ILLEGAL MIGRATION AND THE PANDEMIC THREAT. SHOULD WE WORRY?

Ebola and illegal immigrants, that’s a topic a growing number of people are talking about in the US. Is there a reason to be worried? Is there a risk of an outbreak in the US or any other country that is accepting illegals from places with a known risk?  Let’s look at this issue from a different perspective. Let’s look at how a true pandemic event would most likely take place and then I think you can come to your own conclusions. Let’s look at a few facts first.

Facts:

​Most of the illegal migration movements are taking place through a process that is not designed to monitor for pandemic threats. If someone boards a cargo ship and sails to a port in Central or South America, hidden away in some illegal fashion, the odds of the crew declaring those people are onboard is zero. 

​If you live in an area where there is an outbreak of a disease that can kill you and fear begins to rule the day, then you are going to attempt to leave. The intent to leave increases greatly when a rumor starts that people are not being allowed to leave….by the way… been there……seen that! Fear creates panic and panic grows the number of those attempting to leave. Where do you want to go? First off to a please that is safe from the threat and secondly, a place that has the ability to treat you if you do get sick. 

​Once you arrive near the area you are trying to get to, the last thing you want to do is let someone know you’re from a stricken location. By the way, let me inject some good news here. Boat rides like the ones I’m talking about are much longer than the incubation times of most deadly diseases. Whoops. Here is the bad news…………people can be carriers! Sorry.

Alright, without making the “how” process too lengthy, let me push on to my next point.

Response and History:

​Is the US ready for a true pandemic event? Well, that depends on what that event is. Just to have a starting point, let me go back to a story I was involved in as I attempt to paint a picture of “readiness”. Swine Flu in 2009. To say I was busy as that moment in time is an understatement. The idea that I needed to dedicate a percentage of my staff to a conference call about the flue seemed like overkill, but that is what I was told to do, so we did. That first day started with a call with several agencies and by the calls end, it seemed I was going to have to assign several members to the process. Well, over the course of the next few days, it became obvious this support concept would become the primary task for my staff. It seemed like the next day, all of us were 24/7 working on the issue of the growing threat of Swine Flu. What was the mortality rate projected to be? I don’t even remember, but I will tell you this some very scary concepts were being discussed at all levels, federal, state and local. Now, let me stop and digress for a minute. When I first retuned from the Middle East, back in 2003, one of my first assignments was to help the State of Texas prepare to achieve a “Green” status on CDC/ Center for Disease Control/ National Strategic Stockpile program. This was and is a program that is designed to combat pandemic events. Myself and a few of my Iron Majors, nicknames for midlevel Officers who can get just about anything done, sat in on planning meetings for months. At the end of the day, not only did we all understand what the national “plan” was, we thought we had a plan that might just work for the state of Texas. Folks, that was how I came to understand what was being talked about when the Swine Flu threat came into view. My staff and I began to listen to CDC and the states talk about events like, “Social Distancing”, Push Packages and Distribution points. It was one thing to have been in on the concept of planning for such an event but the reality of actually preparingfor these concepts was more than troubling. Over the course of the next few days, we had moved on to topics like, “The Immortals” and how these people would be identified in order to support the response process. By the way, “ The Immortals” are the people who get sick, but survive. We even planned on how to organize the Immortals inside our own forces. Scary stuff! 

​On the day the topic of closing public schools was about to be decided upon, at least in Texas, the reality of what would happen really took hold. If you close schools, people stay home. If people stay home, businesses close. If businesses close, the media, to include social media, creates a higher level of panic. Worse, if kids stay home, a percentage of First Responders don’t show up for work. People who make the sewer plants run, water and power, they all begin to be dramatically impacted. It became clear to most of us what the issue was going to be. The lethality rate was not the driving factor. The rumors and media hype would become the breaking point. Look, when you are in a series of daily calls that talk about chromosome jumps and airborne mutations, life gets real! Oh, by the way, the more people that are infected, the more mutation opportunities the virus gets, and the math is crazy. If that doesn’t drive you to the point of digging a whole to hide in, then you hear about “burnout rates” and “cooling off periods” before the virus comes back. By the beginning of the second week of the calls, we had to be careful who we had in the daily conversations given the anxiety levels it was creating and we are talking about troops who had been to war.

When it was all said and done, the virus failed to launch but it got close, so close the government was ready to implement what most would consider extreme measures. 

Side note: You don’t know the thought process of people until you tell them they could be in real trouble. Some of the sidebar conversations about how to prevent possible infected groups from traveling into other regions simply got ugly and I will leave it at that.

What does this all mean: 

​Should we be worried about the uncontrolled movement of large numbers of people from unknown places? How could we not be? Is there a process in place to check everyone that is pouring into other nations? Here is the reality. The US can have the best “plan” in the world but if other nations are not showing the commitment to watching for such an event, then that “plan” will not matter. The key to pandemic is early detection and then isolation. But and this is the huge but….if we can’t detect and isolate, then we must “Plan” for the failure of concept. Can the US stop a pandemic event from taking place? No. Can the US mitigate an event once it starts? Well folks, that’s a question of numbers and locations. By the way, where are all these people going that keep pouring into the US and other nations? Yep, they are going all over the place. Detection and Isolation in countless locations. That seems like a very…very risky assumption. Can the US and other countries check every ship that docks in a major port? No. Is the “detection” event going to take place where we don’t expect it? I hope not.  

