ROUHANI AND SOLEIMANI AND “KISS THE HAND”!

This week had an event some of us should have found strange. Soleimani, the Pit Bull of the Old Men in Tehran, had flowering words for Rouhani, the guy Soleimani’s Boss wants gone! Why, he even said he “ kisses the hand” of Rouhani. Wait.....what???? Just Hours before this story broke, all the talk by the “experts” was the issue of. The Old Men wanting Rouhani glammed for the social unrest in Iran. Once again, they wanted him gone! Then, the kiss the hand statement? What’s going on here? Yes, Tehran is looking for someone or something to once again blame the social unrest on. Yes, it looked as if Rouhani and his so called, “moderate viewpoint” was going to be the target. But, then Soleimani, reaches out to him? Did his Boss know this, kiss the hand, statement was coming? How do you go from blaming Rouhani for all that is wrong in the country to having your most respected Warrior kissing his hand? Boy oh boy, can my imagination run wild on this one. Yes, Iran is in trouble, socially. A youthful population is still just as unhappy as it was a few years ago and all the efforts to build Persian Nationalism by the IRGC has failed. By the way, that attempt by the IRGC is a “clue” to what I think may be happening, but I’ll get to that in a few. So, Iran is in social trouble based upon it’s squandering of the wealth Obama sent them and that economic picture just got much worse with The Donald going into a full court press to cut off Iranian oil. Moscow is negotiating with The Donald on the future of NATO and Eastern Europe and his key hold card continues to be the Middle East. A Middle East Tehran gets no vote on when Moscow and DC talk. Bottom line, things can get much worse for Iran and the Old Men in Tehran are growing more and more desperate. Now, stack on top of all of this, the reality that Israel is not going to allow Iranian and or Hezbollah forces near the border with Southern Syria and once again, Moscow and not Tehran is deciding the outcome of that event. To top it all off, what does Iran do? It once again threatens the Straights. Not only that, but Rouhani makes the same threat? So, two options here. 

1. Rouhani is trying to save his job.     

Soleimani has never been a big fan of Rouhani and to hear him say he kisses his hand had to have come as a shock. The threat came while Rouhani was negotiating with the EU over the failed nuclear “deal”. Trying to squeeze more out of the EU made restating the threat to the Straits a timely issue. The fact that Rouhani, the Moderate, :) made the statement caught some of the folks in the West, off guard. Was it an attempt to show his Boss he was onboard with the  Hardliners? Was he just swimming down stream for the sake of not being drowned? Maybe, but I would still be the person that responded to his statement was the issue that surprised him the most. Now. Point number 2.

2. Did Soleimani send a message?

Remember my comment about the IRCG pushing the concept of Persian Nationalism? If you are not up to speed on the topic, I would ask you go do a little research. I posted about this topic a few months ago and I’ve been wondering just where the IRGC would go next if the attempt failed. So, here’s my  theory. I’ve said this on several occasions, Soleimani is a Iranian Nationalist. Yes, his loyalty, on the surface, is with the Old Men, but in the end, his goal is Iran, not just a radical form of religion. If anyone can see the handwriting on the wall, if anyone can see a pending doom in the near future, it’s Soleimani. No one knows the ray them of the streets of Iran better than his people. No one understands the insanity of Iran fighting a war with Israel and the US. No one understands more than him that Moscow is simply playing Iran as a Pawn in a much larger game. If the General see a real threat to Iran’s future and he knows the Old Men are so set in their ways that they will let that threat become reality, what does he do? Does he do whatever it takes to save the future of Iran? Does he allow the threat of starting a nuclear weapons program seal the fate of Iran’s military? Does he allow threats over the Straits to push Iran’s economy and social stability over the cliff? Or.....or....does he send a message, a classic, between the lines, message to the “Moderate”? Does Soleimani let Rouhani know he is with him if the time comes for real change? Would the IRGC follow him if he suddenly backed Rouhani? Yes. Would key Iranian military commanders follow him? Yes? Is he the real leadership figure in Iran? Well, he must may be the Douglas MacArthur of Iran and this just may be the Korean War for Iran. That would make Khamenei the Harry Truman of the story and we all know what President Truman had to do when General Mac Arthur got out of control. The problem is, this time around the Mac Arthur figure may win!   Anyway you slice it, the kiss your hand statement was strange. 

