EGYPT

CRISIS IN EGYPT  THIS ONE IS  DIFFERENT.

Ok, I've been "off the net" for two weeks and we all know a great deal has taken place in that time period. 

As much as I wanted to bang out a " Snapshot", something I've not done for over three months, I'm more convinced I need to do a down and dirty on Egypt to get my thoughts down before tomorrow's deadline!

Ok, lets get to it and let's keep this simple.

Over the past two years my opinion  of Mr. Morsi have been very, very obvious!

The same goes for the Muslim Brotherhood!

So, without going into why  Egypt has jumped back to the forefront of Middle Eastern news, let's get right down to analysis of the possible repercussions.

If there is on thing Mr. Morsi has never understood, it's how a true Democracy works and his actions today simply verify my statement.

What this man and his party, and make no mistake the MB is his party, simply don't comprehend is the responsibility of coming out the victor in a democratically held election.

Somehow Mr Morsi truly believes that just because he was duly elected, by a population that was desperate at the time, that doesn't mean you can dictate to your society what they can and cannot do for the next four years!

He and his followers lack of understanding of how a Democracy works is never more evident than when you hear the words, " if the people don't like what is going on, wait till the next election and vote him out"!!!

That's not how a Democracy works and any of us who have grown up in one knows that all too well.

Being the "Victor" in NOT a one time ticket to being a four year Dictator!

But then again, I am wasting my breath on this subject with the likes of the MB and its Puppet Morsi!

Ok, lets get away from the new Dictator of Egypt for a second and lets focus on why he is in far more trouble than many realize.

I have mentioned on numerous occasions the animosity between the Egyptian Military and the MB to include Mr. Morsi.

Early last year his plans to replace many key members of the Egyptian Military Leadership with more sympathetic, younger, followers fell short and honestly, that was the beginning of the end and he knew it!

It's the age old Golden Rule of Political Assassination ..... NEVER.....MISS!!

Everyone who pays attention to the region has been watching the every increasing hostel environment between the Egyptian Military and the MB / Mr. Morsi and none of us would have placed a bet on this event not taking place at some point in time.

Was the Egyptian Military simply "buying time"?

Absolutely!

Does that mean it has a detailed plan ready to launch?

You can bank on it.

So, is the Egyptian Military more prepared for this crisis than the MB and Mr Morsi?

Silly question!

Now, at the risk of sounding over optimistic, lets look at the issue that many talked about today and few truly comprehend.

How divided is the Egyptian population.....really?

Well, the worse possible answer is probably the true answer... about 50...50....

Will the MB simply fold tent and walk away?

Not likely!

Many "Talking Heads" on the media circus shows today have talked about the dangers this round of revolts could lead to, but few have addressed the real issue.

Here is my concern and I'm betting I am right on target.

Does anyone out there truly believe the MB has not anticipated a move by the Egyptian Military at some point in the future?

Of course they have and that is where the problem begins.

The MB has survived in Egypt's hostile political environment for over eighty years and there is a reason for that.

They are the masterful at reading and anticipating what is out in front of them!

It's the reason they were ready to take control when the revolution came to an end!

Has the MB made "inroads" with members of the Military.... the "youth"... who are often abused by their senior Officers?

Are you getting the picture yet?

Generals are only as powerful as the troops that follow them just as Dictators are only has powerful as the Generals that follow them!

Complex structure are typically most vulnerable at the lowest level; chains ....weakest link....so on and so on..... you get the picture!!!

If there is a concept the MB understands, it's the one stated above!

When Assad set out to murder his own population, he knew full well the lower level troops and even some of the mid level leaders may not follow.

It's this "theory" the MB is banking on!!!!

Honestly, it's the only chance they have!!

The youth of the MB most likely spent the past few days communicating with as much of the lower levels of the Egyptian Military as they possibly could.

Again..... the 21st century phenomenon called Social Media plays large in the internal conflicts of governance.

So, what is going to take place tomorrow?

One thing is for sure.

The Egyptian Military has and has had a plan and the MB knows this and has known this all this time.

Let, me end this by making my most basic statement.

Both sides of what is going to take place in Egypt on Wednesday have known from day one what might be coming  and both sides have planned for such an event.

Oh ya.... there is another "Golden Rule" I want to mention tonight for it fits perfectly!

No plan survives contact with the enemy!!!!

Let's see what happens in the next 24hrs.