With the official announcement of US forces withdrawing from
Iraq , Saudi may have the
"proxy" battlefield it needs to confront Iran .
Now, most of us realize the border of Iraq and Kuwait will continue to be what it
has been since 1990; an ammo dump and jump off point for US forces if needed.
It's is also well known the US and Allied forces have kept
the confrontation between Sunni and Shia in Iraq under control for several
years now, even as Saudi tried to keep the fire burning.
Saudi has had ample time to build it's plan for
confrontation in Iraq
and I am sure this plan, whatever it may be, will go into operational mode by the end of the
year.
For all the talk of how Iran
will " call the shots" in Iraq ,
Saudi will not sit back and let Iran
have it's way.
Saudi will not allow Iran
to open a Two Front Campaign on Saudi, Yemen
and Iraq .
If Saudi's resolve was somewhat passive, that all but died
when the US exposed the alleged plot to assassinate
Saudi's Ambassador.
And finally, the possible new future leadership of Saudi, Prince Nayef bin Abdulaziz
will see Iran
as far more of a threat than even the current leadership.
None
of this is taking place in a vacuum, or you would hope it's not!
What
will be difficult for the US
and the West is not letting this future proxy conflict get too far out of
control or lead to actual regional war.
When
you stack this Saudi, Iranian growing tension on top of the issues of social
unrest and weekend state governments, it's easy to see just how volatile the
whole region remains.
As
for the Iranian leadership, if they, and I don't think the two of them are
doing a great deal of joint strategizing right now, believe for a minute the
Iranian plans for Iraq are going to execute as planned, then they are sucking on the Shisha pipe too
hard!
I
will go back to my comments last week about Saudi and Syria .
Assad
knows all too well how the alleged plot on the Saudi Ambassador will impact his
survival.
He
and Syria
are " Target Number One" for Saudi.
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