DANGEROUS TRENDS AND THE BEGINNING OF RAMADAN

Earlier this week I spoke of the disturbing, yet predictable events in Egypt and how the MB and others like the Salafist had everything going their way.

I had mentioned the “tent city” issue that was beginning to come to the forefront in Israel and why this movement had a very disturbing theme to it.

Let’s look at the “ tent city” issue in greater detail and possibly shed some light on why this event could lead to much bigger problems for Israel.

I would not argue for one minute the people of Israel who pay all the bills, the middle class, do not have the right to be extremely upset of the skyrocketing cost over the past two years.

Israel’s repercussions of the worldwide economic slowdown from two years ago are obviously still impacting day to day lives  there.

When politicians continue to use revenue as a means of insuring reelection and not being financially responsible, then eventually the wheels will come off the whole process.

Like Egypt, Tunisia, Syria and so on and so on…. Many of the people in Israel who are upset with the current government have a legitimate complaint.

And as is the case in Egypt, Tunisia, Syria and so on and so on….  “Other” groups are taking advantage of the tension.

Several times over the past five months, I have talked about the two main movements that have been fighting for control of the “ Arab Spring”.

1. The Socialist / Revolutionaries supported by the Academic communities;  the bastion of  such movements for centuries now.

2. The Muslim Fundamentalist movement; I know most of these groups will tell you they are NOT “Fundamentalist”…… Right!!!!

As has been the case since the beginning of the ‘ Arab Spring’, the game for the  Fundamentalist   has been to let the youthful, Socialist / Academics  spill their blood and eventually do all the legwork  and when the time is right… make their ‘move’.

This is exactly what we witnessed last Friday in Egypt.

It is my belief this is exactly the trend we will see with events in Israel only they will be compounded by the possible September UN vote on the PA issue.

The people who are currently protest in Israel are a mixture of the Social Revolutionaries and the Middle Class of Israel.

If you don’t think this Social Revolutionary movement is taking part in Israel, just take a look at the poster in the middle of the photograph in the attached article.

 

Interesting enough, good old Che Guevara mug shot has shown up in Tunisia, Egypt, Yemen and now Israel.

Now, follow the pattern that has been set throughout the Arab Spring…. The youth movement, this time accompanied by the working people of Israel, start the process…. The seated government overreacts ……. Al Jazeera runs a dozen stories about the ‘injustices’ of Israel and so on and so on…

And if and when it all starts to turn real bad… in walks the second group!!!!

Again .. The Egyptian model fits here.

Now, there is and will be a real twist to the Israel version of this story.

IRAN!!

Several times in the past three months I have mentioned how desperate Iran is and will be to draw the attention away from events in Syria, to the point I did not and still do not rule out Iranian supported violence / military supported action against Israel.

You can be your last meal this ‘Tent City’ event in Israel has Iran’s attention on several fronts.

The danger will be pushing it too far.

Israel like Iran is fully aware of how unstable it’s near term future could be.

Israel like Iran could easily decide to ‘turn up the heat’ on Iran if things get too out of control.

It’s a classic example of, “ be careful what you wish for” when it comes to Iran and the ‘Tent City’ event unfolding in Israel.

Way back in Jan of this year, I predicted the Arab Spring final event would take place in Israel.

I have said for three months now the MB feels the timing is not right for a dramatic shift in the Israeli / PA issue.

They need to stabilize the future of Egypt and finish planning the future of Syria before they can go for the final prize of the PA issue.

That doesn’t mean they are not going to directly or indirectly support the current event in Israel.

What they don’t want is two fold.

1. They don’t want the Shia  / Iran to gain the upper hand and be seen as a leader on the PA issue.

2. They don’t want uncoordinated and perhaps uncontrollable violence to include a regional war, while they try and form governments in Egypt and Syria.

Israel knows this and it will help them design their response to not only the events in Israel, but to the potential medaling of Iran. 

In the long run, the working class people of Israel who are upset with the cost of living in Israel could find themselves inadvertent ‘pawns’ in the never ending struggle called the Middle East.

  http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2011/07/201173020161903849.html