PUTTING HEZBOLLAH ON THE SPOT. A BRILLIANT MOVE!
Well, as is sometimes the case in the Middle
East , the story has changed again and again.
Last week the "Breaking News" was the Lebanese
Hostages were " about to be freed!
The line of who was taking credit for the breakthrough was
longer than the list of suspects who kidnapped them.
"They will be free shortly.... They will be home
today... They are on their way back to Lebanon "... and so on and so
on and so on......
It's June and that promise, like so many in that part
of the world, has been broken again and
again.
Turning them over without getting anything out of it never
really seemed a logical end-state to this event, and it turns out it wasn't.
So what are the Rebels who hold them going to get out of
this?
I will be the fist to admit, the final asking price was one
not even I would have thought of!
Not money... not a prisoner exchange, at least not yet.... but
the perhaps the most damaging thing anyone could have come up with.
To ask Nasrallah to apologize for something he said and to
make Hezbollah humiliate themselves in every Middle Eastern media network there
is, and they would all cover it, with the exception of Syria and Iran , is a stroke of genius.
Why genius?
Think about what this demand does?
If Nasrallah refuses to make such an apology, then he and
Hezbollah must face the Shia families in Lebanon .
The fate of Lebanese Shia, the very people LH is sworn to
protect, is in the hands of Nasrallah!
I wonder how long it took his Iranian Masters to call him?
If Nasrallah gives in, then whatever statement he gives,
even if it's at 5am in 10 second sound bite, will be heard and replayed a
thousand times in the region alone.
Creating a split, no matter how small, between Hezbollah and
Iran is the goal is the end result.
To the rebels, the end state is humiliating LH in Lebanon .
Now, let me end this analysis by stating the obvious.
A boxed in.... potentially humiliated Hezbollah is a
very....very... dangerous animal!
This could end with the classic, "be careful what you
ask for", but I must admit, it was a brilliant concept.
Score one for the rebels.... for now!!!!
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