THE FIRST “OFFICIAL WARNING TO IRAN”!  STEP ONE IN THE US / RUSSIAN BARTERING GAME?

Before I get started, let me get this out of the way. I told ya so! A few days ago, I posted my opinion the Iranian missile launch story would knock the immigration controversy off the front page, at least for a few days.

So, when was the last time we witnessed a National Security Advisor to the US President be called to the podium during a “normal” White House press briefing? Besides that oddity, did anyone pay attention to the tone of the message? Not your typical, past eight years, talk around the topic. Flynn put Iran, “On notice”! Now, the Iranians know Flynn. They have a profile on him from his days of working in the region. I can assure you that nowhere in that profile does it state, “He tends to embellish. He often says things he doesn’t mean”. Flynn is get to the point kind of guy and that is exactly why President Trump picked him. Once the Iranians got over the shock of this new and unusual way of receiving a message from DC, a reoccurring question must have become the topic of the day. Had the Americans and the Russians begun their plan for the region? Was this round one of a new day in the region?

COINCIDENCE:

It’s true that just about any source of information can be questioned and should be.  Good intelligence operations work best when all sources of information are vetted to the extent possible. Rumors can be a valuable source of information as long as other avenues are taken to validate raw data imbedded in the “Rumor”. So, there is this “Rumor”. A rumor that the Russians have told the Iranians and the Syrians and all Hezbollah to stand fast! There is to be no Offensive Operations anywhere inside of Syria! If this were true and I want to stress the word if, then we would need to stack that event on top of the “Rumor” that the Iranians were not allowed to give any conditions in the Syrian peace negotiations of last week. http://www.debka.com/article/25908/Russia-freezes-Syrian-Iranian-military-movements

  Then we stack that “rumor” on top of the one that depicted all  Iranian backed Shia Militias will not be factored into the post Syrian conflict. Put all of these “rumors” together, valid or close to being valid, and we come up with one undeniable fact. The Iranians are not partners at the Big Table!

So, is it just a coincidence the US takes an open slap at the Iranians? Was the US threat the signal the new deal is underway? If the coverage of this story by Sputniknews.com, the Tsar’s mouthpiece, is any indication, how could the Persians be anything but convinced? What do they do? Call Moscow and asked, “What’s up? Are we just to be left in the dark”? Regardless of what the answer might be, the reality is, the Persians are most likely convinced two of the three true Super Powers in the world are deciding the future of the region and that future doesn’t involve the desires of the Persians. https://sputniknews.com/politics/201702021050274741-trump-iran-missile-test/

MUSIC TO THEIR EARS:

With elections just over the horizon in Iran, once again, harsh actions by the West / US / will play right into the hands of the Hardliners in Iran. Between the arguments the nuclear deal was a hoax by the West and now the US openly putting Iran on notice, the fanatics will take every advantage they can. “I told you so and now we must prepare”! Don’t doubt for a minute that statement, in some form or fashion, is not being repeated in Tehran. Pushing the so called Moderates to the side is the objective of the Hardliners and the events of this week played right into their hands.

Here comes another old adage. “Be careful what you ask for”! If the Hardliners in Iran are banking on a more defiant US President. If they are anticipating the Russians making deals that involve the region and not letting Iran in on the game, then they may just get too much of a good thing!  Yes. The US is going to change the attitude towards the Iranian current, and I stress current, leadership. The US and the Russians are going to barter issues in the Middle East to get to more important topics on their plates……. Europe, NATO and the Pacific.  

Yes! The Persians are probably correct! The new game is most likely underway. How fast it moves and what the level of play is what they will need to worry about next. Then again, as I’ve said before, if they feel like they have been played, then how do they react?

Dear Iranian Hardliners. Be very…very….careful what you ask for. The consequences could be dramatic. You have many enemies in the region and the events of the past few weeks are only the beginning of a new day. A day that doesn’t have your dreams on the to do list!