AMLO IS IN. NOW WORDS NO LONGER WIN HIM ANYTHING.

          As Predicted, Obrador is the new President of Mexico. So, the first question is, what will change…. I mean really change?  Rumor is he will pull the military out of the conflict with the Drug Cartels. That will allows the local / civilian Police to carry the weight of the fight. Good look with that one. The civilian police. The same ones nearly no one in Mexico trust. Pulling the military sounds like a good idea to the progressive Left, but what about  the people in the rest of the country? The day then President Calderon announced the military was taking to the streets of Mexico, I told those I worked with, “ Here we go. Down the road to a real crisis”. So , now the tactic is, pull the military out? Will that make things even worse? Yes, and sadly, it won’t take a lot of time to prove me right.

Forgiveness:

          Amnesty for the Drug Lords? For a man that is in his med 60’s, he seems to have forgotten that tact has been tried before. That’s it? He’s going to forgive them for the deaths of 100’s of thousands of Mexican Citizens? I will tell you what that is code for. It’s code for, “ move your drugs and we will leave you alone”. Yes, this man doesn’t car about America’s drug addiction and yes, it’s not his problem, but to think the answer is to tell the Drug Cartels, “ I won’t bother you if you don’t kill too many people”, that is truly the mindset of a delusional dreamer. What is he going to do, make the warning factions unit over their territorial claims? Does he really think the killers will simply stop killing and just move the drugs? Does he realize almost all of these events are driven by revenge? So tell me, how many of these Killers are going to listen to the words of the new Socialist President? Take a Knee. Go ahead and ask them to behave and be civil. Let’s see how that works.

The Border:

          AMLO is for “Open Borders”? Sure, that’s an approach that will be well received in the US. I wonder if he is for “Open Borders” in Southern Mexico? You know, the border where people are beat sinless for just stepping into Mexico. Open borders, just not, his  Southern Borders, right?  Why does this new Socialist President want “Open Borders”? It’s because he wants the same thing every President before him has wanted for decades. Social Relief. I’ve said it time and time again. The only reason the Mexican government demands the US allows people to cross as they wish, is to keep the social pressure down in Mexico. Just think about it for a minute. If the people who are sick of the government in Mexico and other Central and South American Nations could not cross into the US, what would happen? Yep. They would stay home, become even more desperate. They would become so desperate they may even turn violent and the next thing you know, they are marching on Mexico City. Well the Elites of Mexico and trust me when I tell you AMLO is an “Elite”, will never stand for this. So, yes, the new President is for open borders, but he is only thinking of what is good for his poor! Ya….right.

So, Where is Mexico Heading?   

          Yes, Mexico has been down this Socialist road before. Yes, the ability to gain power based on “words” is nothing new to Political Elitist. Yes, relations between the US and Mexico have been bad in the past, just ask Mexican historians about World War II. Is there a high probablilty of tension between AMLO and The Donald? Oh ya! If AMLO fires off remarks about the rights of people crossing the US Border illegally, then you can bet The Donald is going to fire back in full colors. Is the relationship between the US and Mexico about to get worse? Yes. Could it get much worse? Yes. Is AMLO about to find out spouting words and making promises is much easier than actually being President of a totally corrupt country? Yes. Will the people of Mexico love him as much as they do today when the blood continues to flow? Probably not. Will he find a way to place the blame on someone else, most likely the US? Yes. Will that relieve the social pressure? Probably not. Yes, today is probably the best day of AMLO’s stent as President. If he thinks he is going to clean up Mexico, to include those who really run the country, the drug cartels, then he truly is what others see him as, A Socialist Dreamer who has finally gotten what he has long desired…….Power!

SOUTHERN SYRIA AND THE ROAD TO WAR? MAYBE SO!

