Thursday, October 4, 2012
















UPDATE ON HEZBOLLAH'S FUTURE.

Interesting read attached, but I think the author misses an important issue.

The theory Hezbollah may come out of this Syrian event just as strong as they were before based upon their military status still being intact is questionable to me.

What the author overlooks is the issue of Hezbollah being depleted in a conflict and no longer having a 'lifeline" to be resupplied by.

The short answer is, if Iran falls into conflict the future of Hezbollah is bleak at best.

A campaign to deplete Hezbollah's stockpiles as quickly as possible, hopefully far sooner than their ability to deplete it by utilization, is the key to their defeat.

A campaign involving Iran will lead to Hezbollah taking an assault unlike any they have witnessed in the past.

When the dust settles the ability of Hezbollah to have someone resupply them will be gone, along with their influence in Lebanon.

Simply put, to support Iran in a regional war means the end of Hezbollah as we know it.

Hezbollah understands this and in the end, as I have said before, they must decide if destroying their movement for the Persians is truly the end state they can accept!

At night, when the lights are out and the Iranian leadership is contemplating their fate, do they truly believe the Shia Arabs of Hezbollah will cast away their dreams for the sake of the Persians? 


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