MEXICO’S PATH TO REVOLUTION. 

   Mr. Lopez, President Lopez, apparently has a alliances with a very prominent figure in Mexico. The Good Doctor Mireles. If you have followed me for the past several years, then you know my theory of the Good Doctor. If you haven’t, I’m gong to give a very detailed background on this individual on my pending PODCAST. Yep. That’s right folks. I’ve stepped into the 21st Century. I almost....almost.... know how to do PODCAST now. The next thing you know, I will be writing code:) Okay. Why Do I bring up the relationship between the Good Doctor and Mr. Lopez? Do they have something the past President didn’t.... a real understanding of each other? Short answer.....yes.....yes they do. Is that astonishing given the Good Doctor’s history with the Mexican government, the same government that tried their best to kill him? Yep. Why? Why would this new President be any different than the past several? Why would he reach out to a man who could easily become the next General Villa? Yep. I said it....General Villa. Again, if you know me, I’ve been looking at the Good Doctor’s actions since 2013 and the beginning of his version of the Autodefensa movements. What is their “understanding” based on? Simple. Revolution! There.........I said it. Mr. Lopez and the Good Doctor are both willing to take Mexico into a Revolution if need be. Sound outrageous? If you think so, then you don’t know Mexico. 

 History:

  Without diving too deep in the past observations of the Good Doctor, let me make one very important point, one that I will cover in more detail on my PODCAST. At the time the Arab Spring was spreading, I was of the opinion that same mentality could reach the US and Mexico and other regions of Central and South America. Well, I was right about the US with the appearance of the Occupy Wall Street and that event made me even more convinced it was going to take place in Mexico. So, the Arab Spring, or Tunisian Virus, as I called it back then, was cooking along, up pops the Good Doctor in 2013. His Autodefensas organization in Michoacán was more than disturbing to some of us, but not to the level that the so called “experts” in DC would acknowledge. We had a series of debates as to just what this Autodefensa movement might indicate, but at the end of the day, as is always the case, nobody is smarter than the gang in DC....just ask them. As time went on, the cartels had to figure out a way to deal with what the Good Doctor had awoken in the common people of Mexico. The same people who no longer trusted the government, as if they ever did, and no longer trusted the police at all levels. The reality was, these groups were growing and they were taking on the cartels at an alarming rate. Now, as much as the cartels tried to get their paid for government officials to put a stop to the Autodefensas, it seemed the government was reluctant to move on the poor people of Mexico. Well, the next thing you know, the cartels did the next best thing, they infiltrated the movement. Fake Autodefensa popped up and key members were paid off....never forget in Mexico; “ Plata or Plomo”. Try as they may, the cartels could not get a handle on the groups. They even continued to grow and by 2015, it was clear not only did the cartels worry about the possibility of these groups, but the Old Guard in Mexico City did as well. You know, the people who don’t give a hoot about anything outside of Mexico City. The people that can fly away if it all goes bad. So, the next thing you know, the Good Doctor is arrested, but here was the catch. He was widely popular and killing him, at least for the government, well, that simply was not an option. Then an event took place that I predicted. They couldn’t kill him outright and the government couldn’t afford to have the cartels kill him, so............... he had a “accident” better yet......an aircraft “accident”. There was only one problem, he lived! Off to jail he went with the theory of “ out of site, out of mind”. The government had anticipated with his face being out of the limelight for a year or two and with the cartels infiltrating the Autodefensas, the whole concept would fall apart. Short answer, it didn’t work. 

  The Alliance:

 With a bad heart and a questionable support base, the Good Doctor held on. What happened next was more than an omen. The fright to have him released grew. Yep. Mexico’s elites, the ones that feared what he stood for more than they feared the cartels, were going to have to give in. He was let loose after say he was “sorry” for the Autodefensa movements. A statement he had no problem with making given he knew no one would  believe a word of it. 

Then, then the elections came and the next thing the PRE and the PAN realized their combined rule over Mexico had come to an end. Worse yet, Mr. López was not only going to change things in Mexico City, he was going to radically change things. Mr. Lopez, the guy who has called for “Revolution” in Mexico. 

Well, the next thing you know, the Good Doctor had gone from nearly public enemy number one to mouthpiece for the new President.. My oh my, how times change. Does the idea of these two wildly popular figures teaming up send shivers down the spine of the Old Guard in Mexico City? Ha. If you think The Donald showing up in DC rocked the boat, you can only imagine the drama in Mexico City.  

What was Missing:

   Back when I was “Observing”:) the Good Doctor and many other issues in Mexico, it became clear he was missing one key ingredient to spark a true revolutionary mindset. The students. He spend his energy on those that he knew, the poor farmers and working class. What he missed was the synergy that would come from pulling in the youth of the Universities. The fuel was there.... but the right flame was not used. Well, that is now changing. In the past few weeks, I’ve seen a change in the Good Doctor’s actions. It seems he has been on a roadshow not to see just the working class folks in the countryside, he’s closed the loop. He visiting and meeting with the students and folks, that is significant! Now, why is he doing this? Is he marching to the beat of his own drummer or is he executing the wishes of his fellow Revolutionary.... Mr. Lopez. 

The Real Goal?