          Is Quneitra the flash point of a pending conflict between Syria, Iran and Israel? The push into the emotional area of Daraa, the starting point of the Syrian Civil War, is no longer the question waiting for an answer. The support of the Russians, support that was not supposed to happen according to some of the “Experts”, had made this Daraa push possible. So what’s next? Is it truly a push toward Quneitra? Does Moscow truly believe the Israelis will not be good to their word? Do they think DC put the pressure on Israel to not react, even in Quneitra? Did anyone happen to notice the so called “negotiations” between the forces apposed to Assad the Syrian government are being held by the Russians? The Russians, not the Iranians and not Assad? How’s that going over in Tehran? Will Israel attempt to prevent an all-out assault on Quneitra? If the so called “ Rebels” know this, then why have they not fallen back to Quneitra, or have they? Just how close are we to the event some have predicted was coming for months and who is paying attention?

The Trip:

          Lt Gen. Eisenkot popped into DC a few days ago. Why? I think everyone here knows why? Rumors are floating The Donald is striking a deal with Putin to pull US forces out of Syria. The deal is reportedly a BIG ONE. The US will leave if Russia insures, really insures, not the version Obama used, the Iranians and their puppets, Hezbollah, withdraw from Syria. Not just Southern Syria, but all of Syria? That was the red line the Israelis set and they keep their word on redlines. So, that’s it? General Eisenkot comes to DC to see if the US will show him the final “deal” The Donald and Putin will meet over? No. No, that’s now what the General was there to do. Israeli Generals do not travel to DC to speak of diplomatic Chess moves. Generals travel to DC to go over the “Plan”! What plan you might ask. The plan for the neutralization of Syrian, Iranian, Hezbollah forces in Southern Syria.

Why?

Why would this plan need to be finalized at the General Officer level, if the US and the Russians are striking a deal? Simple, because neither the US or Russia really believes this “deal” is going to take place.  The reality is, the real conversation between The Donald and Putin will be about NATO and China;China the Dragon that wants to consume both the Eagle and the Bear. NATO, the topic that keeps the Eagle and the Bear from joining forces and preparing for the Day of the Dragon. Who knows what this conversation is really going to be about? The Prime Minister of Israel, that’s who. Did anyone forget the relationship  between The Donald and Netanyahu? Does anyone think for a second The Donald cares if the IDF lays waste to the rag-tag pro Assad forces in Southern Syria? Does anyone think Putin does? Yes, they flew air support for the move on Daraa, but what harm was there in doing that? Okay, so the civilian population was forced to once again flee a conflict zone. So what? that has been going on for seven years. Does anyone in Tehran or Moscow really care? No. Does Israel see this as a deliberate move to force a crisis on it’s borders? Yes. Does it force this civilian population to be on the ground between the IDF and the forces that will attempt to enter Quneitra. Yes, but that won’t matter. The issue here is not Assad and his seven year Civil War. The issue here is Iran and it’s ambitions in the region. Is Iran going to willingly leave Syria? No and they certainly won’t do it because Moscow tells them to.

          The goal for Iran is to have Assad stay in power and reclaim all the lands of Syria. The next phase of the goal is to have Iranian forces stationed in Syria. The problem is, the time for these goals to be implemented is running out. If Putin get’s what he wants from The Donald then Iran’s dreams will go up in smoke. No, really, up in smoke!

Sunday evening, Lt. Gen. Eisenkot is not going to brief the Israeli Security Cabinet on what the US is thinking. He’s going to brief them on the finalized arrangements required for the IDF to execute what everyone seems to know is coming.  

IRANIAN’S PROTEST. IS THERE ANYTHING DIFFERENT THIS TIME?

