IRAN.  WHO IS RESPONSIBLE FOR WHAT IS TAKING PLACE? WHAT IS TAKING PLACE?

               Took two weeks off again, but boy have I been watching the events in Iran. In my last post, just look the post prior to this one, I raised the question of what is taking place in Iran. Why was the IRGC supporting a form a Persian Nationalism, a form that doesn’t mention Islamic Fundamentalism at all? Is the picture becoming clearer now? To quote a good friend, “if you want to know the reason behind one move, you need to wait for the next one”. Persian Nationalism? If that is the goal, the goal of the IRGC, then what else needs to happen, I mean, other than music videos? How do you make a segment of the population you need to influence moving your desired direction? How do you put energy into the change process? Yep. Protest. Protest over a unified issue or issues. Issues that have a common impact on those you need to change. Issues that strike at the core of day to day living. Food, pay, prices! Get a proportion of a population upset over those topics and you are well on your way to change. So is that it? Is this deepening crisis in Iran all part of the IRGC’s grand plan? Is this new drive towards Persian Nationalism the tool needed to remove the latest version of yet another tyrannical government in Iran? Simply put. Is the current crisis fueled by the IRGC?

The Law:

               If you have been following my post for the past several years, you know how much stock I put into the concept of, “The Law of Unintended Consequences”. Persian Nationalism. That is the tool that will bring about stability in Iran. That is how the IRGC and the Old Men in power, planned to bring the youth of Iran back under their fold. That is how they would get the population to stop pulling away from Tehran. Create nationalistic pride and then convince the population that the preverbal “outside threat” is wanting to tear down this new found Persian pride! It sounds feasible to a guy like me. It’s a theory that could be argued over a few drinks and any typical Department of State Cocktail Dinner. The problem is, perhaps it’s not going according to plan? Perhaps it’s not going anywhere near as planned?

               The Iranian leadership designed some process for one reason, to stay in power and to keep control of their population. A plan can only be developed after key assumptions have been made. So, what if the key assumption on just how bad things were becoming on the streets of Iran were extremely underestimated? What if building the theme of Persian Nationalism was not the tool of control, but the fuel that has caused the fire? Are the streets of Iran’s cities beginning to fill with those who took the concept of Persian Pride to mean something very different than what the designers anticipated? Is Persian Pride turning into, Persian anger? “Where did the money go”? That is a question the Old Men in Tehran did not anticipate. Iran’s government needed something to change before the issues of 2009 appeared again. The Old Men who feared the Arab Spring back in 2011 never stopped worrying about that same Tunisian Virus, yes, I still call it that. They were the founders of the backfire they created in Syria. A backfire that was designed to prevent the flames of the Arab Spring from reaching Iran. They were paranoid then and they were period now; so paranoid that they developed the Persian Nationalism project without truly understanding the potential risk that plan might bring to their doorsteps. Syria was a backfire to prevent the true forest fire. Could it be the Persian Nationalism plan is the backfire that has created it’s own forest fire? It’s not the first time that has happened. Firefighters will tell you that is always the danger of using “backfires”!

What is taking place in Iran could soon rival what took place in 2009, but this is not 2009 in Saudi. This is not 2009 in the US and it’s not 2009 in Moscow.

Yep. This is something new and it’s more dangerous that most realize.

You can bet I will be on this one for the foreseeable future.