   Mr. Lopez is out to rebalance the wealth of Mexico and he is framing this mission by saying he is pushing out corruption at all levels. Are those not the words of every revolutionary movement? The redistribution of wealth and the concept of such an event is as alien to the power base in Mexico City as it is anywhere else, but here is the kicker. Does he include the wealth of the cartels? Did he not all but admit he was going to go hands off on the drug Lords? Did he not say he was going to remove the. Military from the streets of Mexico? Just how does that defeat the strongest crime family in the Americas? Ugly answer. Perhaps he doesn’t intend to? The Good Doctor is a powerful tool and perhaps this tool has been given a mission. Secure the base for the next revolution. Secure the two groups that are key. The students and the poor.Yesterday, Doctor Mireles tweeted he was heading to the University in Guerrero and he was going to meet with the students as they reflected on the words of General Villa. “ It would be magnificent, I believe, to help make Mexico a happy place”. Talking to the students of a controversial University about the inspirational words of the last, great Revolutionary. Interesting. 

   Hugo Chavez came to power in Venezuela on the promise of a complete overhaul of the nation. He was the one that called for the next phase of the Bolivian Revolution. In the end, where did Venezuela end up? Children eating out of trash cans. Is Mexico heading for a revolution? It seems that way. Can it actually happen? What is there to prevent it when the President is so wildly popular? Is the Good Doctor working to support Mr. Lopez’s goals or is he plotting for the President’s failure? Ah......... now, there is the real question. These words have been spoken by the Good Doctor. To paraphrase, ‘ i will wait to see how his presidency goes? 

   Okay. What does this mean to the feast of us? What does it mean to the US? That folks, is the purpose of my pending PODCAST.

messy.fm/profile/coldansviewpoint. 

MEXICO’S MILITARY IS UNDER SIEGE AND IT’S FROM THEIR OWN PRESIDENT.

​I want you to imagine something. I want you to imagine waking up one morning and seeing a news story about a community in the US taking 40 members of the United States Military hostage along with a dozen state police. Would that story shock you? Would you start to doubt the stability of the nation? Well, to the people of Mexico, this is old news and even worse, it’s news most don’t even care about. Mexico. The US’s “Neighbor”. Mexico, the nation that no one dares to call, “third world”. And finally, Mexico, the country where it’s own government post a map of just how much of the nation they don’t control. Why is the US’s border with Mexico nearing a catastrophic event? Just how much worse can things get? Hold on for that answer, because the truth is, “we ain’t seen nothing yet”.

SEDENA:

​When Mr. Lopez, ya, that’s right, I call him Mr. Lopez because that’s easy and I am not culturally attuned with spelling out hyphenated names….so…He’s Mr. Lopez. If that upsets you, then just mentally replace Mr. Lopez with “AMLO” and you may feel better, was campaigning for the Presidency of Mexico, he made one huge promise to the people of Mexico. He stated he would remove the Mexican Military from the streets of Mexico. Now, if you don’t know the past decade of history in Mexico, then you may not think that’s a big deal. In most movies the US makes about Central and South America, it’s the military that is seen doing everything that typical law enforcement is tasked with in the US. Bottomline, most people here probably didn’t pay any attention to Mr. Lopez’s statement. Truth be known, they most likely didn’t even pay attention to the whole election process in Mexico. But, to the people of Mexico, that was a dramatic statement. A little history here. Over ten years ago, the corruption inside local, state and even federal civilian law enforcement was so bad, Mexico decided to replace much of the process especially at the local and state level with the military. Bad idea? You bet it was and some of us who were “working” issues to the US’s South made that known. The good news was, the issue was so bad, most of the people in Mexico supported the concept. Then, like some of us predicted, it all started to go wrong. The cartels did what they did with the civilian law enforcement, they paid the military to leave them alone or worse, do their dirty work. All of them? No. Many members are patriotic and hate the idea of corruption, but here was and is the problem. The payoffs went all the way to the Top. It’s hard to be an honest Captain at the Company level when your General is on the cartel’s payroll. 

​As bad as things became, they got worse, much worse. Within three or four years, you had military members and even units terrorizing the public every bit as bad as the cartels and the dirty civilian cops. That took place in two directions. 1. The military became frustrated and overreacted and the frequency of those overreactions became alarming to say the least. 2. The level of corruption inside the military reached a point that not only did the public not trust them, they didn’t and don’t trust each other. Yep. It was and is that bad. 

​Along comes Mr. Lopez and being the far Left Socialist that he is, the same guy calling for a “revolution” in Mexico, an important point you cannot forget, he makes a promise to the people of Mexico to remove the military, really SEDENA, from the streets. His answer became a new form of law enforcement, a Mexican National Guard. Hint, the past three Presidents have all come up with their “answer” to the problem and all three failed miserably. Then his next problem arose. How do you stand up a 60,000 person force to replace the military on the streets? Answer, you can’t. Yes, Mr. Lopez stated most of these members would come from SEDENA, but in the end, what did that solve and do the people of Mexico buy the concept? We are to believe 60k members of SEDENA have already been screened for illegal activities and placed into this new National Guard? Silly. What they did was change the uniforms slightly and then put them right back out on the streets. Here is the other problem, I’m not sure how many have even made that transition. The reality is, the vast majority of military members working local / state law enforcement are still active members of SEDENA. 

