PUTIN AND AHMADINEJAD MEETING? WHAT'S THE REAL REASON?

Ok, most of us can buy the concept of these two meeting to talk about Iran's nuclear program, given the next round of talks are in Moscow and we all know the Tsar would love to get the limelight for solving the issue.

The problem is, this is not the most pressing issue for ether of them, at least not right now!

Assad's two biggest supporters are going to meet?

How does anyone think for  minute this meeting will not start with a discussion on Syria?

Iran's nuclear program is important to Iran, but it's not on Putins' top five list and any meeting with the Tsar is about what he wants to talk about first, not the Persians!

So, what might these two say about Assad and the crisis?

Let's look at this question from the Russian viewpoint first.

The court of world opinion is getting worse and worse for Russia over the Syrian issue and several compromises have already been floated past the Russians to see if they may change their support for Assad.

Having "key" players telling the Russians their port capabilities in Syria are not going to go away, to include this message coming from the Free Syrian Council itself, is a important event.

A few  months ago, the Russia made it known they were worried at the strategic level over the possible loss of this facility.

If the world has taken this concern off the table for the Russians, then moving to yet another "concern" would give the appearance of stonewalling.

Moving on to the issue of Russian arms sales to Syria.

When this became Russia additional "concern", it was  somewhat neutralized by most of the world quietly accepting weapons movements based on old, existing contracts signed before the rebellion and centered around weapon systems that not typical of what Syria is using against it's own people.

Short answer, "Ok Russia.. we agree you can continue to make money selling arms.. Now what"?

Then the Russian came up with, in my opinion, their best logical answer for their noncompliance with the UN.

The danger of a larger, regional war.... a sectarian war!

This was their best answer and it should have been their only answer all along!

Having said that, here is the rebuttal they should hear from the UN.

" With your help Mr Putin, we stand a chance of preventing a wider, sectarian conflict, but without your help, it is nearly impossible".

Yes... You have to stoke the Tsar's ego!

Does anyone possibly believe the ex Director of the KGB, and a good one at that, doesn't know how to manipulate other groups?

Does anyone think Putin can't find a way to " strike a deal" with the Syrian Muslim Brotherhood?

 He is easily on of the best "Manipulators" the world has seen in the past 50 years.

Now, here is my point!

If we, the world, find a way to get Putin on board, then Putin will have the challenge of putting Iran in it's place.

Will the fanatical Iranian leadership listen to the Tsar... an Infidel?

Probably not!

When Putin offers the Iranians a "deal", it will most likely be a " take it or leave it" event.

If the world can get Putin to change his mind and more importantly his ego, the thing I think is really in the way right now, then "deals" can be made and a full blown disaster may be avoided.

My warning on this approach!

As I stated above and like I have been saying for months now, Iran can't survive without Syria, Lebanese Hezbollah and Hamas.

What does Putin offer them to walk away from Assad?

More importantly, what does he offer Iran the rest of the world can live with?

If Iran doesn't "make the deal", then Putin will make a fortune of the regional war!!

Oil at 150 a barrel!!!

This is like asking a Rattle Snake to strike a deal with a Cobra!!

In the end, we will most likely get bit!!!!

http://my.news.yahoo.com/putin-meet-irans-ahmadinejad-china-123121248.html