DOES IRAN BELIEVE SYRIA IS UNDER CONTROL?

For the past several months I have voiced my opinion of just how desperate Iran was to avoid the loss of Syria.

My opinion that Iran would risk everything including a potential regional war to keep from losing Syria and having the Arab Spring spread into Iran stands.

The question becomes is Iran beginning to think Assad may survive?

It's a critical question given the extent Iran would go to prevent it from happening.

If they believe Assad is going to make it, then they may not pull the trigger on the Palestinian statehood issue.

In some ironic twist of fate, the survival of Assad may lead to a failed movement by the Palestinian front.

Sure the Palestinian people can protest and even become violent, but without the proxy support of Hamas and Hezbollah, the ability of the issue Turing into a regional war is all but gone.

I still firmly believe Iran is building a 'post Assad' plan incase they have to let him fall, but the fall will be on Iran's terms not the Syrian Muslim Brotherhood or the Ottomans'.

Following what events are related and impact what other events in the Middle East is always a complex process.

The trick is to keep the " Big Picture" simple.

No  threat of losing the Syrian Satellite and Iran simply doesn't see the need to inflame the Palestinian event..

We shall see.