​Okay, if you are a member of SEDENA and you are trying to hold on to your integrity and patriotism, all while you see this new force trying to take to the streets, then you suddenly hear rumors of units not being allowed to defend themselves, where does your mind go? What does a soldier think when he hears the rumors of units being detained and disarmed by civilian groups, groups that in the minds of these soldiers work for the cartels. What happens when the common soldier finds out the orders to not defend yourself comes from all the way at the top? Underpaid and swimming in a sea of corruption, what makes the “good guys and girls” of SEDENA keep going? At what point does it all just seem not worth the effort? Yep, this is the answer from Mr. Lopez. If he can’t pull SEDENA off the streets of Mexico as fast as he would like, he will do the next best thing…………….tell them they can’t engage the public. Now, ask yourself. If you were a cartel Boss, would you get in a gun fight with the military, an environment where they can defend themselves, or would you just get the public to rush the units as they move into town? Is this whole thing a horrific mess? Can it get worse? Yep. 

Breaking Point: 

​You are a member of SEDENA, a good one, and you wake up, get in uniform and prepare to moveout on a mission to find cartel gunmen in a town. As you are eating breakfast, your buddies are grumbling, still, about the unit that was “detained” a few days ago and made to look like fools. What goes through your head? Is it really worth it? The pay? Funny! The pride, your President is taking that from you. Your loyalty? No one believes you. What makes you step into the vehicles and move out? What is holding Mexico together? You are. What happens if you and those like you just give up? Answer, we will see a Mexico that falls into a true state of crisis. What is a General without Troops? A costume. 

What is Mr. Lopez truly pushing for? Remember where I said, don’t forget his calls for a “Revolution”. Mexico’s economic indicators are slipping all the while as Mr. Lopez funds more and more social programs…..you know…..freebees. His drive for the redistribution of wealth has Mexico on the path to be Venezuela’s twin. Here I go again. If you want to see a real mass migration crisis along the US border, then sit back and watch Mexico fall apart. Read on social media how the PAN and the PRE and teaming up to take on Mr. Lopez. Are the PRE and the PAN corrupt? Silly question. Did they provide a somewhat stable environment compared to Mr. Lopez? Absolutely. Do you think I’m making these stories up about the military units being “detained”. Google, Borderland Beat and Sierra De Guerrero. You will find your answer. Just how bad is Mexico. “ You ain’tseen nothing yet”!

SELFISH PROMOTION TIME:

Well, here I go. First off, let me say, “I know already”. I know how many times in the past I’ve commented about those who post and speak on topics for the simple reason of setting themselves up for self-promotion. Yes, I have called such people ugly names in the past and yes, I fully realize I’ve ignored just about every comment they have ever made, but……but….. this is different. No…..really….this is different. Why? Give me a chance to explain why. 

Several years ago, I was in a deep conversation with a few coworkers about the topic of a true, Third World War. Some in the room, a very “special room”, argued, like many, the world was already in a “Third World War” and the only difference was, how that war was being projected. For the record, I didn’t agree with that mindset and I will tell you why as I explain my selfishness. Anyway, when the conversation was over, it was clear to me the idea the world could jump, not slide, but jump into a true global, Third World War became a reality. I won’t go into details about what was said in this discussion and yes, some of that is because I cannot. What I can tell you is the fact my mind began to contemplate the scenario based on what I knew as well as what I speculated was true. The next thing I knew, I was taking notes and crafting a scenario of what might happen to trigger such a war and what the repercussions would be of such an event. Before too long, I had the outline of what I believed would be a rather interesting “book”. Yes….this is about me penning a book….there….. I said it. What I wasn’t sure of was how to tell the story that was in my head and on my notes. That issue proved to be more difficult than I ever thought it would be. Then I came up with what I honestly thought might be the best answer. Don’t write a novel. Don’t write hero’s and villains. Don’t try to impress readers with describing in great detail the nomenclature of advanced weapons. Don’t focus on melodramatic episodes that all culminate with the climax of the book. Nope. None of that. I decided to write this book as a report. That’s right, a report. A report from the viewpoint of an Officer in the United States Military, imagine that😊, who attempts to capture what took place with a focus on how, why and most importantly, the ramifications of such a war. A report that is broken down into two parts. 1. The war itself and 2. The aftermath and repercussions. 

In this format, the author, who is never named, states up front the reports are written to the best of his ability with the understanding that standard requirements such as references and footnotes were simply not possible. It is also stated the two-part report is based upon the war being over for five years and the concept of capturing what took place seemed to be a duty of this Officer, given he was unaware of anyone else attempting to accomplish the task. It’s style that is crude in structure, just like me, and not based upon academic standards. What the report / book/ attempts to be is a crystal ball into what I believe we are facing in the not so distant future. 

A few Hints:  

​Now, how could I not gain your interest in what I have tried to achieve if I didn’t give you a few hints of what to expect. Having said that, here you go!

▪ The war doesn’t start with the actions of the  USor the Russians or even the Chinese.

▪ The war had been anticipated by the Chinese for a period of time and when the right circumstances took place, their overall plan was put into play. 

▪ The event spins out of control with a speed no one was prepared for. 

▪ The initiating members of the conflict are overwhelmed with the capabilities of the weapons in their possession. They have the weapons,  but they don’t have true strategic policies for their implementation and it becomes too easy to simply push buttons. 

▪ The initial conflict is not based upon nuclear events. 

