A CEASE-FIRE THAT MAY NOT HOLD!

Two days ago, I spoke of the unrealistic concept called " compromise".

This is the world that is usually used when nations or groups are trying to develop a

 " Cease-Fire"!

You need a " compromise" in order to achieve a " Cease-Fire".

The problem is, a Cease-Fire is often utilized as a Re-supply or Reorganization for follow on actions.

In this most recent event coming from Gaza, it is hard to tell if this utilization concept is being utilized or not, but we may soon see.

The reality of how many so called splinter groups are in Gaza is not a recognized excuse for why the Cease-Fire may not hold.

These so called "splinter groups" are still armed by Iran and even if they are not dirrectly controlled by Iran, it's crazy to think for a single second they are not given a green light to continue operations.

So, if someone wants to tell the Israelis, as I am sure Hamas and Egypt are trying to, these "splinter groups" cannot be controlled.... well... we all know by now what Israel's reaction will be.

As I said two days ago, if this action is truly a stepping stone to Iran turning up the heat, then the Israeli reaction will be based upon the damage the continue attacks create.

I found two other events from today interesting and worrisome.

One was the capture of yet another Terror Team supported by Iran, this time in Azerbaijan.  http://foxnewsinsider.com/2012/03/14/22-arrested-in-azerbaijan-plot-against-u-s-and-israeli-embassies/

The pattern of Iranian backed teams is at a tempo unlike anything the world has seen from Iran or Hezbollah. 

It is more and more obvious to me the mission behind these teams, world wide, is to goat Israel into taking action.

Side note; I still wonder if Iran really feels they are ready for what that "action" may become?

The second was the reported meeting between Hamas and Hezbollah.

It's reported the meeting was to discus Syria, Gaza and Iran.

I'm not sure that was the real purpose behind this meeting, if it did take place.

My hunch is Hezbollah has been tasked to try and keep Hamas in the Iranian camp and this meeting was an attempt to keep the unnatural alliance.

The danger comes from Israel interpretation of this meeting taking place at a time when rockets and missiles continue to come out of Gaza.

Remember my theory of unintended consequences when extremely paranoid nations are at the edge of conflict.  http://www.jpost.com/Headlines/Article.aspx?id=261818

Ok, here is my prediction and it has not changed for several months now.

If Israel suffers a tragic loss of life attack at the hands of Hezbollah or Hamas "splinter groups", then the fuse will quickly burn towards a Regional War...

Remember, Israel is finished with 2006, 2008 type of conflicts!!!!

I just hope Iran realizes this.

  http://www.jpost.com/Defense/Article.aspx?id=261905