ASSAD'S BATTLE OF THE BULGE! HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF!

If you search my site, you will see how many times I've addressed the questions of Syria's Chemical / WMD / programs.

As I reviewed my comments on Assad's past chemical events, I find myself coming back to the same baseline questions once again.

Why?

Why now?

Did he take actions unilaterally or did he have permission from his handlers ... Iran / Russia?

Let me see if I can explain why this time might be different than that past, other than the magnitude of victims.

This time around, only two of the three past questions have any true relevance.

Why and why now; are rolled into one answer.

Assad and more importantly his Masters have begun to realize they are going to lose!

Iran's and Syria's version of the Battle of the Bulge is in the early stages of failure and they all know what the telling blow is going to be.... The Battle for Aleppo!

For nearly two years the constant fear and drum beat from the rest of the word has been the issue of Assad utilizing WMD weapons as he runs out of options.

Let me make this as clear as I can.

Assad / Hezbollah and even the Persian Mystic Warriors are not going to see victory in Aleppo.

More than just the rebels are prepared to make a stand in Aleppo.

The GCC nations will do whatever it takes keep the Rebels from failing in Aleppo.

Since the beginning of Assad's Battle of the Bulge, the primary mission of securing Damacus, the most basic objective of the mission, has not been achievable.

Assad and all of his forces / both internal and external have not managed to secure the part of the country he and his followers planned to fall back to.. not even with Russian support!

As I stated when Assad's Battle of Bulge began, the moment in time of the counterstrike would come and that would be the exact moment in time when Assad and all of his followers would lose hope!

Well, the prediction, as dire as it was, seems to have become a reality that is even worse than Assad could have imagined.

A true counterstrike is not even underway, and it will still come, and Assad's henchmen simply can't secure a single section of Syria.

You see, the oldest of many military truisms has come true.

It is one thing to take land from your enemy...it's a far more difficult goal to keep it and keep it's people from walking the streets without killing you.

Just look at the last ten years for the West and it's desires in Afghanistan!

Ok, back on target here.

So, has Assad and his Masters come to the conclusion that placing chemical weapons on the battlefield is the only option to perhaps turn the tide.. Win the Battle of the Bulge?

Look at this question form two perspectives.

Will a thousand dead Children and Women tear the hearts out of Islamic Fundamentalist, fanatical fighters?

I think we all know the answer to that question.

Will the use of chemical weapons on a larger scale than past attacks force the rest of the world to force the rebels to the negotiation table?

Again, we know the answer.

So, what made him take this action?

My answer comes inside the explanation of the second categorical question.

Did he take "unilateral action"?

Here is the short answer.

NO!

So, did he have "permission"?

No..

He didn't need "permission", for you see, it was not decision.

Anyone who believes that Assad at this stage of the game, a game of regional power plays between old Super Powers and an aspiring, new one... singular... as in China,  is simply out of touch with reality.

Now, that is going to lead you to an even more interesting and  dangerous question.

Who's idea was it and why?

Would the Persians launch such a plan without the Tsar's inputs?

 That's a Good question with no rock solid answer.

Did the Persians come to the "Use or Lose" conclusion and simply inform Assad what was going to take place?

If the answer is yes, then did the Persians notify the Tsar?

Let's look at the Russian response to see if there is a hint of an answer.

To paraphrase Russia's response, ' We support UN response to the impacted area'!

Oh ya, toss into the answer from the Tsar's team the age old, worn out comment of, "The Rebels may have been responsible".

At this point in time, not even the Russian can believe that any part of the free world would believe such a concept, but then the Russian's may not really care what the rest of the world believes.

Here is what the Tsar and his Persian precarious partners may believe.

"Let's show the rest of the world just how far we are willing to go to keep Syria!

"Let's see just how far the "Free  World" is willing to go?

" Oh, by the way!..... What does the GCC really think they can do about it"?

Are these three statements even close to what the Tsar's team and the Persians are capable of contemplating?

My bet is, it's really....really close!!!!

So, what does it all mean?

If we accept the fact that Syria and it's Allies just upped the stake by a factor feared for well over two years, what is going to happen?

What does the rest of the world do?

Let's start with what the GCC can do and has done, for as much as the Tsar would like to believe the GCC will simply accept a new "Boss" in the region, he may have completely underestimated the GCC.

For months now, I have commented on what price Hezbollah would end up paying for answering the call of their Persian Masters.

The mass graves filled with Hezbollah dead...dead that are still unknown to the families back in Lebanon.

Bombs in Hezbollah's base of support back in Lebanon with a growing cry of, "come home and take care of your own".

And now today..... a bombing event that is sure to drive the violence over the edge in Lebanon.

You see, as I have said before, the plan from day one was to make Hezbollah pay a price they simply will not be able to pay as time goes on.

Pulling Hezbollah from the Battlefields of Syria, that was the GCC plan from day one!

As of today, I would be wiling to bet, its working!

If Lebanon explodes, Hezbollah must go home or there will be no "home" to go home to!

Nobody understands this more than the Persians.

A Hezbollah in full retreat.... that is the signal for my predicted, "counter attack".

Yep... Aleppo is the Bastogne of Assad's Battle of the Bulge and the breakout for the Rebels will be the withdraw of Hezbollah.

The Persians and the Tsar see the breakout coming!

Remember the Tsar needs the Northern Caucasus Islamic fighters as committed to the sectarian war in Syria as possible; at least until the Olympics are over!

So, round one of retaliation for the chemical attack will come in the form of starting a fire in Lebanon... a fire they may have started today.

So, the underestimated GCC gains the advantage, at least from their perspective.

Ok, that's the explanation of what the Arabs will do.

What about the rest of the world?

Who is willing to finally enter the battlefield of Syria?

Is the answer, nobody?

Perhaps!

Is it possible to do something with the intent of not really getting involved?

That is most likely what several countries are desperately looking to achieve.

"Lets do something... but let's not get in over our heads"!

Can you say, Libya.... round two?

Would that work?

Nope!

Even the slightest Western action in Syria has all the propensity in the world to light the region just as many have predicted for over two years.

But, if no real action is taken, won't process simply repeat itself?

Perhaps not!

Remember, the chemical action was not based on breaking the will of the Rebels.

This round of chemical attacks didn't secure a single foot of Damascus and revenge on some massive scale is going to be the Rebel response; that you can assure yourself of.

By now, it's easy to see just how impossible the whole region is becoming and again, that is a scenario many had predicted.

To end this conversation, let's go back to a yet another basic tenant of Warfare.

Warfare in its purest form is the final decision  of governance that has completely run out of options!

The most dangerous question has finally been place upon the world's table!

Have the Persians and the Tsar simply pushed the Western world too far?

Is armed conflict inside of Syria finally the only option that saves the whole region from warfare?

Remember... I have always said, Lebanon was the key to a true regional war.

If that card is now in play by both the GCC and the enemies of the GCC, then the rest of the world is now at a time of decision.

 In the end, limited, tactical precession strikes that gives key players time to pull back from the battlefield before it gets out of control.... that is most likely the final option