▪ The impact of true “Offensive Cyber Weapons” is far beyond the knowledge of day to day people and even those leaders in charge of them. 

▪ Decisions are made without consultation and that leads to an environment of panic. 

▪ The impact of social media becomes the driving force in the initial phases of the war. 

▪ Day to day life is far more fragile than anyone anticipated, even those whose job it was to plan for such an event. 

▪ Even with everything that comes of the war, the core value of those people remaining is based upon compassion, but not for governance. That concept is all but lost. 

▪ The desire to “rebuild” changes dramatically. 

All right. Those that have followed my blog for the past eight years can tag me as a hypocrite, but I’m not kidding when I say, I truly wanted to put this concept on paper. Do I care if it sells? Not really. Would I love for people to read it as I made a few dollars for my family? I would be lying if I said no. A few of you that know me, you know why I am more worried about my family and not myself. That chapter is almost written. Do I address anything that I learned in my “classified” years? No. Honestly, the best information in the world comes form day to day events and social media. Sneaking around to find things out is almost unnecessary. ….  Almost! So, there you have it. In the next month or so, I will put my book on Amazon Books. Why them, It’s a format I figured out and that says something. The only other time you will hear me speak of this adventure is the day I post to Amazon. Until then, it’s back to normal, well almost. I’m trying to figure out the whole Podcast business and if you know me, you know why. My ability to gab far exceeds my ability to bang on a keyboard. Col Dan’s Viewpoint on Messy. That’s where it will be soon….I hope! 

Note:

 Thanks to a very special young lady who I asked to draw the cover for this pending book. I told her my vision and she absolutely nailed it. She just finished her freshman year at the University of Texas in Lubbock and I hope it sells enough to put money in her pocket and a smile on her face. You rock Ashley.

BORDERLESS. A DOCUMENTARY INTO THE UNITED STATE’S FUTURE.

Until a friend on Tweeter, @_Watch_Observer, “W”, put me on to this documentary, I had never heard of Lauren Southern. W knows my theory on the weaponization of mass migration and how it has been used to destabilize Europe. When I was finished watching, I had taken over a page of notes and folks, I write small. Before I get into my opinion, let me make one important statement. Take the time to watch Lauren’s work. Watch it with an open mind and then go pour yourself a nice cold drink, you will need it. Great work Lauren, but let me expand upon your story.  

​Okay, as I push forward with this post, my assumption is going to be the readers are going to watch the documentary. If not, much of what I am going to say here will still make sense, but the critical points of this young lady’s work will be more difficult to process without my twist on, “why”…why is this happening.

What did Lauren prove: 

​First off, what Lauren Southern did was show the United States it’s future. Her documentary is a crystal ball that everyone in the US needs to gaze upon. 

Lauren Southern also proved, like so many other events in the world, there is money to be made by other people’s tragedies. The real role of many of the Nongovernmental Organizations / NGOs/ and their ultimate goal of making a huge amount of money off of mass migration is spot on. 

Lauren goes on to show the dramatic changes to Europe brought on by mass migration. Her segment on Ireland is the center peace of this documentary. The scene where the governmental official will not comment on who is paying for the migrants staying in the motels is chilling. 

Lauren does an excellent job of depicting how innocent people are manipulated into being part of this destabilization process. 

Her segment on ISIS in the Camps should have been an alarm bell and in reality, it was, but those in government have chosen to sweep the issue under the rug. Why? Well, that is a whole other discussion. 

Okay, this is a hard-hitting gut check that should be shown on major networks, but it won’t, at least not until someone has the courage to make that happen.

Lauren Southern’s documentary is an outstanding piece of investigative journalism that addresses the issue of mass migration to a level she was prepared to work towards. 

Her answer as to “how” it happens was excellent.

Her answer as to “why” ended with a look at the issues of NGOs making money and the victimization of desperate people, but that is where I would interject, she did not go far enough. 

The Real, “Why”:

​Have you watched the Amazon Prime documentary called, “The President”. If not, add it to your list. It’s the Russian equivalent to the Oliver Stone interview with President Putin, but the portrayal is predictable from the opening moments. History quiz. What was Putin’s cornerstone event in 1999? What made his rise to power all but a matter of fate? If you answered the crushing defeat he gave the Islamic Radicals  in Chechnya, you get the gold star….or maybe… a red one. Ruthless and methodical. Two traits that make him who he is. Hard times? Putin was born into them. Paranoid? How could he not be? 

​Okay,  a repeat of an issue I’ve talked about over and over again. What did the West and NATO promise the Russians after the collapse of the Soviet Empire? Yep, NATO would not move into Eastern Europe. Did that promise hold true. No. ​Let me remind you of the words, “Paranoid” and “Methodical”. The West broke it’s word and did so with all kinds of excuses, none of them being accepted in Moscow. Again and again, over the course of the past 1000 years, Europe continued to manipulate it’s relationship with Russia. Then……………………..then came the new Tsar……Putin. Would he accept broken promises once again? No. Would he implement a plan to counter the West / Europe’s crossed finger handshakes? Yes. Was that plan to destabilize Europe? Absolutely. Would he accomplish this goal by going to war or threatening war with the West? No. Did he find a weapon that would have the same impact? Yes. What was that weapon? Mass Migration! Yes, folks, once again, I speak to the issue of Mass Migration. 

