EGYPT AND THE TSAR... EXPLAINED

Yesterday, I commented the situation in Egypt could prove yet another golden opportunity for the Tsar.

Let me attempt to explain just what I was insinuating with that comment.

I'll start by stating with a few simple facts.

First off,  it's common knowledge Putin overall objective is to reestablish Russia to a position of worldly leadership.

Secondly, we all should realize one major objective in reaching his overall goal is to gain as much influence in the Middle East as possible, or should I say regain?

The Middle East is ruled by the oil industry and the major economic engine of the Russian rebuild is fuel!

For over two years now, as Egypt has struggled to normalize it's day to day status in the world, Putin has watched the West struggle even more than Egyptian leadership over the concept of how to "deal with" Egypt's problems.

In short, the Tsar heard and continues to hear opportunity knocking and he is not one to let such event simply pass him by.

Ok, let's jump onto another subject that will help me prove my primary point.

Everyone is talking about pulling the funding for the Egyptian Military and the good Lord knows the US sees this topic turning into a political football.

One argument is based on the premises that the Egyptian Military needs the US military aid to keep it's ability to function.

Is that a valid argument?

The answer is yes, but only if the Egyptian military is not offered other options.

Could the Tsar step in and offer a military conversion to the Egyptian Military?

Yes, but such a huge undertaking would take time as in several years.

How would the interim period of the conversion be covered?

Enter the Saudis!!!

Would we stop military sales to Saudi if we knew they were sending it to Egypt to cover their needs while the Tsar retools them?

My hunch is that would be a far more emotional decision than cutting off Egypt.

Nothing like providing the Tsar yet another customer as he is busy filling the orders of the first one.

Side note: What is the second primary source of retooling the Russian Empire..... yep.. Military sales!!!!

And who would pay for the expensive cost of this conversion?

Back to the Saudi answer!

It should become very clear just how vital the Middle East is to the Tsar and the rebuilt Russian Empire.

So, if the course of action for the West is to abandon the Egyptian Military, then what is the true cost of doing so?

As is always the case, the Middle East is a Chest Board level event and the West cannot come to the table ready to play Checkers!

Oh.. By the way... has anyone really figured out why Putin is so eager to have the conflict in Syria continue for at least another year?

If not... here is my hint and I will talk about it on Friday.....

Think 2014....

Think Winter of 2014.....

http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2013/08/saudi-arabia-washington-disagree-threats-counter-revolution.html