          I’m not sure what round this is, but it appears the old men in Tehran are facing yet another cycle of        protest against the government. Will this one play itself out like those in the past year or so? Most likely, at least that’s what the countries leadership is hoping for. Is there anything different this time around? Yes. The economy is even worse than in December of 2017. Is it bad enough for this uprising to take hold this time? That’s hard for anyone to predict, but if you watch the clips from the protest, it’s clear the government forces are reluctant to just go in and crush the events. Will the infamous rooftop snipers come into play? That depends on the government believing this round of protest may not subside. Remember, nothing disperses a crowd like seeing someone’s head explode. The odds are, the old men in Tehran are going to let this one playout for another day or two and then readdress their options. So, in the end, is this event any different than what we have witnessed in the past? Times have changed, and change is what makes a new protest potentially much different than past events.

From Bad to Worse:

          The Donald’s move on the Iranian nuclear “deal” set into motion a series of events that both DC and Tehran knew would impact the day to day lives in Iran. The continued crash of the Iranian currency was a predictable outcome of the US pulling out of the “deal”. The old men in Teheran also understood it would be increasingly difficult to blame Iran’s economy on the actions of the US. They can make that statement, but they also know the odds of the public believing that excuse is very slim. Their evidence is the fact none of the protest are marching to the chant of “Death to America”. Now, you can bet the government’s counter marches will begin ether today or in the next few days. If the old men don’t attempt this historical tactic, then that’s a sign they may be more worried than we know. They have two choices. They can attempt to contain the protest and hope the marching and yelling gets old; not the government’s style by the way. Or, they can meet the protest head on like they did the Green Party in 2009. That tactic worked then, but when they told Assad to use it in 2011, all hell broke loose! The old men in Tehran have one more option, but it’s by far the most dangerous option.

Outside Threat:

          It’s a timeless option nearly every government in history has turned to. If you have to rally a populace that is unwilling to support the government, then make them fear something far worse. Does anyone remember, “THE RUSSIANS ARE COMING”! Yep, the proverbial “Outside Threat”. It’s a tactic the old men in Tehran have used in the past, but this time around might be different. If the failing economy is the real catalyst of a pending revolt, why would they not use this time tested approach? My bet is they will, and they may do so in a dramatic fashion. Would the old men in Tehran risk a conflict for the sake of saving their rule? Absolutely. Would they risk this conflict on their own soil? That depends on just how desperate they become. For example, let’s say Iran pushes the events in Southern Syria to the point a limited conflict between Israel and Syria takes place. Could Tehran convince the youth of Iran the time had come to show their nationalistic pride? Remember this sense of Persian Pride is something the IRGC has been trying to populate inside the youth of Iran for well over a year now. What happens if the call for Nationalism fails? What if the youth of Iran continue with what they are already saying, ‘Stop spending money on Syria, Lebanon, Hezbollah and Yemen and spend the money on Iran’s people’! Then what? Do the old men in Tehran take the conflict to the next level? At that point, do they have anything to lose? If they do push the crisis to the next level, a level where the existence of the Iranian military is threatened, what happens then? Just how loyal is the leadership of the IRGC? Just how loyal is the leadership of the Iranian military? Will they allow Iran to be broken to the level of Iraq or Syria? It’s far easier to round up a few dozen old fanatical men, than it is to fight your own country as well as an enemy’s military you know you cannot defeat.  How does this all play out? Where does this round of protest lead Iran? You can bet this scenario was table topped over and over again inside DC before The Donald set the game in motion. The US Secretary of State is in Moscow. The objective is to lay out the discussion between Putin and Trump at their pending summit. You just have to wonder what the discussion will be on the topic of Iran. The old men in Tehran are wondering what Putin and Trump will talk about and you can bet they won’t trust anything Moscow tells them after the meeting is over. Things just keep getting worse for the Iranian government, well, at least the current one.

ERDOGAN: RISE TO THE TITLE OF SULTAN AND THEN WHAT?

