Monday, September 26, 2016



HILLARY OR DONALD. THE FIRST HUNDRED DAYS FROM THE EYES OF THE ENEMY.


The typical discussions of what may take place in, “the first hundred days” will undoubtedly come up within days of the US election being held. The other “typical” issue with these discussions is the fact that most of the topics are, well, typical! The Relationship with the House. The relationship with Congress. The Economic policies of the new administration and so on and so on and so on! Some of the experts may even touch on the topic of how might the US’s enemies “test” the new President. The problem becomes when these “experts” cover such a topic for the sake of making sure the covered all their bases. “Economic issues” Check. “Relationship with the House”. Check. “Discussion about the US’s enemies” Check!
Once all the “checks” have been achieved by the “experts” you might want to see if they ever really said anything of value.  Here is the issue, most of these “experts” whip up a great editorial or a few spicy comments for the major networks, but do they really do any homework on what the enemies of the US may actually have planned for the person who has won? Short answer. No!
Last night, I reviewed the major issues that both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump will face from both the Tsar and the Dragon.  As I had previously stated, you can bank on the fact that both of these countries will have anticipated their major issues with both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. How will they respond? What will the initial interaction be based upon? These are the questions the “experts” may address, but to what level becomes the question. 
Just in case the “experts” don’t get this part of the typical post-election process right, let me take a shot at the issue.
Donald Trump’s first hundred days with the Tsar:
Is the highly anticipated love affair actually going to take place? It’s the story the US Democratic Party has been telling for weeks now. Could it actually come true? Could Donald Trump and the Tsar Become friends? Let me do what many academic “experts” love to do. Let me answer that question with a question.
Does it matter?
Or, how about, “what would it hurt”?
I’m still puzzled how the same party that came up with the concept of a “Reset Button” is now trying everything in its power to terrorize the American Public by painting a picture of Donald and Vlad!
Will the first hundred days of a Trump / Putin relationship really be a bad thing for the US? Hint, it may be a bad thing for those who have counted on the anti-American stance in the Middle East! It may be a bad thing for those that don’t carry their load when it comes to paying the bills for NATO.  It may even be bad news for the progressive governments in Europe, for what little time they have left themselves.
Yes, the first hundred days of a Donald Trump administration may bring about a whole new course with the US and Russia. Before anyone in the US panics, let’s wait to see what actually takes place.

Donald Trump’s fist hundred days with the Dragon:
Well, here is where the wheels could come off the Donald Trump wagon. Most of the people who are going to vote, at least I hope most of them, in the upcoming election are well aware of Trumps drumbeat on the issue of fair trade with China. For Trump to not address the issue of trade with China in the first one hundred days of his administration would be a disaster. His rise to power was based on being a nonpolitical, nonconformist candidate and for him to step into the White House and suddenly start saying the typical political backtrack lines like, “this issue is far more complicated than many realize”. You see, that is code for, “I lied to my base during the campaign trail”! Do that and within the first one hundred days of his presidency, he is already just like all the rest of them. If this takes place, the US Democratic Party will foam at the mouth!
What will the Dragon’s priority be for a Donald Trump administration? The Masters of detailed planning will start the relationship based on what event?
Here is what Donald Trump better hope for. He better hope the first real test of his relationship with the Dragon is based on the South China Sea crisis and not economic trade!  Remember, the Chinese don’t buy the fair trade rhetoric nearly as much as some of the “experts” think they will. In the end, they now nobody in the US wants a 1500 dollar IPhone. They love cheap labor in China. They love items that are made from sweatshops full of underpaid poor people. Both US parties love low labor cost and the desire to wreck that relationship is not going to take center stage, not from the Dragon’s viewpoint.
Trumps pressure will be based on “Fair-trade”. The Dragon’s will not!
Who will decide what the first hundred days with Dragon look like? The Dragon will.
The issue will be the South China Sea. The issue will be, “where do you stand on this Mr. President and do you understand just how serious we are on the topic”? 
Here is the scary part. A Trump administration may want to avoid all the promises made on the campaign trail, but are they going to be ready for the Test? The real test? The South China Sea crisis will be on the table from day one!
Hillary Clinton’s first hundred days with the Tsar:
If you are a US citizen or you  live in Europe, the day after the US election is over is the day the Tsar’s plan for Hillary, whatever it may be, will go into motion. Something tells me, he may not wait that long. He may set events into motion that she must deal with from day one! What events you may ask? Well, he has a few very ugly options that would impact Europe and or the Middle East. He is not going to give her a minutes rest. He doesn’t like her. He doesn’t respect her and he doesn’t trust her. There has even been a persistent rumor, one the Tsar believes and that is all that matters, that Hillary Clinton would work to see the Tsar fall from power! Now, let me stop here for a minute. If anyone reading this can think of something more dangerous for the safety of the world than the Putin thinking the next US leader is out to remove him, then I would like to know what that event is.
Will the Tsar wait for Hillary Clinton to shape the US’s relationship with Russia? No way in Hell!
Will the Tsar be prepared to push her to the limits from day one? I would bank on it.
The first one hundred days of a Hillary Clinton Presidency will not come easy if the Tsar has anything to say about it. This could truly be a dangerous time.
Hillary Clinton’s fist hundred days with the Dragon:
Without the fireworks of campaign rhetoric built on bashing the Dragon over Fair-trade, it might seem Hillary’s firs one hundred days with the Dragon might be much less tenuous than that of Trumps.  Well, that might sound plausible, but for one important detail. Hillary Clinton is seen as the “Hawk” of the two Candidates and her views on the South China Sea’s issue are well known.
Does a Hillary Clinton administration need to push the issue of the South China Seas? No.
Might she have to convince those in the region, facing the breath of the Dragon, where she stands on the issue? The odds are that will take place before she walks back into the White House.  Has she communicated with the nations of the region where she stands on the issue and does that stance differ from what she has said on the campaign trail? We may not know, but don’t underestimate the capabilities of the Dragon’s intelligence in the region. It is very possible they know if there is a difference between her campaign words and her conversations with regional leadership. I just hope her real understanding of secured communications is better than she has let the American people believe.
How will her first one hundred days with the Dragon go? It’s hard to tell.
The Dragon is not one to typically “test the waters”. If they have done their homework, intelligence homework, like I believe they have, they already know where she stands!  By the way, I hope she understand “delete” is not a problem for the Dragon’s team!
Tomorrow, I will take a hack at the other issues that might impact a Hillary / Donald Presidency and I won’t stick to the first one hundred days.   

  

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