ISIS’s MOVE ON IRAQ       AND AN AGE OLD NURSERY RHYME !!!

As I stated two days ago, it’s not worth the effort to rehash, the history of the ISIS and the like groups that are working with them.

How far are they going to get and what will they do with the areas they have taken?

Both are valid questions, but they don’t address the most important issue; why now?

What propelled the ISIS and those supporting them to make such a dramatic move and to make that move now?

If you’ve not heard it in the media world’s dramatic coverage of people running around screaming and driving off in a panic, then you can hear it here.

If you want to know why this event has taken place, you need look no further than the conflict in Syria.

Aleppo is the key to the resistance in Syria and has been from the early months of the Civil War.

As the Iranian support for Assad finally began to turn the tide, sealing off Lebanon with the support of Hezbollah, and the ability to hold onto Damascus with the help of Iraqi Shia militias, and finally a coordinated assault on Aleppo, the perception amongst the Rebels became, “the tide is turning….defeat is now likely”!

Last month, I spoke of the fatigue that seem to be setting into the Rebel mindset and how this pattern was a classical cycle of civil strife…..wait out your opponent until they have lost their zeal for support.

This is the course of action the Iranians took and it was a course of action the West supported.

So, what did the Sunni movement do?

Exactly what I predicted on this blog over a year ago; counter strike in Iraq!

Can Iran afford to support two current conflicts in geographically separated areas?

Can Hezbollah be counted on now expanded all the way over into Iraq?

The answer is no and the enemies of Iran know this all too well.

Will Iran perceive this action as a GCC sponsored action?

Absolutely.  

Is that perception based on reality?

Does it really matter?

Is the West willing to salvage Iraq?

No.

Do the Iranians understand this?

Yes.

Do the Turks understand this?

Yes.

Does the Tsar?

Oh ya….

Last but not least, what message does the West’s inaction signal to the GCC?

Oh ya… what does the Eye Doctor think of this event?

My hunch is he better hurry with his operations against Aleppo for the Tide me about to shift once again.

Now….. the Turks?

What does this all mean to them?

Are the nightmares of a Kurdistan creeping back into the dreams of Egodan?

Is there a grieving family member close by that his staff can beat up?

The Kurds?

Did this entire event play right into the hands of the Kurds?

Yes.

Did they see an event like this coming?

Yes.

Did they realize they could simply sit and wait for the Sunni Rebels to chase the Iraqi forces out of the area the Kurds wish to occupy?

Yep…why get your forces killed and be accused of being the aggressor when you can let it all take place by the hands of the Sunni?

The West?

Well, just another crisis the Progressive mindset will be completely incapable of dealing with.

The Tsar?

Interesting point to ponder here.

What options are on the table for the Tsar?

Come to the rescue of the Shia ?

What’s in it for the Tsar to do so?

Come to the aid of Iran?

What’s in it for the Tsar?

Sit back and watch the GCC wonder if they kicked a bee hive that may lead to them being stung to death?

Could it be the old nursery rhyme is about to come true?

 All the King’s Horses and all the King’s Men. Couldn’t put the Middle East back together again?