JISR AL SHUGHUR

It’s clear Assad, or whoever is calling the shots in Syria, is going to assault the town of Jisr al Shughur, the question became, why did it not happen today?

The rumors of defections in the Syrian military have been around for several weeks, but this event may just be a sign of how bad this issue is getting.

I can think of two reasons why the crushing response promised by Assad did not show up today.

1. The Syrian military knows it has a well entrenched enemy with a resolve to fight.

1. That opposition has the advantage of being on the defense, a HUGE advantage to those of you who do not understand the laws of warfare!.

2. They could be supported by military members who have defected.

                                                              i.      Not too many military members decide to defect and not take their weapons with them.

                                                            ii.      When a unit leader, such as the young Officer  shown on Al Jazeera today, defects,  it is not uncommon for a percentage of his forces to go with him.

                                                          iii.      Assad may simply not have the troop density to execute a mission that will call for a four to one advantage; not to mention possibly not being properly equipped for such a conflict.

2. It could be the Syrian military had to swap out what units they plan on reentering the town with.

1. Assad would be crazy to utilize a unit that has already shown a propensity to have defectors in its ranks.

2. To have yet another unit show up and suddenly refuse to attack the opposition would be disastrous for Assad.

Regardless what the reason is and I think one of my two hunches is correct, the next event in Syria may not be like any we’ve seen yet.

SIDE NOTE:

It appears there was a violent reaction in the Palestinian camps in Syria, over  the past two days.

It seems the parents of the young Palestinians killed in the NAKSA protest are upset the PA authority in the camps allowed their youth to be killed for the sake of drawing the attention away from events in Syria.

It’s even rumored Assad had them paid to take part in the event.

The last thing Assad can deal with is a Palestinian uprising in Syria.

Talk about the Law of Unintended Consequences!!!

You can bet the Syrian Muslim Brotherhood  / SMB/ will take advantage of this event.

It’s ok for the young Palestinian kids in the camps of Syria to die for the SMB but heaven forbid they should be sacrificed for the sake of Assad!!!