SYRIA GOES OVER THE EDGE!!

http://www.debka.com/article/20868/

Again; Debka is one of the few that get it.

Syria's Army is mostly Sunni and thus the ability to gun down people walking in a funeral march is not going to last long.

I'm not sure if Assad will make the decisions from here on out.

It could be he didn't make this one.

Iran, at the sake of sounding like a broken record here, cannot tolerate the 'Tunisian Virus' in Syria.

So what is going to happen and what should we be looking for?

Scenario number one:

Iran and Assad will ether come together on how to go forward after reaching the 'point of no return' on Friday, and trust me, they reached that point, or Assad will bolt from the Iranian influence and look for a lifeline from Saudi, Jordan or Turkey.

Assad could step up an announce the outsider threat in Syria was being propagated by Iran and not the new friends he may be trying to run to!

I know this sounds outrageous, but Assad is a very desperate man right now and Iran could care less about him as an individual and he knows that!

It will not save his rule, but it may allow him to exit with his family.

A Yemen type / GCC / deal is not out of the question.

Scenario number two:

Iran steps in to help Syria with the "outsider" threat!

A hugely emotional event for the rest of the Arab world that would send a earthquake along the lines of the Arab / Persian divide.

Iran could use the GCC movement into Bahrain as the pretext for moving 'support' units into Syria.

It is obvious the Syrian military and police do not have the skills the Iranians have when it comes to oppressing people.

The fact is, it is probably almost too late for Iran to take this action.  / Point of no return issue.

Scenario number three:

If you have been following my comments for the past month now, you know this next theory is the one I believe is the most likely course of action.

Iran, now more than ever, must have a distraction for what is going on in Syria.

DEBKA talked of a imminent Hezbollah attack on an Israeli target soon that would be a revenge attack for the killing of the Hezbollah leader two years ago.

That attack could very well be a massive event that will compel Israel to take drastic action.   

The timing of this threat advisory is suspect given the desperate state  of Iran and Syria.

Conclusion:

Syria cannot continue down the path it is currently on and Iran knows it.

Saudi and the GCC will be more worried about actions out of Iran than ever before.

Iran is feeling trapped and the world needs to be very careful!