2013:  WHERE IS THE MIDDLE EAST HEADING? PART II. IRAQ?

Over a year and a half ago, it was becoming obvious the Arab Spring was morphing into a regional sectarian conflict; the issue of Iraq's future came into play.

No one in their right mind would have ever had made statement in Iraq" stable".

Regional issues of the Sunni and Shia tensions were no different and are no different for Iraq.

The future of such sectarian tensions in Iraq once again  far more important for the Iranian government than others in the region.

Towards the end of the American occupation of Iraq to become clear to many of us the true Victor after several years of conflict was going to be the Iranians.

But as luck would have it, the Arab Spring would come alive the whole region.

Now, the concept of social injustice and economic imbalance was not going to be the catalyst for conflict in Iraq as much as age old issue of sectarian, tribal animosities.

As the Arab Spring began to be molded into what some believed would be a more, "controlled event", it became apparent that Iraq would come into play.

You see, in my opinion, the GCC nations began to believe a sectarian conflict in the region was far more controllable than the social disruption of the Arab Spring.

As these leaders began to reshape Arab Spring, it also became apparent  the opportunity to pull our least disrupt Iraq from the Iranian sphere of influence was an opportunity that must be explored.

It is not a complicated thought process as such is not that difficult to come to the conclusion of the GCC nations and others determined the best way to defeat the pending social disruption of the Arab Spring was to change it into something had more of a, "external threat", smell to it!

Iran became that external threat.

Now, I ran to have its goals for the Arab Spring as well as a grand plan to keep the event from taking place inside the Iranian populace.

So, in the midst of all of this, Iraq became the potential battleground for the ongoing, deflecting proxy campaign to prevent many of the current governments in the Middle East from going the path of Tunisia and Egypt.

But we have witnessed over the past few days, mass protest inside Iraq, is easily in another annex to the GCC nations' master plan for Iran.

You can well expect continued turmoil in Iraq and you can fully anticipate a greater degree of Iranian meddling in the GCC states.

One thing the GCC nations and the Iranians have in common, is the simple fact that this ongoing proxy environment throughout the region will delay in disrupt the concept of the Arab Spring truly taking hold inside their respective nations.

So, in 2013, you can add Iraq to the list of troubles not just for the region for the UN and the rest of the world.

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/europe/2012/12/2012122875346526845.html