          So, Egodan the Sultan, pulled it off. He has become the Supreme leader of what he hopes will be the new Ottoman Empire, an Empire that will no longer look to the EU or the West. The new Ottoman Empire will align with the new Russian Empire and the new Chinese Empire, or so the so called “Experts” state. Can Russia and China offset the economic impact of pulling away from the West? Yes. Can the departure of Turkey from NATO cripple an already decaying concept? Yes.  Would both of these events please the Chinese and the Russians? Yes. Do both the Chinese and the Russians have the same intentions for this new Ottoman Empire? Yes. What is that common intention? Why, to manipulate the Ottomans to their advantage of course? Do the Chinese and the Russians have the same end-state for their manipulation? No. Does the new Sultan realize this? Yes. Does the new Sultan have his own manipulative plan for both the Chinese and the Russians? Yes. So what has really happened here?

NATO’s Breakup:

          Russian sales of the S-400 system to Turkey is a very hot topic with the US.  The intent of the Russians is well known. Moscow has been working hard to pull Turkey away from not just the EU, but from NATO.  NATO and the spread of NATO into the old Russian Buffer zone has been the catalyst of just about every event Putin has implemented. The strategic impact of Turkey leaving NATO would be dramatic. The EU’s ability to offset the loss of Turkish forces would be nearly impossible. The very foundation of NATO would be in jeopardy and The Donald’s stance of the EU paying more the bills would surely come back to the forefront of the entire NATO discussion. No one understands this more than DC and Moscow. The problem becomes, the US has openly given in to Turkey to the point no one is confident The Donald will continue to do so. It’s just not in his nature. On top of the issue of The Donald’s nature, the ego of the new Sultan almost guarantees this breakup is coming.

          Turkey is heading in a new direction and that direction is not to the advantage of the West. So what is the West / US / to do? What options are on the table? How does the West respond to the events in Turkey? Well, first off, the idea this event was about to take place was not new. The West has been watching the Sultan push Turkey in a new direction for years. The reality is, the West / US / has been preparing for this day since turkey walked away from the Iraqi Invasion plan in 2003. Does that mean NATO should have been in a position by this time to live without Turkey? Yes. Is it? No. Why? The leadership of the EU members, that’s why. Does the US military need Turkey to execute its missions in the region? No. So, does the US really need NATO? No. So, why is it still there? Politics, and that’s a deplorable answer. For NATO to be disbanded would have meant all of the old Soviet Buffer-zone countries would have been unwilling to even speak to the EU. The EU needed NATO to show Eastern Europe they would have a level of protection if they came in from the cold. The US went along with this plan for two reasons. 1. It allowed the US to keep a military capability near the Russian border. 2. It was good for the Western, Military Industrial Machine. Threats are just what you need when you are in the business of selling arms.  Okay, let’s cut to the chase. Does the US need NATO? No. Does The Donald like the idea of paying most of the bills for NATO? No, and he has said so time and time again. So, what is going to entice The Donald to kiss the Sultan’s hand, just so Turkey will stay in NATO? Pressure from the EU? No. Not unless the EU takes on a much larger share of the bills and even then, it may not happen. Will someone convince The Donald Turkey is going to slide into the Russian/ Chinese camp? They’ve been telling him that since the day he showed up in the White House. So, Turkey is about to end it’s 100-year alliance with the West? They are about to become a new member of the Eurasia? It looks that way. But then again, the Ottomans are about to step into the room with two far more ruthless, far more dangerous, “Partners” than they have aligned themselves with for the past 100 years. Just about the time the new Sultan begins to gloat, he may soon realize, Ottomans will learn to take a knee. The Bear and the Dragon are both hungry and they both like the taste of Kumpir.

BAD BLOOD WITH THE RUSSIANS. WHAT HAPPENED?

         

          So the US’s relations with the Russians has reached a low point not seen for decades? According to the US Democratic party, the Russians are suddenly responsible for just about anything negative in the world. The drumbeat of, “You can’t trust them”…… Putin is the most dangerous man in the world”, seems to go on and on and on. The Russians are even responsible for Hilary not winning the election in 2016. Somehow, the Russians and Tsar Putin have become the Bogyman the Democrats are sworn to defend the US from. To top it all off……………………THE DONALD IS IN ON IT! How can this be? Weren’t the old Soviets everything the Liberals dreamed of? The redistribution of wealth…..free health care………… everybody’s job pays the same…….everyone gets a home and no home can be better than the other guys……………….You know…..Communism. Why did the Soviet Union have to fall and ruin everything for them? Why did Russia have to change?

