HEZBOLLAH'S REASON FOR FIGHTING IN SYRIA
When I came across the story today, I was surprised how complex the author made
the whole issue.
Why is Hezbollah fighting in Syria ?????? Survival..... that's
why!!!!
What I did find interesting was the author's explanation as
to the two factions inside of Hezbollah, North / Bekaa and the South / Educated
shiites.
Once again, it became apparent, at least to me, just how important
a "leverage point" this split inside Hezbollah could become.
As I have said time and time again, the "glue"
called religion / Shia / Sunni / is not the agent that binds these groups
together; not when we are talking "internal" cohesiveness.
It's "bloodline" and who has grown up with whom?
This author's explanation of Bekaa and "Southern"
Shiites comes down to the same issue.
In the US ,
when it comes to emergencies, there is a universal saying; " all 'events'
are local'!!
No matter what the federal government believes are responds
to, if it happens in the US ,
the "locals" are the fist to shape what the actions are reactions are
going to be.
The same concept holds true in the Middle
East and this Bekaa / Southern Shiite issue is just another
example.
What this story does a decent job of is posing the question;
just how strong is the Hezbollah commitment to actions in Syria ?
To the Shiites of the Bekaa region, the Syrian Civil War is
" local"... and as such it has a much different since of urgency.
To the "educated" Southern Hezbollah members, Syria is a
"Strategic" issue that will impact the long term vision of Hezbollah.
Whenever you have two "visions" inside one
organization, you have all the ingredients for trouble!!!!
Can Hezbollah survive the fall of Assad in Syria ?
Probably, but will it stop there?
That is the question that keeps Hezbollah leadership up at
night.
Will the Sunni movement in the Bekaa region of Lebanon , become
a primary target after the fall of Assad?
Absolutely!!!
Will that impact the future of Hezbollah?
Absolutely!!!
Will the Sunni fighters be successful in driving a wedge in between
the "factions" inside of Hezbollah?
That is the real question.
Hezbollah's leaders and their Bosses in Tehran
will strive to keep Syria a
battle zone long after Assad falls and by doing so, they will hopefully keep
the Sunni fighters occupied to the point they don't turn their attention on
attacking Hezbollah in Lebanon .
Here is the real crisis for Hezbollah..
It's not going to work!!!
As I have said for almost two years now; the war in Syria
can easily lead to the downfall of Hezbollah and they now it!!
House divided in Hezbollah.... we shall see...
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