THE UKRAINE AND THE TSAR... WHAT DOES IT MEAN?

Ok; I've been away for several months and a few folks have asked why. Well.... as I approached the end of a long career, the amount of time needed to "wrap things up" became more than time consuming.

Well... that's all behind me now getting back in the rhythm of providing my opinion of what is going on in the world won't  be that difficult.

Here is the difficult part, a great deal has changed and not much of it has been for the betterment of the world as a whole.

My intent is to quickly get back into the practice of daily injects and I am going to do my best to make that happen.

Ok; lets get down to the real work.

Where are we..... Middle East... South America.... and now Russia!!!!

I think the best process for getting things started again is to work  from a standpoint of generalizations and then move back into daily actions.

Having said that, here is the most pertinent comment I can possibly make given the current events in the Ukraine.

Whenever a nation, insert US here, allows a person who was appointed to a position of importance in it's agency that deals with international, governmental affairs to speak without understanding the repercussion of what they said... well.... history is ripe with stories of stupidity just prior to conflict.  

Having someone get on a unsecured cell phone and have a conversation they didn't think through much less realize it shouldn't have taken place " in the Open"...and have this conversation captured by a world leader who is more than just paranoid, but has a history of espionage.... need I say more?

Armature hour is a dangerous show when the audience is already worried about your "intent".

Let's look at the Ukrainian event from the Tsar's eyes for just one minute and lets do this by playing one of my favorite games... "Let's assume"...

Let's assume the Tsar believes the West is not so reckless or incompetent that they would accidentally provoke an uprising in Russia's backyard.

Let's assume he truly believes the West has deliberately provoked the events in the Ukraine.

Let's assume the Tsar believes this is taking place as a counterweight to his actions in the Middle East ..... Syria... Iran.....

Now, let's assume there is no way on God's Green Earth the Tsar is going to allow the Ukraine to slide into the "Western Camp".

Finally; let's assume the Tsar sees these actions as a prelude to provoking further unrest in oh....let's say.... Georgia!!!!

Ok, I hope everyone is finally getting the "big picture" here. 

What is taking place here is easily one of the most dangerous episodes of ether planned or accidental brinkmanship in decades.

If we accept the issue of Putin's perception, then we should try to move on to why did this really happen?

Was it truly a executed plan by the West?

Was the attempt to get the Ukraine into the EU and thus pulled away from Russian influence actually the "plot"?

My opinion is no, but then again, often the plans of one or two well placed idiots / madmen/ can set the world on a course it will find hard to stop...

Here is my question and it's admittedly of little importance right now with the exception of some academic pipe smokers staying up all night trying to empress their student bodies.

Is what is taking place in the Ukraine the next 2014 version of the Tunisian Virus?

If you look at my post from three years ago, you will see my theories on why I referred to the Arab Spring as a Virus.

So, is this the Ukrainian Spring?

Is this another example of social media being able to provide the tools of action in a society that was already suffering a lack of common vision?

Is social media the instrument of destruction when governance is unable to provide a society what it's looking for?

I know this discussion is already out there and I fully realize just how irrelevant the question is given the dangers we are facing, but the question stands.

What truly has brought the crisis in the Ukraine to a boiling point?

Once we ask the question of the impact of social media and the Arab Spring environment, I would like to add one additional question.

Where does the death of American Exceptionalism come into play or does it?

What are the long term repercussions of the worlds leading authority on freedom suddenly being removed as the world leader on the topic by its own leader?

If the President of the United States tells the world it will no longer "lead" but will fall in with the rest of the "pact", does that mean the world was ready for a leaderless future?

Is this how we really came to the events of the Arab Spring and the spread of social crisis?

If the Quarterback of the most successful Football team in the world walks up to the podium  one day and proclaims they are stepping down so the other teams can lead, does that mean the other teams are able to win the Super Bowl?

It was one thing to remove the US from the world stage, but did the leaders of the US take any actions to guarantee someone or some "Group" was ready to fill the void?

Is  the US responsible for what is taking place in the world?

Did we walk away from the table without a game plan?

Here is the scary part of that question.... is it too late to matter?

Well... I could dwell on this subject for hours, but lets get back to my original intent..... Big Picture review and a stab at what might happen next.

Actually, I think I may ready for the topic of, 'what might happen next'!

I've told a few of my coworkers and close friends what I predict may happen next.

The Tsar is not just a skillful political leader, he is a master of reprisal... just ask his deceased KGB / Russian Mob enemies.... if you can find the wholes their bodies were tossed into.

Will Russian troops move into the Crimean?

To me, that is like asking.. who is buried in Grant's Tomb.

Russian already has the Crimean secured and the Ukraine leadership.. those smart enough to know better... understand this.

Is keeping the Crimean enough for the Tsar?

No!

Crimea is the excuse.... keeping Georgia and the other regions that may see the events in the Ukraine as a opportunity.. that is the objective.. and that objective will be achieved at all cost... and listen to me when I tell you and when I say.. .at all cost!!!!

Are NATO forces and Russian forces about to go into conflict over the Ukraine?

No.

Is the Tsar capable and willing to create a crisis of equal or great proportion somewhere else...somewhere just as important to the West / US?

Yes!!

And where might that be?

If you guessed the Middle East, you understand what is taking place far better than you give yourself credit.

That's the next topic worthy of review.

What does the Tsar do to relieve the pressure?

That  will be tomorrow's topic along with any feedback on what has taken place in the past 24 hrs.

One last word of warning:

If it all starts to go bad for the Tsar, don't think for a minute Russian forces will not role into the Ukraine. 

Anyone who says that cannot happen is ether a fool or an liar!

Oh ya.. did anyone talk about Syria.. Egypt ... Venezuela today???

Gee.. Assad gets yet another pass.... for now..

The Tsar may give him and his Puppet Masters in Tehran marching orders sooner than they know. 

Oh ya.. the Tsar will not "ask" for help!!!

It may be time to pay up and pay up in full!