SNAPSHOT
ON THREE CRITICAL "HOTSPOTS".
Okay,
I've not done one of these in quite a while but I thought tonight was an
appropriate time to do a "snapshot" of events that are critical for this
point in time for the Middle East.
So
what is this time might make this round of protests different?
The
short answer is educated youth of Egypt , this time around, has a
"bully" on their side!
The
"bloc" \soccer hooligans\have provided a level of violence that the
unorganized and mostly passive Egyptian college youth did not possess 2011.
Yes,
the people of Egypt
have "protest fatigue" but more importantly they are even more
fatigue with the thought of yet another authoritarian government ruling over it
virtually ruined economy!
Many
stories have been written in the past few days on how this time, Egypt
to truly could be on the edge of chaos.
Fatigue,
hopelessness and violence make are simply making a disastrous cocktail.
Today's
Sunni protest made it abundantly clear to the Iraqi government just how close
they truly are to social chaos.
The
fact that the current leader of Iraq
is a complete incompetent fool leaves Iraq little hope of maintaining
order.
For
nearly 10 years theory has been that someday Iraq eventually divide along
sectarian lines in an undeclared Kurdish state.
It
now appears that this theory is quickly becoming reality that is organizing
your for Iran
and anyone else in the region.
The
Turkish oil deals with the Kurds will not take Iran 's interest into account.
Simply
put, as I stated at the end of 2012, Iraq is soon to be another proxy
battlefield in a growing Sunni Shia sectarian conflict!
There
is only one way to analyze the situation for Lebanon ;
when will the conflict spread to Lebanon ?
Hezbollah
has absolutely no chance of controlling the fate of Lebanon and in fact, its own fate
is now in question.
Desperate
organizations like desperate nations have historically taken drastic actions.
Nothing
and I mean absolutely nothing is going Hezbollah's way.
With
each passing day the ability to hold back the tide of violence is being torn
down by the relentless pressures of sharing a border with the crisis called Syria .
Okay,
it's fairly simple to see just how many fires close to igniting in the region.
The
nations are now coming to the realization that preventing these fires is all
but hopeless.
Hopefully
the concentration of effort is becoming focused on the issue of limiting the
damage of these fires like all other fires in nature, preventing them from
growing into one large forest fire.
If
you are in search of good news, then there's no need to look anywhere near the Middle East .
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