Sunday, December 23, 2012























THE CONFUSION AND CONCERN!!! SYRIA'S WMDs!!!

Many conflicting stories have been generated in the past few days over the status of weapons of mass destruction and who is truly in charge of defending them, moving them in the long run using them.

Netanyahu chose his words carefully when he spoke of preparing Israel for major changes in Syria.

Some organizations seem to be, "assured", that the weapons in question still remain secure.

Yet, others are not near as confident as for that reason Netanyahu gave his warning not just to the region but to the rest of the world.

No one, and I mean no one, is confident, truly confident, as to the location and the status of all the weapons in question inside of Syria.

What is known is that the Islamic fundamentalist fighters are consistently the ones who are making the most headway against the government of Syria.

Verbal assurances by Russian officials are simply not enough for the world to be at ease.

Israel understands all too well the price of being wrong.

If Israel is, "wrong", or if Israel believes the verbal assurances of the likes of Russia and those assurances turn out to be nothing more than wishful thinking,  then results could be catastrophic.

It is no coincidence that the conversations of the security of the WMD weapons and the pending departure of Assad have gone hand-in-hand for well over a week now.

One event absolutely leads to the concerns of the other.

Rumors of, "other forces", being in Syria to ensure the safety of these weapons based upon, "wishful thinking"!

What I find disturbing on both accounts, the rumors of Assad's departure and the security of the WDs in Syria, is the lack of input or emphasis on the intent or actions of the Iranians!

Is there the possibility that the Iranians and the Russians are allowing the Russians to take lead on this conversation?

Yes.

It is very possible the Iranians understand they cannot be the "lead" on the topic of Syrian weapons of mass destruction.

"Assurances" from Tehran would hold virtually no accreditation with the rest of the world, whereas Russian "assurances" would keep many in the world at ease, at least for now.

In the past three weeks the rapid advances by the rebels have simply made it more difficult for the rest of the world to have detailed analysis and planning for the events unfolding in Syria.

As I've said before, events inside Syria are moving faster than planners and governments!

Here's what I know.

Those Islamic fundamentalist fighters who are obviously carrying the battle to Syrian government will also have a vote on any negotiated post Assad government whether the rest of the world likes it or not.

Having said that, these groups are typically not run by "fools".

The ownership and status of weapons that the rest of the world and especially Israel will not tolerate any ministries over must be crystal clear with her without Assad being in Syria.

As the Russians struggle to remain relevant in the region, it is possible that the Iranians have come to an agreement with the Russians to take "the lead", but the wishes and the visions of the Russians seldom match those of the Persians.

Few things are clear when it comes to Syria right now, but it is obvious the most critical issue is not the status of Assad.

Two weeks ago the issue was, would Assad actually utilize WMDs against his own people.

Today, the issue is where are they, who has them, and what is the plan to keep Israel from a complete state of panic?

The lives of thousands of Israelis will not be determined by a verbal commitment from the actions or the West or the UN.

There is a saying in the United States Army; "deeds above words".

Someone needs to show the Israelis deeds before words and the need to do so convincingly and quickly.

http://www.jpost.com/DiplomacyAndPolitics/Article.aspx?id=297021

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