Yep... Iran!!!

So, how could Iran leverage what may or may not take place in the US?

I hunch is it will difficult for them to really impact events here, at least physically!

What they will be fully ready to do is take advantage of the media coverage.

Press statements and Political Demagoguery are key tools in the hands of the Iranian government.

A good example of how they can turn one event into another might be the UNSC vote  on the Palestinian statehood issue.

A few good editorials by Hamas, Hezbollah or others about how the people of the US should take to the streets if their government VETO's the Palestinian vote in the UNSC is more than possible.

You won't see Iranian "agents" sneaking around in the shadows, although Hezbollah has operatives just about everywhere.

Getting a " Tent City" full of youthful, philosophical dreamers to " March" is not going to be that hard to  do; especially if they are readily available from the " Occupy" movement.

The bottom line is the most influential organization with this movement in the US is going to be the homegrown Socialist and Activist.

All the department chairs from all the left leaning universities will get a chance to feel young again...

They can dream like it's the 60s all over again and yell into their megaphones, or do YOUTUBE clips to their heart's content.

Economic times in the US and social media could easily create the " Perfect Storm" for the US and that leads me to my last question to answer.

SO HOW BAD COULD THIS GET?

Honestly; it's very difficult to predict.

For all the badmouthing our civilian law enforcement gets, they are the best in the world and I can't help but believe they have been thinking about this possibility for months now.

The other real good news is, these protest have a long history of being peaceful and that is a key to not letting these events get out of control.

The law enforcement agencies know this and they will do everything they can to keep the whole process "civil".

Having said that, as was the case in Egypt, London England, Jordan, Syria, Israel, Bahrain ect.. ect.  it only takes one or two violent events to turn things ugly.

Even in the " ugly' stage, the people in this country have a very good since for what is going too far and the media knows how to keep a close eye on both the protestors and the law enforcement agencies.

To put it simply, the US is far better at letting the population express itself than just about every other country in the world.

we have come a long... long ways from the days of the 60s Riots and we have come a long ways even from the Rodney King event.

Does that mean these events will be without violence?

I hope so, but everyone should be ready for any contingency.

England was not, at look how things swung completely out of control in the course of twenty four hours!

IN CONCLUSION:

The US must take several factors into consideration as it gets ready for the next few days or weeks.

1.  The economy has been and will continue to be the major battle cry.

Jobs and Entitlements will form the cornerstones of the debate.

2.  Social networking will take this movement to a whole new level.

The government and the law enforcement agencies can not plan based on what they learned from the 60s or any other Mass Demonstration event; at least not to great detail.

Hopefully they have spent the time to talk to England and Israel about " Lessons Learned" over the past six months.

If there is any one topic I am convenced the US government, federal, state and local  lacks understanding of, it's the impact of Social Networking on organizational movements.

Oh.. God forbid the FBI or CIA or NSA or any other 3 digit agency stands up and makes the comments they have expereince with Social networking based on the " War on Terrorism".

The fatal error for the US will be to lose the trust of the public watching these events take place.

More to follow on this once the first round of Nation Wide protest take place on Thursday.

http://coldansviewpoint.blogspot.com/2011/02/is-tunisian-virus-coming-to-us-i-found.html