​When Putin visited the Russian troops on the frontlines of the fight for Chechnya, he told them they would have his total support. He told them the future of Russia depended on their actions and together they would defeat the rebels. Result? The indiscriminate destruction of anything near the rebel held areas. Have you ever looked at the history of the battle of Grozny? Take a few minutes to look into the resolve of the Tsar. Flash forward to his plan for Europe. When he moved his forces into Syria, was the goal to stabilize Syria? Was his goal to secure some port? No and those that say so are fools. His goal was to test his new weapon……………..people………….massive amounts of victimized people on the run from a warzone. People who looked so pathetic to the Progressive Liberals of Europe’s governments, that they had to let them in at all cost. What did he know the end result would be? Exactly what you saw take place yesterday in the EU election, the continued rise of Nationalistic movements. Movements that are and will cause a crisis for just about every country in the EU. Was that the plan? You bet it was and……it worked!

​Did those responding to the mass migration events find a way to make money? Yes, they always do. Did other groups find a way to leverage this weapon? Yes. Think of ISIS’s infiltration into Europe. Opportunity came knocking and the Terrorist slipped in the door.  Does this help disguise what is really taking place here? Yes. 

​This documentary did an outstanding job and the fact it didn’t identify the real purpose of this planned mass migration event doesn’t mean you should not watch the video. Please watch it, but here is my point I made at the beginning. Southern’s work is a window into the future of the US. Does anyone think for a second that same weapon is not aimed at the US? Does Venezuela come to mind? Why do you think Moscow told its puppet in Venezuela to stay put? How bad is the situation at the US border right now? Honestly, you don’t want to knowand I work with that issue everyday of the week. 

​Here is my wish. I wish, no, I pray Lauren Southern conducts the same level of investigative journalism as to how the mass migrations are taking place against the US border and I pray she or someone like her does so quickly. If she takes this job on, I have one last piece of advice, get a much better security detail…..much…much better. The dangers to the US’s South make what she avoided in Turkey look like child’s play. Great work Lauren. Push, but be very…..very…careful.

THE US DEMOCRATIC PARTY IS COMMITTING TREASON. DOES ANYONE CARE?

​Treason! It’s a very powerful word, a word that has been tossed around DC since the day Team Donald showed up. Did The Donald commit “Treason”? no. What is the down and dirty definition of “treason”? “The crime of betraying one’s country or adhering to the countries’ enemies”. Adhering? What does that mean? “To stay attached”. Okay, now, there is an important part of my argument. 

Who is talking:

​It’s a fact old Team Obama members have been talking to Iranian officials. What official capacity does Ben Rhodes hold in the current administration? Yep….none! how about Colin Kahl? Same answer. So why are they talking to the US’s sworn enemy? Oh, I see…..it’s just a normal action of private citizens. No need for CNN or MSNBC or any other news agency to look into this right? Funny, that same attitude didn’t seem to apply Team Donald back in 2016. But, here comes the real kicker. It’ not just the “outside” players who are reaching out to the old men in Tehran, it’s official members of the Democratic party, members who hold security clearances at the highest level. Mr. Zarif’s number is on Sen. Dianne Feinstein’s smart phone? Is anyone in the IC or DoJ monitoring that phone? Should The Donald tell the DoJ to get a FISA warrant? Just what is this Sen. And others talking to the tyrannical leaders of Iran about? Is it all totally legal and just another ploy by those that support the “Right” to create a distraction for the actions of the President? You can bet that is or will be the answer that is given. 

What is really taking place: 

​One of the most idiotic statements I’ve heard goes something like this. US Democratic talking point: “We are just trying to confirm what we have been briefed on”…….. What? Are they expecting anyone who has a living braincell to accept that answer? Perhaps inside their new “base”, like little girls that use to be bartenders, but really, that’s the best you can come up with? Congress receives a briefing on the actions of Iran by the IC and they decide to reach out to Tehran’s mouthpieces to “confirm”?

“ So, Mr. Zarif, we were told you are about to use Hezbollah and other proxy fighters to attack US locations in the region because you are upset over the tariffs placed on you? Is that the real story”? Is that what the Democrats expect the average Joe to believe? Let’s even assume for a minute that is the story the Democrats want to stick with. I have one additional question? How did you delineate the information you provided them in that conversation? How did you keep from mixing what was most likely, TS/SCI from information that was non classified? What procedural policy did you follow and trust me, there is a very extensive process. Oh, ya…..what part of this conversation took place on your unclassified Smart Phone? That one must have come right out of the Hillary playbook!  

​Here is the good news. That is not what was going on! What was taking place was a group of Democratic operatives and a few chosen members of the Senate and Congress attempting to strike yet another “deal” with Iran’s leadership. What is taking place is the Democrats are usurping the authority of the President of the United States, but then again, they don’t care. He’s an illegal President in their eyes anyway. Does anyone remember Obama so called off mic statement to the Russians about, “waiting until he is reelected? If you do, then you know what is taking place here. The party that holds Congress and key members in the Senate are attempting to make a “deal” with the Mullah’s puppets. “Hold on for 2 yrs and when Uncle Joe takes the White House, we will fix the nuclear deal. Just calm down for now and we will fix this”. Is that some level of Treason? In my book, it’s the kind of actions the US use to execute people for. Now, some ideological / Academic idiots might call this, “Backdoor Diplomacy”. Problem. “Backdoor Diplomacy” is sanctioned. Does anyone think these actions by the Democrats are sanctioned by the White House?

