A COMPLICATED AND PERPLEXING PENDING BATTLEFIELD!!

Ok, so back to the discussion of a pending conflict between Hezbollah and Nusra!

As has been mentioned before, the fact this conflict is predicted to take place should come as no surprise.

Assad's gains, temporary in my opinion, over the past few weeks are attributed to the increased support of Hezbollah and the other "units" provided and supported by Iran.

The concept of opening a Second Front on the Syrian Rebels and the Syrian Rebels intern contemplating opening a Second Front for Hezbollah in Lebanon makes the process of keeping the scorecard for this event difficult at best.

Now, given this event is growing closer and closer with each passing day, it's important to revisit where Israel and Turkey and Jordan and the West fit into this pending change / escalation of events.

But, before we do that, lets refresh the most important aspect of this event, Iran's vision of where it is going and how that "vision" fits in with it's silent, well somewhat silent, partner.....the Tsar!!!

As I have said time and time again, from the Tsar's viewpoint, the world is good.

The world oil markets is well above the acceptable bottom-line and the Tsar is all about making money for money fuels the rebirth of the Russian Empire.

Now, remember, the trick is not letting this "event" in the Middle East get too out of hand.

Making money is good......regional war...well... they may be a bad thing in the long run!!!

A world market that is depressed based upon a devastating regional war equates in to crashing oil prices and that is a bad thing for the Tsar.

So, conflict .... Tsar says good.....

Open Regional War....Tsar probably says.."Bad thing"!!!

The Tsar's second goal and trust me, it's an important one to him... prestige!!!

Showing the world the West cannot make decisions on global issues without Russian inputs, well that is a vital task for the Tsar.

Just about the only thing not allowed to get in the way of the ego of the Tsar is the price of oil.... remember... that is goal number one at all times!!!

Ok, so the Tsar wants the world to know you cannot deal with the Middle East without dealing with him and his crazy little Persian puppets.... Puppets that don't like the Tsar by the way!!! Nothing worse than loathing you Boss!!!

Iran knows their plans for the region may not match the plans of the Tsar, but they must be very careful how they deal with this dilemma.

Perhaps the Persians will betray the Tsar, but that is a plan for a latter date!!!

One "Infidel" country at a time!!!

Both the Tsar and the Persians have a real problem, this dangerous Civil War between the Sunni and the Shia!!!!

To the Persians, the issue is far more dangerous and hence they are more likely to be willing to take drastic actions to combat this religious civil war.

On top of that, this maddening thing called Social Media has the Iranians worried sick about their next round of fixed elections, and that is something their Master could care  less about!!!

Ok, the picture should be clearing up by now.

The Puppets and the Master have different "goals" and concerns and that is an inherent weakness to their alliance; a fact that doesn't go unnoticed by the Arabs and the Israelis and oh by the way.... the Ottoman's as well!!!

The Ottoman's, the competition to the Tsar and the Arabs for the Oil market in the region.

Now, let's get back to the issue at hand.

The major players know the battlefield is filled with these crazy little groups of fanatical thugs, but the "thugs" work for several Masters.... namely the Arabs and the Persians.....

As a reminder, this has virtually nothing to do with the freedom of the Syrian public....those poor people had their dreams stolen, much like Egypt, over two years ago.

Do the Persians really want the fight to move into Lebanon?

Does the Tsar or the Ottomans or the GCC?

If not, how do they stop it?

Once you let a Thug run lose for too long, they start to believe they run the place.

Is that where Nusra and Hezbollah really believe they stand as of today?

Here is a frightening fact that perhaps is becoming more and more a reality.

The Thugs have been allowed to run free too long!!!

The Thugs think they are calling the shots now.. remember... Hezbollah is Arab not Persian and doing everything exactly as Iran / the Persians tell them may not always hold true.

History is stacked with events that spiraled out of control and that spiral has been the fear for over two years now.

What does the Tsar and his Puppet / Persian / lapdog want?

And if they don't have the same goal, how can they stop a event from taking place when the Thugs they control have gotten out of control?

Here is my fear, a fear larger than the one listed above.

Is Hezbollah about to realize that Syria is it's new Lebanon?

Does Hezbollah become the proxy government of Syria after the Tsar and the Persians do Assasd in?

Talk about a Red Line!!!

I love all the talk about a "diplomatic solution"....

Someone please explain to me what that might look like?

https://now.mmedia.me/lb/en/commentaryanalysis/the-imminent-hezbollah-nusra-war