Wednesday, November 14, 2012


















ISRAEL FORCES THE ISSUE.


Several times in the past few days, I've commented on the consequences of events taking place near Israel.

The Syrian rounds landing in Israel, the consequences of Islamic Jihad groups firing rockets into Israel even after Hamas agrees to a so called "Cease  Fire"  brokered by the MB, the perception issues after the US elections and finally the drive by Abbas to take the PA issue back to the UN.

All of these may have created a formulary that Israel simply couldn't accept.

Ok, lets get down to brass tacks!

What is the intent of the actions taken today and more importantly, what are the possible repercussions?

It's my opinion Israel has carefully weighed the consequences of killing Jabari and is fully prepared for whatever may come from this event.

I don't believe this is the opening round of a larger conflict dealing with the Iranian issue, but then again, the opponent always gets a vote as well.

Yes, it's true Israel must deal with Hamas and Hezbollah prior to any conflict with Iran and for that reason it might be argued this is a classic, "road to war" operation; although tactically it doesn't meet the requirements.

Could Israel be sending a "Message" with this operation?

I would say that is at least one of the objectives, but the question becomes, who is the message to?

Is the message, "Hamas" you control the Gaza Strip and as such you are responsible for the actions of "other" groups on you land"?

Yes, but this is not a new message, for Israel has been making this statement for several years.

Is the message to the US?

Is Israel saying, " You may have your elections over in the US, but the issues of the Middle East / Iran / Hamas / Hezbollah are still here"?

Again, I would have a hard time not believing this was not part of the plan.

Before this "why" question gets a definitive answer, the second question I listed above becomes paramount.

What are the repercussions?

For Hamas, the answer is simple, fight and be crushed; negotiated and allow Abbas to regain total control of the Palestinian movement.

Nether answer is appealing to Hamas's leadership, but reality is just that... reality.

The world cannot expect Israel to make the same tactical errors it did in 2006 and 2008 with Hezbollah and Hamas.

For all the "talk" of support from other Arab countries, the GCC states know they need Israel more than they need the Palestinian statehood issue solved.

Without Israel, the GCC must stand alone against the aggression of the Persians.

That is a stance no Arab nation is willing to take tonight, but again... reality is reality.

What of Turkey you might ask?

Forget it!

Other than words and maybe a few worthless political motions in the UN, the Turks / Ottomans / are far more concerned about the Kurd / Syrian issue.

They simply don't have the will nor the time to take issue with Israel over the blunders of Hamas.

What of Hezbollah?

As much as they would love to lash out, they must be aware of just how much resolve Israel has at this moment in time.

Hezbollah has it's own "issues" staying in power in Lebanon and trying to keep Assad alive in Syria.

Ok, so how about Iran?

Iran only gets one attempt at dealing with Israel and after that, their country will be changed forever.

Is Iran ready for generalized warfare with Israel?

Not on their own accord.

Persians destroying their future for the sake of Hamas and the Palestinian statehood, it's not going to happen, at least not right now.

All of these potentials were taking into consideration long before Israel decided to kill Jabari.

Does that mean this will end just as Israel "planned" it would?

Not even Israel believes that outcome, but then again, they knew that from the beginning.

The message from Israel tonight is clear; they are no longer going to allow the rhythm of the day to be based upon radical factions in Gaza terrorizing Israel.

Hamas, has no easy answers tonight and even fewer "real" friends..

When they ring the phones for help, they are going to be hard pressed to get someone to answer.

http://www.jpost.com/MiddleEast/Article.aspx?id=291841

No comments:

Post a Comment