2013:  WHERE IS THE MIDDLE EAST HEADING?  PART 1:  

To begin the discussion of what may happen in the year ahead with Middle East, let's play an interesting game of, "what if".

What if:

What if the Israelis begin to truly realize the concept of the GCC leading the, "fight", against Persians?

What if the Israelis could leverage the Arab anxieties towards the Persians more than just simple backroom conversations and unofficial contacts?

It is not news that the Israelis have realized for some time Arab nations anxiety over the Iranians, but evidence that the Israelis and truly learned how to, "leverage", this anxiety is inconclusive best.

So, what if 2013 is the year where the Israelis expand upon reaching a working solution, at least on paper and in the media, with the GCC's nations in order to pacify Palestinian statehood issue?

The recent conversations between Israelis and the Jordanians and the Israelis and the Turkish government could well be an indicator such an Israeli concept.

Just think the position the Iranians would be a if the issue of the Palestinian statehood with at least a point of physical confrontation was not needed more likely?

Iranians have always counted on the Palestinian statehood issue as their major support base in the Arab world.

I like everyone else fully realize the lack of this confrontational agenda would not stop Iran from supporting and promoting more radical elements Islamic fundamentalism, but believe it or not public support in the Arab community is an important factor to the Iranians.

You see, the Iranians not only have to worry about the opinions of the Arab youth and the common working people in the region, they must more importantly worry about the opinions of the Iranian public.

Simply put, a level de-escalation in the Palestinian statehood issue is disastrous news for the Iranian government.

So, in 2013 the Iranians could easily be facing a loss of two proxy supporters, Syria, Iraq; a topic I will discuss further tomorrow.

I am very confident that when the Iranian, Persians, look into their crystal ball, 2013 is not a year of high hopes for the future of the current Iranian government.

2013 will begin with the continued crisis called Syria, but it could end with a crisis in side of Iran or dealing with Iran.