RUNNING INTO THE ARMS OF THE REAL ENEMY!
Last night, I mentioned the Libyan 'Rebels' could very well end up aligning with the true enemy, the fanatical Muslims.
This still may not happen, but I would still place my bets on some version of this event taking place.
The 'rebels' could be more than desperate within the next 48 hrs and they will have two basic options.
1. Surrender, unconditionally; not likely given they know the history of the Mad Dog and his enemies.
2. Falling into the arms of the fanatics.
Determining what will happen under the fist scenario is drop dead easy. The key members are rounded up and killed. the rest are placed in a camp.
It's scenario number two that has a complex side to it.
If the 'rebels' ( I keep placing them in quotations given that is a title someone else has tagged on them that I don't happen to agree with), allow the fanatics to take tactical control of their fight, they will be pulled in one of two directions.
1. The Beirut Lebanon Option.
If you remember how the ten years of Beirut executed, I don't need to explain much here.
I don't have a lot of confidence in this option for the 'rebel / fanatic alliance given what a ruthless individual the Mad Dog is. He will not stand for it!
If you don't know what I'm talking about, Google is my answer:)
2. The classic world of "LIC" / Ok; I will help you out with this one.
LIC / Low Intensity Conflict!.
The UBL " A Game" : think of the last nine years in Afghanistan.
Hit and run, IEDs. ect... ect.. No real enemy to react to. They just fade into the population.
Again, the Mad Dog will move hard against this type of operation, but he will be in a very wounded position even when he does win this current Civil War and will have to take his time turning back up the heat.
The Mad Dog might crush the rebellion in its current form, but the next phase will be based on violence for an extended period of time.
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