Monday, January 7, 2013




















SANCTIONS AND IRAN........ A TOPIC REVISITED..

In the past, I have been mentioned the curiosity level some have over the concept of sanctions, specifically it comes to Iran.

Now, it's common knowledge the typical sanctions typically keep nations from acquiring items other nations have convinced the free world they should keep from them.

The question is not over the prevention of acquisition, but the concept of punishment.

In a perfect world punishing a government by restricting their ability to provide for its citizens is an option often chosen other than open conflict.

The trouble arises when the sanctions are applied against the government is not overly concerned as to the day-to-day welfare of the citizens.

In the case of Iran, the Iranian leadership is well aware of the fact that a disgruntled public, at this point in time, is a dangerous and slippery path into becoming yet another nation in the Middle East in crisis.

So, the question becomes is the concept of sanctions against Iranian government as a punishment tool going to work and if so what is the definition of, "work"!

If 80% of Iran's economy is based upon the oil industry and Iran has seen nearly 50% drop in that industry does that equate into the people of Iran rising up against the Iranian government?

Is it a given fact that the Iranian people will blame the Iranian government for the austere environment brought on by the sanctions or can they be convinced that the sanctions of the actions of nations unwilling to see Iran become successful?

I've said this before and I will say it again; we need to be very careful of what we, "wish for"!

I have no doubt the Iranian government, the true Iranian leadership, will do its level best to blame Ahmadinejad for the worsening economic conditions.

Ahmadinejad is a safe target and even worse and unlike target of the true Iranian leadership.

The question becomes, as I stated last week, does Ahmadinejad allow the blame to be placed upon his shoulders?

Well, it's easy to see the two issues go hand-in-hand.

As reports continued to grow about the impact of sanctions on the Iranian government simultaneously as reports continued to grow about the conflict inside the Iranian government, does this all process drive towards ending someone has actually contemplated?

As times get harder for the Iranian people and international affairs around the Iranian government become direr, is this all leading to a desirable ending?

Sanctions stacked on top of internal personality and ideological differences inside the Iranian government; was that or is that the plan?

Desperate nations, leaders, have historically taken desperate and often drastic actions to prevent their demise!

Wrecking the Iranian oil industry; does that answer the Iranian nuclear weapons issue?

Solving problems at the international nationstate level is never easy and I'm fairly convinced sanctions on Iran provide no simple answers.

http://www.jpost.com/IranianThreat/News/Article.aspx?id=298719


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