NORTH KOREA SAYS "STATE OF WAR"... SO.. WHAT DOES IT MEAN?

Now, I know several times in the past two years I have talked about the potential "relationship" between Iran and North Korea and I am still of a firm belief this "relationship" exist.

Having said that, let me take yet another stab at the "what if" game.

What if the North Koreans and the Iranians had a "deal" to stress the US and the West during a time of threat to ether North Korea or Iran?

As we all know, both have been front page news for months now and both have released their own version of threats towards the US..... Insert " The Enemy of my Enemy is my Friend" here!!!

Let me try to answer the basic question of, "Is this time different... Is the North Korean threat more believable or more dangerous this time around.

As you probably have heard time and time again in the past few days or weeks, most of the Talking Heads are still stuck on stupid!!!

Stupid being the canned answer of, "The North really doesn't want a real war with the US or South Korea"!!!!

I have two theories why this answer remains consistent.

1.  it's the "party line" that keeps the stock market from over reacting.

2.  Those that really have no clue what takes place in North Korea, other than cocktail parties with social elites, really do believe North Korea is afraid of generalized warfare.

Ok, after tearing down the accreditations of those who say North Korea will not "go over the edge", let me make an argument why I, like many who are like me, believe this time is truly different.

THE ART OF TALKING TOO MUCH:

First off, it's a simple fact of life that when people make huge statements about what they are willing and able to do and then such  things  so often..... Chicken Little..... everyone begins to simply ignore them.

This is, to some extent, where North Korea now finds itself.

Simply put.... too many threats with no action leads to being ignored.

Now, it's natural for men... ones that take this position..... to get upset when they realize they are being ignored and that often leads to them doing something totally unexpected.

LOSING OLD FRIENDS OR AT LEAST THINKING YOU ARE LOSING THEM:

As I commented on a few weeks ago, for decades the Chinese have been the backstop for the little Bully named North Korea....  " Teeth and Gums".

Well, it's now more than possible the North believes this relationship is at best waning.

It's no secret many of the Chinese news editorials in the past two or three months have hinted to the fact North Korea can no longer be allowed to shape the "destiny" of the Chinese people.

Simply put, I believe the North Korean leadership has the perception that China's future plans do not involve the wellbeing of North Korea.

Remember what I said the last time I talked about this issue.

China may very well see the end game with North and South Korea as a ends to justify the US leaving key locations in the Pacific.

A country of 1.4 Billion may be willing to see a limited war involving only 30 million, non Chinese, as a means of informing the US, when it's over, they no longer have a real reason to keep the force structure in the Pacific.

Now, would this work?

Probably not, but from the mindset of the Chinese or the perception of the North, they both make for a non typical dangerous environment this time around.

Before I go back to my theory of " Enemies of Enemies", let me make one off the cuff but justified statement.

Lets say you are a common North Korean citizen and you know that every day the best you and your children are going to do is split one bowl of rice, perhaps every other day!!!!

You also realize, trust me some do, that if a war does take place and the Northern government is defeated, then the aid that will flow into North Korea will be ten times what you receive day to day....

If you get where I am heading here, then you now know what most Chinese planers have worried about for years... a North Korean population that turns on it's own oppressive leadership as the country is devastated in a war with the US and South Korea.

If you blow this theory off, then you really don't understand the dynamics of the Korean Peninsula.

Back to the Enemy of my Enemy issue:

Before anyone questions why would Iran and North Korea agree to support each other in a time of crisis, let me ask one simple question.

Why not?

Tell me why Iran would not agree to watch the US absolutely struggle to deal with a generalized war on the Korean Peninsula at the same time Hezbollah is launching an all out attack into Israel from Lebanon?

What mystical event could prevent this from happening?

Why would it not be the most ideal time for Iran to preempt the pending attack on their nuclear weapons program... a program the North Koreans are helping with...????

So, you should get my point by now.

Simply saying " it cannot happen" or " It's not likely" is not good enough.

Someone show me tangible proof it's not going to happen!

Someone show me why President Bush was wrong when he labeled North Korea and Iran as an "Axes of Evil".. and if you say Bush was an idiot or a "cowboy" than you are too uniformed to really realize how the world works or just how really dangerous the world is!!!

http://www.cnn.com/2013/03/29/world/asia/north-korea-us-threats/index.html?hpt=hp_t1