Monday, November 28, 2011























AS SYRIA GOES.. SO GOES LEBANON... AND THAT'S THE PROBLEM!

Read some interesting comparative analysis of the impact the events could have on Lebanon.

The interesting part was who  wrote the editorials.

The short answer is both sides of the political fence in Lebanon, pro Syria and anti Syria, both have come to the same conclusion.

If Syria falls into a full scale Civil War, Lebanon will become a proxy battlefield.

The rockets fired today from inside Lebanon towards Israel is a dramatic reminder of how intertwined the entire region really is.

Perhaps this event today was more than just a few rockets fired into Israel.

Perhaps, as I commented last week, it's Iran reminding not just Israel, but everyone just how volatile things can be.

It's common knowledge that the Free Syrian Army is getting some level of support transiting through Lebanon.

Syrian efforts to stop this logistical flow can only make matters worse.

It's only a matter of time before the fighting taking place just inside the Syrian border happens just inside the Lebanese border..... more than just firing at a small group of people 

Rumors of " Safety Zones" continue to abound and the perception in Syria can only be one of immanent intervention.

It's that perception that will drive Al Assad's supports away from him and he knows this.

It's his understanding of this that will lead him to taking desperate actions thus fulfilling the "Rumors".


Sounds crazy, but it's more predestine that most people understand right now.

Can the region stay out of a Regional War???

Everyday could be the day and the stress on the Arab League and the GCC and the Israelis is unrelenting.

Ten months of stress....

How much more can the region withstand?

How many more times must we all hope the leaders of the region don't make the wrong decision?

Personally, I think we ran out of luck three or four months.

Most of the leadership of the region knows what is coming.. they are just trying to put it off as long as they can or perhaps just need more time to prepare.

The odds of us all waking up and suddenly seeing a happier... brighter day for the Middle East is a long .... .long ... long distant dream.

No comments:

Post a Comment