A Price to Pay:

​Do the Democrats believe their actions are in the best interest of the US? If you got them to admit what they were doing, they would most likely fallback on that stance, but even that wouldn’t be the truth. What their actions are based on is power. If somehow, they could claim they defused the so calledcrisis with Iran, that would have to equate into votes at some point and trust me, in the US, it’s always about votes! So, what is the downside? You will never see the mainstream media make this event into a leading story for months on end. If will most likely  not even be mentioned. So, let’s look at this event through another set of glasses? Let’s look at this topic from the standpoint of our enemies.

The Mullahs. 

Can you imagine the briefing that took place back in Tehran when the reality the US Democrats were willing or even requesting to speak with the Iranian government? Did they reach out or did the Democrats? In the long run, it doesn’t matter. By the way, did the IC pick up on this traffic and how it began? You bet. That’s when the FISA process should have come into play, but who knows, maybe it did. Okay, back to my point. Once the old men in Tehran realized that some level of communications was going to take place, who did they tell? The Russians? Nope…..no love there. The Chinese? Same answer. Assad? Nope, just a puppet and one they probably don’t trust anymore anyway. They didn’t say anything to anyone. What they did was sit down and figure out how to leverage what might be taking place. What they did was decide to play along with the game or not. Enter, Mr. Zarif and here is what you can bank on. Before the conversations took place, a list of desired outcomes and worthless promises were developed. Then and only then did Mr. Zarif speak with anyone. Oh, another….by the way….what ever is on his Smart Phone….you can bet the IC read it…….and has it. Sen. Feinstein may want to think about that, unless the Chinese spy she had on her staff for years was able to keep that from happening. Yep….true story. 

​What would be the Mullah’s goals of these discussions with the Democrats? In my opinion, two strategic issues would be put on the table. 1. The relief of sanctions upon Trump’s departure. 2. An assurance they were going to defeat The Donald in 2020. And what would the old men in Tehran be expected to give up? In reality…………..absolutely nothing. They would simply have to go back to the days of John Kerry…….post a few photos of group handshakes…make a few worthless statements to the press and sign some worthless documents. So, in the end, the risk to this whole process taking place is all on the US Democratic Party, but then again, who is going to make a stink over it? It won’t be the US media. Will the US DoJ do the right thing? Even if they do, the public that supports the Dems won’t accept it. You could catch Mr. Zarif handing Sen. Feinstein a bag of money and the headlines would read, “Trump forces senior democratic leaders to take action to save the US from a war with Iran”. 

​I labeled this section of my post, “ A Price to Pay” and I did so for one true reason. What does anyone who truly understands that region of the world think may come of all of this? What if the Democrats are able to strike a “deal” with the Mullahs? What if we go back to the days of photo ops and handshakes? What if Iran’s Tyranical government stays in power and becomes more embolden by proxy fighters who have more capabilities than at anytime in the past? What if Iran’s nuclear program is put back on track for the sake of making the rest of the world think the Democrats avoided a war in the region? If you guess a real war in the region, a war unlike any we have witnessed since WWII, then you are the prize winner today. Let the Democrats choose making a deal with Iran over providing Israel with the belief they are going to not have to go it alone against Iran and you have set in motion the same ending we were heading for if Hillary would have won. Oh ya…that’s right …she did win….. she won the popular vote against a Russian Spy. Go on Democrats….keep pushing, after all, it’s all about staying in power and whatever that takes. I have all the confidence in the world that’s what you will do. Treason. It’s a word that no longer has meaning in the US, unless you are voted into the White House by the Electoral College….another issue the Dems are sure to go to work on.

HAS PRESIDENT TRUMP FOUND HIS MOVING “REDLINE”

Can a series of Tweets change the course of actions of a group of tyrannical fanatics who have been in power for over forty years? Are The Donald’s Tweets truly meant for the old men in Tehran or are they just rambling statements made to his base? What does the rest of the world think of these statements? Isn’t everyone use to them by now? How does a statement about Iran no longer existing play in Moscow and  Beijing? Did they even bother to read this latest statement? Does anyone really react to these Trump Tweets other than CNN and MSNBC? Here is the real question and it’s the only one that matters right now? Why. Why did The Donald send out this rather radical Tweet? What is going on that has him reacting the way he is?

The Status of the Mullahs:

               I said this the other day but let me make the statement again. Things have gone from bad to worse for the old men in Tehran. Stories continue to fly over the issue of Moscow’s attitude towards the Mullahs. Short answer. It’s getting worse and the Mullahs know it. Think that bothers them? You bet it does. Have they ever trusted the Russians? No. Have they worried over the concept of being used by Moscow? Everyday of the week. Do they believe the Russians would cut a deal with the US over Iran’s actions in the region if the Russians got something for it in return? Silly question. Long story short, the top cover from Moscow has so many conditions and none of them guarantee the survival of the Mullah’s rule.

