Sunday, March 3, 2013



















LEBANON.. HOLDING ON, BUT FOR HOW LONG?

I continue to make the situation in Lebanon the centerpiece of my comments on the Middle East and for good reason.

As I and many others have stated for over a year now,  the reality of a Sectarian conflict in Lebanon is event that will plunge the region into a real crisis.

Sheikh Ahmad Assir continues to be the primary trigger for any potential sectarian civil war.

The election law continues to be the emotional topic that polarizes both sides of the Lebanese society.

These two issues continue to develop "the perfect storm" environment for Lebanon.

Hezbollah's desperate attempt to blame the West for the destabilizing environment in Lebanon is falling on deaf ears.

The simple fact of the matter is a growing number of fo Sunni llowers of Assir are growing more and more confident that the time is right to push the Shia Hezbollah out of Lebanon.

Lebanon has two potential triggers for open hostilities.

One, would be the delay of the elections based upon a stalemate on the  controversial election law issue.

The second  would be an open conflict between the followers of Assir and the backers of Hezbollah.

As to who is to blame for continually destabilizing Lebanon, that answer may soon be irrelevant.

Prevention will soon give way to the reality of "limitation"!

Limiting the damage of the sectarian conflict in Lebanon could prove to be just as difficult as preventing the event itself from taking place.

It's true, that some quietly are hopeful this might take place, such as the present of Syria.

It's also true that many are praying this crisis does not take place expiration point

The fate of Lebanon is and remains in the hands of the Lebanese people, tensions have risen to the point that determining who starts the conflict now be difficult to determine, but also become nearly impossible to prevent.

Simply put, Lebanon is closer to the edge and has been in there is not a lot of room left.




http://www.dailystar.com.lb/News/Local-News/2013/Mar-04/208702-khalil-calls-on-citizens-to-protect-lebanese-resistance.ashx#axzz2MXMgYi62


http://www.dailystar.com.lb/News/Politics/2013/Mar-04/208705-berri-rules-out-elections-without-new-electoral-law.ashx#axzz2MXMgYi62







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