Nationalism:

          When the Soviet Union fell, the world had a window of opportunity to heal a wound that had nearly destroyed everything on several occasions. When the Russian people finally forced change in their system of government, in a process much less violent than the previous event, the West was not prepared to show the new Russian nation a valid course to success. Instead, opportunist  like George Soros, a man who had a huge grudge against the Russians, a man who made his fortune by leveraging other nation’s currencies, set the Russian banking system up for failure and his profit. Why? The story starts and ends with Hungry and the Soviet Union, but that’s another topic.  So, when the Russians were willing to join the West, the assistance they received was feeble at best. A nation that had only months earlier held the pride of an Empire, suddenly couldn’t adapt. Going backwards was not an option. Going back to the failed dreams of Communism was out of the question, but the Russian people had pride, a pride that was based on over a thousand years of Europe looking down their nose at them. Nationalism had never died in Russia, it had simply been given a new name, Communism. When Communism died, it did not take Nationalism with it. The lost since of pride allowed Nationalism to flourish. The only way the Russians understood how to make money was based on the process the KGB had used for years. The black-market. The so called Russian Mob, was the example and from that example, legitimate businesses were developed. Now, Western corporations, such as oil, were all too willing to make a deal with any Russian agency that appeared to look like a legitimate company. And so………… the foundation of the new Russian Empire was built and it needed a leader……………a leader who understood how the rest of the Western Economic world worked and just how ruthless it could be. George Soros was not an anomaly to the new Russian government. He was just another example of how corrupt this thing called a Free Market Enterprise really was. But, if there was one thing the Russians knew how to be, it was ruthless! It was the foundation of their new leader, a leader who had one dream; to establish the Russian Empire. An Empire not based on the hollow dreams of Communism, but an Empire built on power…..fear……. and most of all………….respect. Putin came to power and his symbol was not what the  Liberals in the US or Europe wanted to see. A Nationalistic leader who would do whatever it took to reach his dream. A leader who supported ruthless aggression if needed and doing it all with a grin on his face. To the Liberals who dreamed of a Utopic State of balanced wealth, Putin was the Devil. To them,  the Conservatives had forced the destruction of the one form of government that allowed everyone to be equal regardless of the cost and even worse, they were responsible for the rise of the one they now feared…………..Putin………The new Tsar of the new Russia.

From Bad to Worse:

          There’s an old saying, “Just when you thought it couldn’t get any worse, it does”! Well, that is exactly what happened. NATO. NATO and the Western promise not to move into the old Soviet States of Eastern Europe. That promise was broken. That single issue, NATO, became the centerpiece of Western / Russian tension. From that point on, just about every issue between the US and Russia became inflamed.

          There is another old truism, every major event has a defining moment, a moment when change takes place, change that may or may not be anticipated. That moment took place in 2014. It took place as the words from the President of the United States were spoken. “ Russia is a Regional Power that threatens it’s neighbors out of weakness”! Now, just imagine how these words impacted a person like Putin. Just imagine how this foolish statement impacted the man who dreamed of rebuilding the Russian Empire. Just think of how those words sounded to the common citizens on the streets of Moscow. What amount of energy would Putin place into his dream now? What other tools did he have in his possession. This statement burned into the mind of the Nationalist and all of those who supported him.

Consequences:

          The Russians are responsible for Hilary not becoming President. Hilary Clinton, the same person who as Secretary of State openly supported preventing Putin from becoming President in 2018. It was the Russians who decided to disrupt the US elections and it was the Russians who gave the US Donald Trump. These are the delusional thoughts of the Progressive Liberals who now dominate one party of the US’s two party system. Who is responsible for the actions of the Russians? Who is responsible for the flow of immigrants into Europe with the intent of destabilizing every government in the EU? Who is responsible for turning Syria into a Super Power Proxy War? The Liberal Left need only look into the mirror. President Obama cost Hilary Clinton the White House, but that’s not that unexpected given the fact the Obama’s hated the Clintons anyway. Yes, when you say the wrong things at the right time, when you allow Thieves like Soros to make first contact with a wounded Enemy, then the results are almost predictable.  Why has the relationship with Russia deteriorated so far? Idiots, that’s why, but then again, it seems Idiots are popular when it comes to politics.

