SOLEIMANI TRAVELS BACK TO MOSCOW? HOW WORRIED IS IRAN?
As I’ve said on several occasions, from the day the Tsar
placed troops in Syria, the Iranians have feared the repercussions for their own
plans in the region. If you have read my post for the past several years, you know
Soleimani is a key figure I like to keep an eye on. So how are the two issues
related? Why would Soleimani be the mouthpiece for the Persians in Moscow? This
is his fourth trip that we are told of, since the Russians began to fight in
Syria. Was it his Bosses idea to send him? Did he go on his own? Did the Tsar’s
Team summon him? Just how nervous is Iran becoming?
BROMANCE:
If it’s true or not doesn’t matter. As I have said before,
the idea of the Russians and the US making “deals” on issues for the Middle
East without having the Iranians at the table, well, that is all that is needed
to set the paranoid leadership of Iran into motion. The Tsar and The Donald are
cutting deals, negotiating, bartering or call it what you may and the Iranians
are not at the table. Just think of it, they know the Tsar and The Donald are
talking, but they don’t know the details and then the new US President makes
openly threatening statements to Iran with little or no response from the Tsar!
Where would your confidence be? Enter
Soleimani.
Soleimani, a man that has the attitude Moscow loves. When it
comes to killing and it needs to happen, he is Iran’s man! He’s not flashy. He’s
not a media hound. He shows up, gets the job done and quietly moves out. Yes.
He had a few photo ops awhile back and even I thought that was unusual. But,
the fight was going badly in Syria and the image of him rallying the troops was
exactly what the Shia Mulitas and Hezbollah needed, well, that and a few
thousand bombing runs by the Russian Airforce. The bottom line is, Soleimani is the right “fit”
for a messaging mission with the Tsar. They are a lot alike and that always helps
when you are trying to mend fences or worse, trying to figure out what your so
called Ally is up to.
RUMOR MILL:
Safe Zones in Syria and now more talk of possible “joint”
cooperation between the Russians and the US on the ground in Syria? What does
this mean to Iran? What level of it is true? Is Moscow really attempting to
conduct combined operations in Syria? What about the Militias and Hezbollah? Two
weeks ago, I talked about the perception that a plan was underway to push the
Iranians out of Syria. Assad could stay for now, but the Iranians won’t own
him! The land bridge to Lebanon will be broken. None of this is acceptable to
Iran, but before they can decide what to do next, they need to confirm what
part of the “rumors” are real! So, off to Moscow once again goes Soleimani. Here
is the problem and it’s a real problem. What level of trust does Iran put in
what Soleimani is told? Are the Iranians past the point of believing what
Moscow tells them?
All of this is pressure. Pressure on a tyrannical government
seated in Tehran. The Tsar is dealing with Saudi, Turkey and now the US. None
of that paints a bright future for Iran.
Soleimani is back in Tehran and whatever message he was
given is now known. His opinion of the message is just as important as the message
itself!
Let’s see what the next move is from Tehran!
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