AGENDA AND SIDES!! YOU MAY NEED A SCORECARD!!

With less than two weeks before the attempted vote on the PA statehood issue, I say attempted given many are trying to stop the vote from taking place, I think it is interesting to look at how the typical instigators, agitators, may line up.

Hamas:

            Not crazy about the vote and probably under orders by the Muslim Brotherhood, their new again handlers, to limit protest violence this month.

I say they are probably under orders to not initiate violent events given the MB doesn't want to distract from the events in Syria.

Syria is the five meter target for the MB / SMB / and violence in Israel and Gaza is a distraction not in the play book for taking down Assad and Syria.

Taking on the PA issue is something they will accomplish when the time is right for the MB not for Iran or Radical Fundamentalist.

Hezbollah:

            The Iranian Puppet organization has it's marching orders and the question becomes to what level does Iran wish to take the PA issue?

Radical Islamist Groups:

            Anytime is a good time to create violence in Israel from their perspective.

            Hamas tries and will try to limit the actions of these groups, but if they plan to turn the UN vote issue into  a time of violence for Israel, Hamas will have a difficult time controlling what takes place.

Hamas's problem is Israel holds Hamas responsible for the actions of these groups given most operate out of Gaza.

Iran:

            So, does Iran pick this moment in time to have it's confrontation with Israel?

            I don't think so, at least not to the level of "total warfare".

            The problem becomes, as I have been saying, the level of reaction by Israel.

To put it simply, the MB and most other Arab Nations want the PA issue to be nothing more than another example of embarrassing Israel in the court of world opinion, thus Hamas will be sidelined in the event.

On the other hand, Iran wants and needs an event to save Assad from the court of world opinion, if he can be saved.

So, who has the upper hand?

Answer ....... Iran... Yep ....... bad news.

How can this be?

Iran can set actions in motion that prompt Israel to do what it seems to be in the habit of doing..... taking revenge on Hamas..

If Iran  has it's minions launch the violence from Gaza... Hamas will take the blame and the retaliation.

To put it simply, Iran has the ability to force the MB and the fence sitting Arab nations into some level of support for any violent acts against Israel.

If I understand this, you can bet the MB and the Arab League does as well and the pressure to prevent this series of events from taking place is huge.

The move is afoot to prevent the vote from taking place.

A movement and a strategy that in my opinion is bound to fail.

Iran and the " Violence  Card" has the absolute upper hand here and Israel knows it.

So what needs to be done?

Convince Israel to not to overreact to the violence.

The problem become Iran can simply turn up the heat until they get the reaction out of Israel they are desiring.

Yes... things are not looking good and the IDF Generals are starting to let the word out just how bad they think things could get...

It is all too possible Iran's quest to save Syria and Assad will lead to war in the Middle East.... even if Iran was not counting on it.

The days of September will get more and more important to track.

I have finished thinking about if this may happen and I am going to switch over to contemplating what will happen.