               Money. The Mullahs are low on funds and that account is growing smaller by the day. Even when they deprive their own people of just about everything you could think of, they still can’t break even. Now, the rumors grow they can’t pay Hezbollah or other proxy fighting groups. How do you think that is going over for a bunch of young men who carry a gun, not because they are patriotic Persians or Shia, but because it gives them a paycheck and it’s fun? The Mullahs are being squeezed on all sides and they have only one person to blame, The Donald. Dwindling funds, and a public that grows more restless with each passing day, all the while order is expected to be kept by a group that is seeing pay become an issue. Yep….good luck with that scenario. What does this all mean for the rest of the world? Simple, and it’s an answer that has not changed for thousands of years. A leader that is in real trouble is most likely willing to do anything, at some point, to stay in power. Create the outside threat you say? Yep, that’s the historical answer. Take chances you would typically never take? Yep, that to. Risk it all if you think the end is near? Yes. So, just what was all this intelligence we heard about last week based on? Just how good is the US and “others” at seeing what Iran is up to? Real good…….real….real……good. 

               The old men in Tehran are in real trouble and the idea of playing poker with the US is the game we are witnessing unfold. Limited proxy events that give the Mullahs the ability to hide behind probable denial, that is where we stand as of today. 4 ships attacked, successfully I might add, along with an attack on a pipeline network, that was the first calculable series of events that Tehran put into motion. Here is the bad news, for the US that is. It drew little to no response. Was Tehran looking for a counterstrike by the US? To some degree most likely. Where they surprised when nothing happened? Undoubtedly. Did that nonresponse lead to the rocket attacks today in Baghdad? I would say yes. So, two weeks into this war of words and unmanned smart mines, how does the scorecard look? Well, it’s not good for the US and it’s not good for a very unpredictable Saudi Arabia. Why does the scorecard look that way? Why is Tehran scoring on the perception game?

The Donald’s Redline: 

               A few days ago, I made the comment it seemed Team Trump was so committed to “ The Deal of the Century” that an attack on four ships, after Iran was told not to, would go unanswered. It also seemed the Israelis were told to hold their fire on an event in Gaza that should have resulted in that area being reoccupied. Short answer, “ The Deal of the Century” could not be nullified by a regional crisis. How could the US / Team Trump/ land the “deal” if the whole area was in a shooting match? If the perception is, the US is not going to be pushed into something before they can place the “deal” on the table, then the opportunity to pick away at the mighty US became a very tempting concept. Could Tehran terrorize the EU into giving in on supporting Iranian demands / blackmail / by taking actions that convinced them a regional war was near? Why do you think Tehran came up with their, “you have 60 days to meet our demands” stance?

               As all of this is taking place, what happens? The Donald sends out a Tweet that sounds like a repeat of his threat to North Korea. So, in a way, The Donald put’s down his version of a “Redline” and backs it up with a Tweet? Twitter Warfare! I’m not sure that is a fully developed weapon’s platform. Yes, the perception poker game is being won by the Mullahs, but they have one problem. It’s not making them any money and folks; the people of Iran are not on the Mullah Fanclub list. What the Mullahs need is a series of events that scares the EU into giving them everything they want or at least enough to keep them in power and that means being able to pay Hezbollah, Hamas, Islamic Jihad and a dozen or so other proxy organizations, not to mention the IRGC and al-Quds. This whole thing is a game of survival and the ones trying to survive are as ruthless as they come. A few rockets in Baghdad and a few crippled ships, that’s not going to get it done and that is very…..very…..bad news. Yet, the news might be, just might be worse.

Money Talks.

               Let’s assume something here. Let’s assume part of the “Deal of the Century” was a two part plan.

Part One: Squeeze Tehran’s ability to make money. Squeeze so bad that paychecks to proxy groups could not be cut.

Part Two: Put an economic package on the table that equates into real jobs and real investments for not only Palestinian territories, but the immediate region as well. Bring the wealth of other Arab nations into the equation and tell the typical person on the street better days are coming and it’s not just a bunch of political words. Make the people believe it so much, they decide the time to stop supporting or tolerating the radicals has come. Yes, give real hope.

               Why do I bring that assumption up? Easy, it appears the economic slice of the “Deal of the Century” is the first part to be placed on the table. Okay. Will it work? Will it lead to a better starting point for the more difficult part of the “deal”? On paper, it sounds interesting, but here is the problem. Once again, the old men in Tehran get a vote. Just think of what they would be willing to do if they truly believed someone was going to pull the rug out from under their proxy fighters. What happens if the people of Gaza see jobs and investments coming, but they have to give up on Hamas first? Look, here is the bad news. The decisions on how the “Deal of the Century” will be approached are made in Tehran. Does anyone think the Mullahs will play along with this “deal”, a deal that spells their end to power? What are they willing to do in order to prevent that “deal” from taking place? My bet, a great deal more than four oil tankers or a few rockets into Baghdad.

               Have the rumors of how, “The Deal of the Century” might unfold made it back to Tehran? Have key players in the region been given a readahead? Does Tehran have the ability to pick up on these rumors and more importantly, hear the possible responses from key players? You bet they do. Something this huge has been and is being talked about around the clock. That’s why it’s called “ The Deal of the Century”. You can assume Tehran knows what is coming. You can also assume they have known for several weeks if not months. Did that put Tehran into motion? Did that start a process to disrupt this “deal” and did that process become the intelligence the US and others picked up on? If you ask me, I say yes, but even if I’m wrong, one thing is a given. The next few weeks are going to be very, very dangerous for the entire region. How to keep Saudi in check. That is my next topic, but I’ve got to ponder on a few things first. In the meantime. Let’s be entertained by the President and his Tweets!