THE GCC AND THE PENDING DANGERS!

The Gulf States have had exactly the environment they were wishing they wishing for, but the times are changing.

Bahrain is quickly sliding back towards the type of social disorder they had avoided for several months now.

The concept of surprising the Shia population is nothing short of sticking the government's collective head in the sand and wishing everything would just go away.

Add on top of this the desire of Iran to keep the option of confrontation open in a key member of the GCC and we have everything we need for the next chapter of the Arab Spring; one that is inside the must vulnerable and worrisome area.... the Gulf Oil producing countries.

Bahrain had the Saudis come to rescue already this year, but times may be far more difficult in the near future.

Saudi's plate is quickly filling up with Yemen and the Palestinian events.

Saudi also believes Iran has their fingers in both of the issues as well.

Iran, as is always the case, believes a good Defense is a strong Offense.

The courtroom drama with the Doctors in Bahrain was a complete blunder and has produced not a single shred of good news for the government of Bahrain.

The next real issue for the GCC is probably gong to be Oman!

Yes, Oman is and has been off the radar, but when you look at the strategic location of Oman, it is simply irresistible to Iran.

The concept of having the Saudi government dealing with Israel and the Palestinian event... The Yemen pending Civil War and the growing crisis rekindling in Bahrain is inflamed  by pushing the issue of Oman.

Oman's border with Yemen.. a vast wasteland, is prime for base camping trouble.

Reaching out for support and protection in numbers.

The GCC concept of adding Jordan is still in the works.

Jordan's problem is, the Palestinian event is taking up a great deal of energy and working out the details of joining the GCC is more than Jordan's government can deal with right now.

I would be wiling the bet the King is more than willing to join the GCC, but like all Arab countries, " The Devil is in the details".

So what does all this mean?

Iran has the ability to make matters far more complicated than they already are.

They simply have to decide what trick to pull and when to pull it.

Most of their effort seems to be centered on Yemen, but the competition  from the Sunni Fundamentalist is stiffer than Iran anticipated.

Yes, the GCC is growing more and more nervous and for good reason.

The Iranian Shark is circling the GCC lifeboat.

The question for those inside becomes.. does that Shark attack or not?

Tomorrow the topic is the American Winter ... back to my definition of the Tunisian Virus.