DOCTOR MIRELES AND AMLO. MEXICO IS ABOUT TO CHANGE.

          Do you know who Doctor Mireles is? If not, you should, unless you don’t care what may be about to happen in Mexico. Who is Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador / AMLO? Again, if you are not aware and you live in the Americas, you need to know. How did I come across the topic of the Good Doctor? Well, that is a long story, but one I have enjoyed for several years now. I’ve posted about Doctor Mireles on many occasions and I had in-depth “discussions” about him in my prior life. Is he important to the future of Mexico? Yes. I was one of the few that sounded the alarm bells when the Autodefensa movement began. Pete. You remember those early conversations with the so called “experts”!   

http://www.borderlandbeat.com/2018/06/mireles-i-ask-pena-nieto-to-keep-his.html

An Alliance:

          Doctor Mireles openly supports AMLO. Now, that is an alliance that will not go over well in Mexico City. AMLO, the guy known for being left of left, the Mexican Bernie Sanders, but a little more left than Bernie. The guy who is riding a wave of social unrest in Mexico. By the way, not his first time of riding that wave. The guy who is making huge promises to a public that is desperate for change. Is he an outsider to the establishment of the PRI and the PAN? You bet. Is he squeaky clean? Nobody in politics is squeaky clean, but the good news for him is, the Mexican people know this. Is he making promises that will be very difficult to keep? Again, he’s a politician. Just how worried is the Mexican and “other” establishments over his pending win? No one is covering the story in the US and that should give you a clue.

          It’s true, AMLO has followed the Good Doctor from the beginning. Does the Doctor feel some level of commonality with him? Yes. Will it last? That depends. Can AMLO overcome the Billions of dollars the drug business pumps into Mexican government at all levels…… and I do mean all! Can the corruption that is Mexico’s government simply drag AMLO into the trenches and just time him out? Yes. Does AMLO know this? Yes. Does he truly intend to take on the real issue in Mexico’s government, corruption? Well, that’s what he says and that is what he is running on. Just how much “change” is about to take place in Mexico? I will say this, if it’s not enough, AMLO will lose the support of the number one Folk Hero in Mexico…. The Good Doctor.

Words of Warning:

          Doctor Mireles made a stern warning to President Nieto, not one of my favorite people as well, but why? What made the Mireles think Nieto was going to change the outcome of the election? Even more interesting is his insistence the Mexican government is moving its military into position for some event after the election on July 1^st. AMLO is going to win. Would the establishment government in Mexico, one that AMLO is not currently part of, take action against its own people? If such an event was even being considered, the US government would be all over that issue and US media would have picked up on such a huge pending story. So, what is the Good Doctor referring to? Why did he make a direct appeal to the members of the Mexican Military? If any part of this interview was confusing to me, it was this issue. Mireles is a supporter of AMLO, but Mireles is not a follower and his support will be limited if anything starts to smell like compromise. The vision for the future of Mexico is somewhat compatible between these two figures and it wouldn’t surprise me to see AMLO reach out to The Good Doctor soon after election day. The problem comes when AMLO fails to deliver on all the changes. He is already perceived as moving to the “center” and looking more like Brazil’s Da Silva. Moving to the “Center” is not the sign The Good Doctor wants to see. There is no “Center” for Mireles. His dream is to “ change the social reality” of Mexico. These two may get along for now, but AMLO is about to become a President in a nation run by other people’s money. That is not the environment he and The Good Doctor will grow a relationship. The military is on the move according to the guy the common people in Mexico admire. What does that mean and is it even true? Keep your eye on Mexico. Things are changing and I am sure CNN will find a way to say it’s The Donald’s fault!